RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 absolutely getting hammered here..constant wind roaring 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Quote URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 277 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 245 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA EXTREME NORTHERN KENTUCKY MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO LAKE ERIE * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL 1000 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...A BROKEN BAND OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS INDIANA IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY INTO OHIO. EVENTUAL UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A MORE SOLID SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. THE STORM ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS, SOME SIGNIFICANT. A TORNADO OR TWO AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF TOLEDO OH TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CINCINNATI OH. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 About to get smacked here in about 25 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 May just get "lucky" wrt hail. Some west, and now some north.. Quote PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 228 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0220 PM TSTM WND DMG BELLEVUE 42.45N 85.01W 06/10/2020 EATON MI LAW ENFORCEMENT LAW ENFORCEMENT AND A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORT SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE FROM BELLEVUE TO OLIVET. TREES AND WIRES ARE DOWN. THERE ARE TREES DOWN ALONG M-78 BETWEEN BELLEVUE AND OLIVET. THERE IS A CITIZEN REPORT OF A POSSIBLE TORNADO, WHICH IS UNCONFIRMED AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, laferri2 said: This system is giving me flashbacks to all the systems that Detroit has whiffed on in the last 10 years. i know right? even tho things look good i keep praying everything holds true. i have been wanting some big boomers for several years now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Solidsting said: i know right? even tho things look good i keep praying everything holds true. i have been wanting some big boomers for several years now Thunder's been pretty minimal with these cells tho. Not to be a buzzkill. Certainly worthy of the severe warnings but winds/hail are the bigger story it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 1 minute ago, RogueWaves said: Thunder's been pretty minimal with these cells tho. Not to be a buzzkill. Certainly worthy of the severe warnings but winds/hail are the bigger story it seems. ahh the wind is fine by me. the area around metro Detroit just continues to get even more unstable. people on the weather channel even commented on that. nothing but hot sun and a occasional cloud where im at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Watch out Detroit... Mesoscale Discussion 0900 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2020 Areas affected...southeast lower Michigan Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274...276... Valid 101903Z - 102030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274, 276 continues. SUMMARY...Numerous thunderstorms have coalesced into a loosely organized squall line across portions of northeast Indiana and southeast Lower Michigan. A focused corridor for damaging wind gusts may develop as storms intensify from Kalamazoo, east-northeast toward Detroit. DISCUSSION...A line of quasi discrete supercells have begun merging into a more linear organization across portions of northeast Indiana and southern half of Lower Michigan over the last hour. Several reports of wind damage have been received as outflow has become more coherent and better organized. The diagonal NE/SW orientation of the convective line lies along a corridor of backed mid and upper-level flow observed from the 18z Detroit special sounding. The orientation of the upper-level flow will likely support continued downdraft development and outflow aggregations given seeding from anvil precipitation being advected over downstream convection across portions of far northeast Indiana into southeast Lower Michigan. The main threat with storms will be damaging winds given 1200-1400 J/kg of DCAPE and strong mid-level flow of 50 to 60 kt. Large hail will be possible given MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg supporting robust deep updrafts. However, the risk appears limited due to weaker lapse rates of 6 to 7 C/km and the predominately linear storm mode. The most favored corridor for severe wind will be with the stronger cells merging into southern Michigan toward Detroit. A few significant wind gusts will be possible with any stronger bowing structures that can develop. ..Lyons/Thompson.. 06/10/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR... LAT...LON 42648519 43208407 43788343 43908295 43668264 42728254 42418300 41768352 41818523 42048528 42548522 42648519 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Solidsting said: i know right? even tho things look good i keep praying everything holds true. i have been wanting some big boomers for several years now I just got my first thunderstorm of the year this morning, it was decent with tropical rains but not severe. I don't like the look the HRRR is giving for MBY, looks like I'm going to get whiffed this evening followed by the typical hours of moderate rain that follow. I was waiting for some descrete cells ahead of the outflow but then the CAMs backed off that... