cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Not in this sub, but out in Nebraska winds are gusting to 70mph at North Platte. Also 71mph in southeast CO at Springfield. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Been outside all day. Very warm and humid. Filtered sun makes it tough to work. Breezy but no different than most days this spring/summer so far here in IKK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 15 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Not in this sub, but out in Nebraska winds are gusting to 70mph at North Platte. Also 71mph in southeast CO at Springfield. Yeah the N/NW gusts behind the plains low are more impressive than the Cristobal winds right now. Must be great mixing conditions over there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 No 10% on new day 1 and they also trimmed away the slight some in IL. Quote ..WESTERN KY/IL/IN THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION CRISTOBAL IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD JUST TO THE WEST OF SAINT LOUIS, AND WILL CONTINUE TOWARD WI/UPPER MI OVERNIGHT. EAST OF THE CYCLONE CENTER, LOW-MID 70S DEWPOINTS ARE SPREADING NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN IL/WESTERN KY, AND WILL REACH IL THIS AFTERNOON. A BELT OF 40-50 KT LOW-MIDLEVEL FLOW AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IS THE DEGREE OF SURFACE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE RICHER MOISTURE PLUME WHERE CLOUDS ARE WIDESPREAD, WHICH WILL BE NECESSARY FOR THE FORMATION OF MORE CELLULAR CONVECTION THAT COULD EVOLVE INTO SMALL SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 9, 2020 Author Share Posted June 9, 2020 Can pick out the circulation on radar... in the vicinity of Quincy. Looks like Cedar Rapids is getting into some good rain now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Slight risk can probably be dropped in the region with the 20z outlook.Afternoon/evening threat looks to be significantly hindered by widespread clouds and ongoing activity. Overnight threat is still there, but looks marginal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEILwxbo Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Pretty good amount of blowing dust in this area in the last 30 minutes or so, largely because of the unplanted fields that were flooded last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Just started raining for the first time today. Temp made it to 81, but will now drop back to the mid 70s. BP down to 998mb, and dropping steadily. Should bottom out around 989-990mb between 5-6pm. HRRR is backing off the brief strong winds immediately follow the SLP passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 9, 2020 Author Share Posted June 9, 2020 Getting gusty now. Still have some sun to help out with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moosey2323 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Day 2 upgrade to enhanced. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Enhanced area added for tomorrow for parts of MI/OH Quote DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1241 PM CDT TUE JUN 09 2020 VALID 101200Z - 111200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER MICHIGAN AND INTO OHIO... ..SUMMARY SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM OHIO AND LOWER MICHIGAN INTO PARTS OF PENNSYLVANIA, WEST VIRGINIA, AND NEW YORK WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOUTH OF THIS AREA, A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ..SYNOPSIS AS REMNANTS OF CRISTOBAL -- PROGGED TO BE CROSSING UPPER MICHIGAN AT THE START OF THE PERIOD -- SHIFT NORTHWARD INTO ONTARIO, A NEGATIVELY-TILTING SYNOPTIC-SCALE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE CENTRAL U.S. ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS. THIS TROUGH WILL BE FLANKED BY RIDGES ON EITHER SIDE, ONE OVER THE WEST AND A SECOND OVER THE EAST THAT WILL BE GRADUALLY SHUNTED EASTWARD INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE, REMNANTS OF CRISTOBAL ARE PROGGED TO DEEPEN AS A SYNOPTIC LOW OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO WITH TIME, IN RESPONSE TO THE ADVANCE OF UPPER TROUGHING. A TRAILING COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES THROUGH THE DAY, AND THEN SHOULD CROSS THE APPALACHIANS LATE IN THE PERIOD. ..LOWER MICHIGAN AND OHIO VICINITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST AS THE REMNANT LOW WHICH WAS CRISTOBAL SHIFTS NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN ONTARIO, A COMPACT LOW/VORT MAX -- WITHIN THE LARGER-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING -- IS FORECAST TO MAKE AN INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCE ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. AS THIS SYSTEM -- AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT -- ADVANCE ACROSS LAKE MICHIGAN AND INDIANA INTO LOWER MICHIGAN AND OHIO THROUGH THE DAY, DAYTIME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION IN CONJUNCTION WITH STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL RESULT IN STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON. STRONG -- BUT SOMEWHAT UNIDIRECTIONAL/SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WITH HEIGHT IS PROGGED