paweather Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Looks like the line of Lake Effect Fake Rain is headed to Bubbler house. I am missing it to my west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 minute ago, paweather said: Looks like the line of Lake Effect Fake Rain is headed to Bubbler house. I am missing it to my west. Even to our west it doesn't look overly impressive. There are a few cells that look decent but so far, overall it looks kind of meh. There is a 2nd area forming further east behind the first "line" that might target our area later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Even to our west it doesn't look overly impressive. There are a few cells that look decent but so far, overall it looks kind of meh. There is a 2nd area forming further east behind the first "line" that might target our area later on. Ive just got that feeling that atleast my area aint gonna see shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 12 minutes ago, Anduril said: Ive just got that feeling that atleast my area aint gonna see shit The way things look right now, your feeling is looking pretty spot on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 Day #40 at or above 90 here...can't wait until we get a hot summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Even to our west it doesn't look overly impressive. There are a few cells that look decent but so far, overall it looks kind of meh. There is a 2nd area forming further east behind the first "line" that might target our area later on. Yep agreed. Maybe the 2nd line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Even to our west it doesn't look overly impressive. There are a few cells that look decent but so far, overall it looks kind of meh. There is a 2nd area forming further east behind the first "line" that might target our area later on. Yea, we will be measuring in the 1/1000th again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 A few more storms are forming in north central PA and moving SE - we have a couple more hours until we're completely out of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Well, since this proved to be (so far) the most boring Severe Thunderstorm Watch I've seen in a long time, I figured I'd share the latest addition to my wardrobe... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Voyager said: Well, since this proved to be (so far) the most boring Severe Thunderstorm Watch I've seen in a long time, I figured I'd share the latest addition to my wardrobe... No surgery is keeping your Bluetooth silenced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 Severe Thunderstorm Watch...just cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 The storms today are pro-confederacy - nothing north of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: No surgery is keeping your Bluetooth silenced! Nope. It works nice since it frees up my good hand/arm to do other stuff while I'm on the phone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Welp Zilch again tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 2 hours ago, Voyager said: Well, since this proved to be (so far) the most boring Severe Thunderstorm Watch I've seen in a long time, I figured I'd share the latest addition to my wardrobe... Same here haha, just a light shower this afternoon. The local storms did the ole Tamaqua Split™ and left me with yet another day of misses. Most of the action seemed to drop through western PA. Hope you have a speedy recovery from your surgery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 13 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: So the question becomes why are the leaves changing colors at this pace in August? The drought is worse than it is being played up by NWS for some but is there something else causing it? I think it's just the timing of the dry weather kick starting the process in some of the earlier turning trees, which has now lasted into the late summer pretty close to when things traditionally start turning. Like I said before, the majority of trees are still green.. but some areas you can see the scattered colors. I snagged a pic of this on the back road a few miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 20 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I think it's just the timing of the dry weather kick starting the process in some of the earlier turning trees, which has now lasted into the late summer pretty close to when things traditionally start turning. Like I said before, the majority of trees are still green.. but some areas you can see the scattered colors. I snagged a pic of this on the back road a few miles away. That is pretty advanced coloring on that one tree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 11 hours ago, canderson said: FWIW my family isn't evacuating - they live between Houston and Galveston and then about 8 miles east of Galveston itself. Most model consensus has been focusing near that TX/LA border region for landfall, with the EC ensemble mean having been running uncomfortably close to the Galveston/Houston region. Looks like the 18z Euro ensemble cluster shifted east a bit from 12z, putting the mean near the border region. Galveston/Houston is probably going to get at least a piece of this hurricane but hopefully staying on the west side of the storm will mitigate storm surge issues some in that area. It seems Port Arthur is most under the gun attm in terms of any bigger town, but the storm making a landfall up that coastline toward the border would generally be a plus because there is not much at all on that stretch population wise and even that immediate corridor inland this storm is likely to take is pretty rural. What could be significantly impacted on that forecast track is oil infrastructure, especially with a major hurricane which is what Laura is likely to be at that stage. The new 18z Euro op has it coming in at 945mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 19 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Most model consensus has been focusing near that TX/LA border region for landfall, with the EC ensemble mean having been running uncomfortably close to the Galveston/Houston region. Looks like the 18z Euro ensemble cluster shifted east a bit from 12z, putting the mean near the border region. Galveston/Houston is probably going to get at least a piece of this hurricane but hopefully staying on the west side of the storm will mitigate storm surge issues some in that area. It seems Port Arthur is most under the gun attm in terms of any bigger town, but the storm making a landfall up that coastline toward the border would generally be a plus because there is not much at all on that stretch population wise and even that immediate corridor inland this storm is likely to take is pretty rural. What could be significantly impacted on that forecast track is oil infrastructure, especially with a major hurricane which is what Laura is likely to be at that stage. The new 18z Euro op has it coming in at 945mb. The issue there is it’s nothing but oil refineries. Nearly all gas comes from the PA / Texas City area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 9 hours ago, canderson said: The issue there is it’s nothing but oil refineries. Nearly all gas comes from the PA / Texas City area. HWRF keeps making it a strong Cat 4 at landfall. Might be overstated but the times a situation like this has turned into Rapid Intensification seems countless over the last few decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 Quietly back at home, a potentially active period of severe weather (especially for late August) is in store for parts of PA, with at least a slight risk of severe storms each of the next 3 days at least. CTP is really ramping up wording for tomorrow for those north of I-80 and to the east of IPT. Winds greater than 75 mph, hail larger than 2", and a few tornadoes of EF2 or stronger are all possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 12 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Quietly back at home, a potentially active period of severe weather (especially for late August) is in store for parts of PA, with at least a slight risk of severe storms each of the next 3 days at least. CTP is really ramping up wording for tomorrow for those north of I-80 and to the east of IPT. Winds greater than 75 mph, hail larger than 2", and a few tornadoes of EF2 or stronger are all possible. NE Pa gets Nam'ed tomorrow qpf wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: NE Pa gets Nam'ed tomorrow qpf wise. I don't even merit a HWO from CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I don't even merit a HWO from CTP. Recent Odd's would suggest you have a higher chance of HW without an HWO or STW. The Good 'Ole Canderson 80/20--20/80 has been in full effect the last few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 14 hours ago, paweather said: Welp Zilch again tonight. We saw clouds off in the distance. That was it. Nothing close to Lanc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: NE Pa gets Nam'ed tomorrow qpf wise. and with some luck, we will get leftovers late sat/sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Going to make everyone’s morning a little better. We have hope haha. Well, get ready. The "Farmers' Almanac" is predicting a possible blizzard for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states in February. It could deliver a foot or two of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, paweather5 said: Going to make everyone’s morning a little better. We have hope haha. Well, get ready. The "Farmers' Almanac" is predicting a possible blizzard for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states in February. It could deliver a foot or two of snow. I would actually sign for this in a heartbeat. Normal never sounded so appealing did it?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I would actually sign for this in a heartbeat. Normal never sounded so appealing did it?? One of the most accurate, telling questions I've ever heard. Normal right now sounds extraordinarily nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 30 minutes ago, paweather5 said: Going to make everyone’s morning a little better. We have hope haha. Well, get ready. The "Farmers' Almanac" is predicting a possible blizzard for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states in February. It could deliver a foot or two of snow. At least FA captured all the weather for us in this prediction. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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