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 It kind of looks like a supercell is developing near Defiance, OH. Weak rotation at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chinook said: It kind of looks like a supercell is developing near Defiance, OH. Weak rotation at this time. Looking at the satellite image, it kind of looks like some gravity waves in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 87F dropped to 65F and some of the highest gusts I've seen on the airport unit. (iirc May of 2011 hit 70 mph) It's official: Quote PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 303 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0255 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSE MARSHALL 42.25N 84.95W 06/10/2020 M60 MPH CALHOUN MI ASOS MEASURED AT MARSHALL BROOKS FIELD ARPT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Severe Thunderstorm Warning MIC093-161-102030- /O.NEW.KDTX.SV.W.0024.200610T1921Z-200610T2030Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 321 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2020 The National Weather Service in Detroit/Pontiac has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Livingston County in southeastern Michigan... Washtenaw County in southeastern Michigan... * Until 430 PM EDT. * At 320 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Perry to 6 miles southwest of Vandercook Lake, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Severe thunderstorms will be near... Fowlerville around 325 PM EDT. Cohoctah around 335 PM EDT. Chelsea around 400 PM EDT. Gregory around 405 PM EDT. Dexter around 410 PM EDT. Pinckney around 415 PM EDT. Hamburg around 420 PM EDT. Whitmore Lake around 425 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by these severe thunderstorms include Pittsfield Township, Whittaker, Plainfield, Hudson Mills Metropark, Island Lake State Recreation Area, Bridgewater, Delhi Mills, Pleasant Lake, Barton Hills and Pinckney State Recreation Area. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing widespread wind damage across southern Lower Michigan. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! Torrential rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 4278 8369 4243 8366 4243 8355 4209 8354 4208 8413 4278 8416 TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 234DEG 35KT 4275 8419 4213 8449 HAIL...<.75IN WIND...70MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Just had some of the highest winds I've ever felt personally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 20 minutes ago, Torchageddon said: I just got my first thunderstorm of the year this morning, it was decent with tropical rains but not severe. I don't like the look the HRRR is giving for MBY, looks like I'm going to get whiffed this evening followed by the typical hours of moderate rain that follow. I was waiting for some descrete cells ahead of the outflow but then the CAMs backed off that... yeah last night the cams went off. even had PDS TOR in my area i was very suprised. but i figured they would favor a more linear mode anyways just knowing how the weather up here is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 23 minutes ago, Powerball said: Watch out Detroit... Mesoscale Discussion 0900 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 PM CDT Wed Jun 10 2020 Areas affected...southeast lower Michigan Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274...276... Valid 101903Z - 102030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274, 276 continues. SUMMARY...Numerous thunderstorms have coalesced into a loosely organized squall line across portions of northeast Indiana and southeast Lower Michigan. A focused corridor for damaging wind gusts may develop as storms intensify from Kalamazoo, east-northeast toward Detroit. DISCUSSION...A line of quasi discrete supercells have begun merging into a more linear organization across portions of northeast Indiana and southern half of Lower Michigan over the last hour. Several reports of wind damage have been received as outflow has become more coherent and better organized. The diagonal NE/SW orientation of the convective line lies along a corridor of backed mid and upper-level flow observed from the 18z Detroit special sounding. The orientation of the upper-level flow will likely support continued downdraft development and outflow aggregations given seeding from anvil precipitation being advected over downstream convection across portions of far northeast Indiana into southeast Lower Michigan. The main threat with storms will be damaging winds given 1200-1400 J/kg of DCAPE and strong mid-level flow of 50 to 60 kt. Large hail will be possible given MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg supporting robust deep updrafts. However, the risk appears limited due to weaker lapse rates of 6 to 7 C/km and the predominately linear storm mode. The most favored corridor for severe wind will be with the stronger cells merging into southern Michigan toward Detroit. A few significant wind gusts will be possible with any stronger bowing structures that can develop. ..Lyons/Thompson.. 06/10/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR... LAT...LON 42648519 43208407 43788343 43908295 43668264 42728254 42418300 41768352 41818523 42048528 42548522 42648519 on the name note it mentions how lapse rates are lowering. i dont like that lol. i want the worst to come out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 30 minutes ago, Chinook said: It kind of looks like a supercell is developing near Defiance, OH. Weak rotation at this time. This cell produced 2" hail at Bryan, OH. That's gotta shred some soybeans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 This report's near GR Quote PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 341 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1205 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE GRANDVILLE 42.88N 85.74W 06/10/2020 KENT MI PUBLIC ROOF DAMAGE, NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES NEAR IVANREST AND 44TH STREET. GUST MEASURED FROM HOME WEATHER STATION OF 75 MPH. Stepped outside to put my planter pots upright (2 of 3 were flipped) and noticed heavy tree damage at every neighbor's place surrounding mine. Looks like limbs at least up to 6" diameter. One on my south neighbor's SUV and his garage door severely blown inward. Neighbor just north I couldn't see him behind a massive chunk of tree laying in his front yard, but could hear the chainsaw and see movement. Also, tons of sirens blaring and DPW vehicles scurrying around tells me there's some pretty widespread issues. Oh, and in my shorts and flops felt hot about 90 min's ago and now the temps shocking in the other direction. Nothing dull about today's wx.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 now that i think about it i wonder what the chances are of a 2nd line of storms forming in front of the approaching cold front? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 80 mph wind gust reported at Lake Macatawa as thunderstorms hit West Michigan https://www.mlive.com/news/grand-rapids/2020/06/80-mph-wind-gust-reported-at-lake-macatawa-as-thunderstorms-hit-west-michigan.