ACROSS THE REGION, YIELDING SHEAR THAT WILL FAVOR FAST-MOVING/ROTATING STORMS AND/OR SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS, AND ATTENDANT RISK FOR STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE, AS WILL A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ACROSS THIS AREA. WITH TIME, AN INCREASINGLY LINEAR CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED, AS STORMS SHIFT EAST TO LAKES HURON AND ERIE, AND ACROSS OHIO INTO THE EVENING HOURS, WITH AN EVENTUAL WANE IN WIND RISK EXPECTED WITH TIME. FARTHER SOUTH, STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE COLD FRONT, AS THE AIRMASS DIURNALLY DESTABILIZES. WEAKER SHEAR EXPECTED ACROSS THIS REGION SUGGESTS LESSER SEVERE RISK, THOUGH LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 It is pouring here. Radar shows a clear nnw/sse line where the heavy rain is west and lighter east. Cedar Rapids appears to be far enough west to remain in the heavy rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 For as meteorologically unusual an event as this is (apparently the last time the center of a remnant TC circulation crossed into WI was Hurricane Gilbert in 1988, and that only clipped the SE corner), it appears the impacts won't be all that memorable. We're not under any wind headlines, not even an advisory. Just looks like a run-of-the-mill inclement weather day. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said: It is pouring here. Radar shows a clear nnw/sse line where the heavy rain is west and much less east. Cedar Rapids appears to be far enough west to remain in the heavy rain. Good thing this is fairly progressive, as your area would really be in trouble otherwise. Still looks like an easy 2-4"+ rain there. Picked up a quick 0.18" so far with this first band. You can definitely tell PWs are through the roof. Raining in sheets, with 25-30mph east-southeasterlies. All we're missing are some palm trees lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 25 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: It is pouring here. Radar shows a clear nnw/sse line where the heavy rain is west and lighter east. Cedar Rapids appears to be far enough west to remain in the heavy rain. glad things worked out have managed a good deal of sun here so far, so expecting some garden variety+ this evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 9, 2020 Author Share Posted June 9, 2020 Couple of popcorn cells have gone up to my south. Would estimate frequent gusts 35-40 mph now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 The heavy convective shower that's heading right at MLI is the type that could easily cause a brief spin-up with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 winds a steady 20 with gusts into the 30s now. first showers on the doorstep here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 12z hrrrv4 is pretty fun here, nothing high end but frequent activity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Do you think it would be worth trying to chase anything over central/eastern Michigan tomorrow? Storms will be moving so fast and the cloud bases will be low. I worry it may not be worth the anxiety, but then I will be disappointed if I miss something good. Scattered wet-microburst type wind damage looks a lot more likely than good supercell structure with tornado potential honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 18 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: The heavy convective shower that's heading right at MLI is the type that could easily cause a brief spin-up with this setup. And one minute later it commences to crap the bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 12z hrrrv4 is pretty fun here, nothing high end but frequent activity I had my fill of tropical showers in FL. High wind/tor potential or pass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Just now, Chicago Storm said: I had my fill of tropical showers in FL. pass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 9, 2020 Author Share Posted June 9, 2020 Overall there has been a gradual uptick in intensity of the nw-se band in IL/IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Good amount of sun and wind right now 2pmish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Hit 90 and KSBN. Dew of 68. Winds SE at 23 gusting to 36. Nice hot, humid, windy day in Northern Indiana. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Nice tropical band of pouring rain here now with wind gusts in the low 30 mph range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Like a warm gale off the the Gulf here with a hot shower...where's that guy at from Wisconsin that used to love palm trees? I could use a few...back to sun.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted June 9, 2020 Share Posted June 9, 2020 Fun lil game I get to play opening and closing windows with these big gusts of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 9, 2020 Author Share Posted June 9, 2020 Every time I think we're about done with the sun, it comes back out. It's weird because it's been looking cloudy to the s/se but it keeps finding a way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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