8611Blizz Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: I remember standing outside of Steve’s Ice cream original Somerville location in mid January 1976 with a line around the block with temperatures neat 0. We had 12+ about a day later. Fooking LOVED that place. Steve was a god around this place in the 70's. It was always crowded regardless of temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 My winter outlook has been posted on the main board, which links to it, for those interested: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 52 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the January 1976 cold was really intense. They day you are thinking of is probably 1/11/76. It was absolutely frigid. Good storm started that night and went into the next morning...temps were mostly in the single digits and teens during the snow. What were the temperatures like in February that year?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, leo2000 said: What were the temperatures like in February that year?. Pretty much a furnace after the first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 I am pretty pleased with Isotherm-Tom's outlook..........especially north of the pike. Tough sledding for the higher elevations south of the pike....I will be sure to take pics for them. Glad we don't live there. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 15 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: 88-89 was the worst strong Nina of the bunch. made no sense in many ways, it was a dry winter which defies nina climo. 99-00 was also crap but it did have a solid consecutive 6 weeks of white in Jan/Feb, surrounded by torches on either side. All the other strong ninas were above avg snow. This is starting off similar to 75-76 with a warm first half of November. Strong Nina Snowfall at Detroit (longterm avg 41") 1973-74: 49.2" 1975-76: 55.9" 1988-89: 25.1" 1998-99: 49.5" 1999-00: 23.7" 2007-08: 71.7" 2010-11: 69.1" February 89 and December 89 both exhibited a bit of what we saw in 17-18. Sometimes you get a decent pattern with cold air during La Ninas but they are too progressive so you end up with MA and SE snowstorms but the Northeast misses out. Most always assume La Ninas are bad for places like DC/RDU/CLT but reality is if you get the right pattern for a few weeks those areas can cash in well whereas a similar setup in a neutral or ENSO might have sent the impacting system to their north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 31 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: February 89 and December 89 both exhibited a bit of what we saw in 17-18. Sometimes you get a decent pattern with cold air during La Ninas but they are too progressive so you end up with MA and SE snowstorms but the Northeast misses out. Most always assume La Ninas are bad for places like DC/RDU/CLT but reality is if you get the right pattern for a few weeks those areas can cash in well whereas a similar setup in a neutral or ENSO might have sent the impacting system to their north. I agree. This is why I had higher snowfalls than most for the mid atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Pretty much a furnace after the first week. And we had a nice snow in March but I remember skiing at Nashoba Valley a couple of days later with really warm temperatures. Katy Lied was blaring through the loud speakers. Fun times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am pretty pleased with Isotherm-Tom's outlook..........especially north of the pike. Tough sledding for the higher elevations south of the pike....I will be sure to take pics for them. Glad we don't live there. Really cuz sure as hell his Jan looks like Jan 11 to me. Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 4 hours ago, Isotherm said: My winter outlook has been posted on the main board, which links to it, for those interested: Thanks for sharing Tom. Good luck but I hope you're off your game this year. It is 2020 after all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 52 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Really cuz sure as hell his Jan looks like Jan 11 to me. Good luck You have a very strange obsession with that season. His outlook was not similar to that season at all, except for January being the most wintery month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You have a very strange obsession with that season. His outlook was not similar to that season at all, except for January being the most wintery month. I call it as I see it. You do you, never mentioned any other month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: You have a very strange obsession with that season. His outlook was not similar to that season at all, except for January being the most wintery month. Jan 11 was all winter here. Though I have a feeling by the negative hints he meant Jan 12, which is everyone's favorite winter to fear lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I call it as I see it. You do you, never mentioned any other month I was doing me....you quoted and replied to me. Since he had average seasonal snowfall south of the pike, I assumed he wasn't forecasting a 60" January for N CT again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Jan 11 was all winter here. Though I have a feeling by the negative hints he meant Jan 12, which is everyone's favorite winter to fear lol. I didn't get that vibe at all. He was forecasting a good January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 I’ll toss 10-11 far and wide. If it happens, cap tip and a frozen doggie poo log to Steve. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 3 hours ago, SnowGoose69 said: February 89 and December 89 both exhibited a bit of what we saw in 17-18. Sometimes you get a decent pattern with cold air during La Ninas but they are too progressive so you end up with MA and SE snowstorms but the Northeast misses out. Most always assume La Ninas are bad for places like DC/RDU/CLT but reality is if you get the right pattern for a few weeks those areas can cash in well whereas a similar setup in a neutral or ENSO might have sent the impacting system to their north. The cold produced nicely in 17-18 here. Plenty of snow Dec-Feb. Then after a March 1st snowstorm it turned cold and dry while the northeast cashed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 I'll take a good end of December and good January, my hopes for an epic year are fading. You coming out with your forecast soon Ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 23 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: How well did they do with last year's prediction? Just curious don’t really care to read an NYC forecast seeing as I live in New England and am posting in a New England thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 11, 2020 Author Share Posted November 11, 2020 53 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: I'll take a good end of December and good January, my hopes for an epic year are fading. You coming out with your forecast soon Ray? Seems like there’s still a lot of sentiment for anything but a huge winter. Some are going decent and others going below average and others going full-on ratter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Seems like there’s still a lot of sentiment for anything but a huge winter. Some are going decent and others going below average and others going full-on ratter. What are you going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What are you going? When a rat is on the table, it usually ends up eating the food lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 On 11/5/2020 at 1:25 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/11/winter-outlook-2020-2021-mixed-type-la.html Here is my winter outlook, if you are looking for something to pass the time, while a team of molasses molecules counts the NV ballots. The abridged version is linked....there are also options for more technical discussion of the telconnections if so desired. Most wintery period looks to be December, and potentially another bout in March, but it may very well just result in a cold spring...as last season did. 2 hours ago, DavisStraight said: I'll take a good end of December and good January, my hopes for an epic year are fading. You coming out with your forecast soon Ray? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 hours ago, SJonesWX said: don’t really care to read an NYC forecast seeing as I live in New England and am posting in a New England thread It might be NYC centric but it shows New England as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Glad we north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 It would be pretty tough to outdo last year in the ratter department. I don't think I broke 10" on the season. Dumb luck in a crap pattern can sometimes deliver as much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: Glad we north. It won't save you forever or even this winter given the prognostications. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Has anyone looked at 85-86 as a possible analog? The La Niña was much weaker but the QBO looks similar, November was very mild and there was an active Atlantic tropical period that month as well like this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 Judas Priest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 11, 2020 Share Posted November 11, 2020 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: It won't save you forever or even this winter given the prognostications. His area looks very good given prognostications. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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