MAG5035 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/8/2020 at 9:48 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: Last month Johnstown came in with the least cumulative precipitation in the state (0.96”) which shows how dry it’s been your way. I had 1.17” which wasn’t too far behind but with higher temps, may have been a higher impact Expand That region of the Laurel's has definitely reversed that trend in the last few days, especially just south of JST in parts of Somerset County as we've had a more favorable setup for pop up afternoon storms. One of the first places they fire on hot/humid days around here is typically along those ridges in the Laurels. The late afternoon storms that triggered a flash flood warning in a portion of Somerset earlier (couple spots of 3-4" on the doppler estimate) were on the heels of the same general area getting a similar blob of slow moving storms and scattered areas of 2-3+ totals on the doppler estimates just the other day. Meanwhile down here, no dice again this evening. All around and not here. My yard is still in ok-ish shape, but we need hit with something in the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 Spotter reports of 5"+ from York city to Hallam this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 I can't seem to get a good grip on what this potential tropical system is going to do. The NAM seems to want to keep it east of the Delaware river now, while the GFS now is bringing decent rains into Eastern PA. The Euro from 0z looks like the NAM and the Canadians were always OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Euro gets rains pretty far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:15 PM, Superstorm said: Euro gets rains pretty far west . Expand Good. This far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:21 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: Good. This far west?Sliglty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:21 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: Good. This far west? Expand Not really for us. Mostly east of the Susq. Euro shows basically no rain (other than anecdotal stuff) West of the Susq out to just before South Western PA for over a week from today. GFS shows us getting a inch or less of rain through July 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:35 PM, Bubbler86 said: Not really for us. Mostly east of the Susq. Euro shows basically no rain (other than anecdotal stuff) West of the Susq out to just before South Western PA for over a week from today. GFS shows us getting a inch or less of rain through July 25th. Expand wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:35 PM, Bubbler86 said: Not really for us. Mostly east of the Susq. Euro shows basically no rain (other than anecdotal stuff) West of the Susq out to just before South Western PA for over a week from today. GFS shows us getting a inch or less of rain through July 25th. Expand No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:49 PM, sauss06 said: wow Expand 384 map. All the rain in the Blue for S Central PA is hope and pray showers. Seems maybe 1.5" or less is a better way to say it when I look at it closeup Either way a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 6:54 PM, Bubbler86 said: 384 map. All the rain in the Blue for S Central PA is hope and pray showers. Seems maybe 1.5" or less is a better way to say it when I look at it closeup Either way a disaster. Expand The nice thing about models is next cycle it will have a new look and next run after that will be a different look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 7:12 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: The nice thing about models is next cycle it will have a new look and next run after that will be a different look. Expand Yea, not buying into anything past this weekend but not thinking we get much this weekend. Just talked to the guy who sprays our yard and he is shutting down for the next 1-2 months. Cannot spray grass that is dormant and brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:22 PM, Bubbler86 said: Yea, not buying into anything past this weekend but not thinking we get much this weekend. Just talked to the guy who sprays our yard and he is shutting down for the next 1-2 months. Cannot spray grass that is dormant and brown. Expand fwiw 18z nam just ticked notably west w/ qpf field for this weekend. no drenching rains, but maybe enough for much of the eastern 1/3 of pa to get some lawn love from above. .3-.5 west to east around philly before it ramps up notably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:44 PM, pasnownut said: fwiw 18z nam just ticked notably west w/ qpf field for this weekend. no drenching rains, but maybe enough for much of the eastern 1/3 of pa to get some lawn love from above. .3-.5 west to east around philly before it ramps up notably. Expand I will be able to tell who gets lawn love by the grass stains. A good old fashioned deformation band on the 18z Nam. We get one of those and Cash will be golden. They find his locale every time. How much for Philly? 0 on the Nam. Dry-slotted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 My guess of 97 won!! Highest temp in 25 years!! High of 97 today at #Buffalo not only smashes previous record for this date (92 last set in 1988), but is tied for 3rd highest temp on record for any day. Last time we were this warm was July 15th 1995. #nywx 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:48 PM, BuffaloWeather said: My guess of 97 won!! Highest temp in 25 years!! High of 97 today at #Buffalo not only smashes previous record for this date (92 last set in 1988), but is tied for 3rd highest temp on record for any day. Last time we were this warm was July 15th 1995. #nywx Expand No fake snow today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:46 PM, Bubbler86 said: I will be able to tell who gets lawn love by the grass stains. A good old fashioned deformation band on the 18z Nam. We get one of those and Cash will be golden. They find his locale every time. How much for Philly? 0 on the Nam. Dry-slotted! Expand Glad this is not WINTER or I would be pissed right now. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:50 PM, Bubbler86 said: No fake snow today! Expand My bad wrong forum. No such thing as fake snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:54 PM, BuffaloWeather said: My bad wrong forum. No such thing as fake snow! Expand LOL. I'll take Fake Snow especially for us this year! I wanted to put cotton out on my front yard in February. Send the Lake Effect down to us Buffalo I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:54 PM, BuffaloWeather said: My bad wrong forum. No such thing as fake snow! Expand LOL, just kidding. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:59 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, just kidding. Expand Yeah I certainly knew you were Bubbler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:52 PM, paweather said: Glad this is not WINTER or I would be pissed right now. LOL. Expand Western LSV just got Nammed Summer style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 9:03 PM, Bubbler86 said: Western LSV just got Nammed Summer style. Expand Nice. I feel like we are talking Winter here even in the Summer now. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 9:06 PM, paweather said: Nice. I feel like we are talking Winter here even in the Summer now. I like it. Expand Icon is on board with the def band albeit it less overall qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 9:07 PM, Bubbler86 said: Icon is on board with the def band albeit it less overall qpf. Expand Just wish it was 25 degrees out and snow not rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Have a good evening all. To say I am posting in July this is a first for me but hey it is 2020. Why not? My poor grass does need to some wetness. I might even get into Hurricane season as that season intensifies. Maybe I will become a more all around weather hobbyists, I don't know. Or this posting is just the lack of posting to such a poor winter of posting. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 9:16 PM, paweather said: Have a good evening all. To say I am posting in July this is a first for me but hey it is 2020. Why not? My poor grass does need to some wetness. I might even get into Hurricane season as that season intensifies. Maybe I will become a more all around weather hobbyists, I don't know. Or this posting is just the lack of posting to such a poor winter of posting. :-) Expand I am posting more this summer as well. Extreme weather draws me out and this drought has been a doozy. Worse than the one we had last year now. Do not know exactly where Mag lives but near him has been expanded into D1. I realize these maps are regional based but my specific area is easily a D1 at this point pushing D2. If the 12Z GFS is right we we have doubt digit deficits for the year by months end. Hopefully not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 8:59 PM, Bubbler86 said: LOL, just kidding. Expand I love all forms of snow. But lake effect is my fav. Once you've been in a band dropping 6" an hour you'll be hooked. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/9/2020 at 7:12 PM, Cashtown_Coop said: The nice thing about models is next cycle it will have a new look and next run after that will be a different look. Expand The GFS already has more qpf for us by this Monday, on the 18Z run, than the entire 12Z run combined. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 On 7/8/2020 at 6:24 PM, Voyager said: Today's total (so far) Expand That weather gauge looks pretty nice, what make is that? Also picked up 0.42" last evening with the storms rolling through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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