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Quote PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 347 PM EDT WED JUN 10 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0242 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW MARSHALL 42.24N 84.99W 06/10/2020 CALHOUN MI TRAINED SPOTTER TREE DAMAGE ON I-69 SOUTH OF MARSHALL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 The squall line's progression eastward looks to have slowed to a crawl. In the mean time, now there are some nice supercells popping up along the I-75 corridor as the cap weakens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solidsting Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Powerball said: The squall line's progression eastward looks to have slowed to a crawl. In the mean time, now there are some nice supercells popping up along the I-75 corridor as the cap weakens. im not far from there so im gonna head out. that line east looks slow moving. im looking at the storms at the indiana ohio border to hit where i live 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Does anyone have footage from the Walker area around noon? My wife said it was frightening. The building was shaking and things were flying through the air. I was expecting most of the severe action to miss GRR to the southeast, but there was an early MCV feature that developed from pre-dawn convection over northern Illinois / southern Lake Michigan. It gave some of the early convection that rolled in off Lake Michigan a real strong punch and also took it way farther north and west than I expected. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Solidsting said: yeah last night the cams went off. even had PDS TOR in my area i was very suprised. but i figured they would favor a more linear mode anyways just knowing how the weather up here is It seems like the backed winds aloft were a problem most places. Only a hard right-mover could really begin to rotate, and it never really happened. There were lots of brief little couplets embedded in the convection, but they never really lasted long. In Michigan, good discrete supercell structure with tornado potential only really seems to happen with a warm front in the area or in response to some kind of outflow boundary / lake-breeze interaction. With such a strong low level winds and strongly mixed environment there wasn't much in the way of boundaries for storms to latch onto. They just moved with the flow, more north than east, which wasn't really ideal. I know it's happened in the past, but it just seems really hard to get the proper type of hodograph for widespread supercells in Michigan. Probably a good thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laferri2 Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 14 minutes ago, frostfern said: It seems like the backed winds aloft were a problem most places. Only a hard right-mover could really begin to rotate, and it never really happened. There were lots of brief little couplets embedded in the convection, but they never really lasted long. In Michigan, good discrete supercell structure with tornado potential only really seems to happen with a warm front in the area or in response to some kind of outflow boundary / lake-breeze interaction. With such a strong low level winds and strongly mixed environment there wasn't much in the way of boundaries for storms to latch onto. They just moved with the flow, more north than east, which wasn't really ideal. I know it's happened in the past, but it just seems really hard to get the proper type of hodograph for widespread supercells in Michigan. Probably a good thing. Metro Detroit in particular has been ridiculously lean the last 10 years. I can count on one hand the number of storms I've seen with more than a couple lightning strikes since I moved to Macomb County in 2010. It gets really irritating hearing thunder from miles away as all the storms dance around Wayne and Macomb counties. I can't count the number of times I've watched my zip code ride a slot in between storm cells to stay dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Saw my neighbors outside taking pic's so I went over to look. They actually had an entire tree (16+") come down along with parts of other close trees. Trashed their garage badly. Just moved in last October. Not so great a welcome wagon gift from nature for them. On the upside, they may just get a new garage out of the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 18 minutes ago, frostfern said: It seems like the backed winds aloft were a problem most places. Only a hard right-mover could really begin to rotate, and it never really happened. There were lots of brief little couplets embedded in the convection, but they never really lasted long. In Michigan, good discrete supercell structure with tornado potential only really seems to happen with a warm front in the area or in response to some kind of outflow boundary / lake-breeze interaction. With such a strong low level winds and strongly mixed environment there wasn't much in the way of boundaries for storms to latch onto. They just moved with the flow, more north than east, which wasn't really ideal. I know it's happened in the past, but it just seems really hard to get the proper type of hodograph for widespread supercells in Michigan. Probably a good thing. 50s/60s/70s had ZERO problems producing high-end tors. Always wondered what the key ingredient was back then that allowed for such a different outcome? It's like this region was a different world when I was young. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 9 minutes ago, laferri2 said: Metro Detroit in particular has been ridiculously lean the last 10 years. I can count on one hand the number of storms I've seen with more than a couple lightning strikes since I moved to Macomb County in 2010. It gets really irritating hearing thunder from miles away as all the storms dance around Wayne and Macomb counties. I can't count the number of times I've watched my zip code ride a slot in between storm cells to stay dry. I think that's your issue. Macomb's notorious for down-sloping from the higher elevations to the west. Takes a lot of punch out of winter storms, and likely has a similar effect on severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted June 10, 2020 Share Posted June 10, 2020 Per GRR, the severe threat has ended but there's a pretty healthy cell that popped just SE of GR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now