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Cristobal Remnants June 9-10


Hoosier
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I know SPC is pessimistic with that meso wrt a possible tornado watch for se IL into sw and central IN but whenever I see altocumulus cloud streets with other svr parameters being favorable I have to wonder.  Only problem seems to be lack of a sustained trigger or focus at the moment.

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BP down to 991mb here, and 990mb at MLI and DVN.  Looks like the low center is passing a bit west of the QC, so prob 989mb somewhere between the obs.  

Have picked up 0.55" here.  Things pretty much went as planned for this area.  A benign event if you didn't know what was causing it.  Still hoping for a few 35mph+ gusts between 6-9pm immediately following the center of circulation.

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1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Wonder what kind of winds that the run of the mill showers upstream will produce.

I know that the run of the mill showers that moved through here a couple of hours ago brought down some strong winds that NWS didn't even have a SPS on until I reported damage. The first tree I saw come down because it's my neighbor's. I also felt sorry for the guy whose new truck bed got crunched. Will have to keep an eye on the next set of showers getting ready to roll through.

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8 minutes ago, IWXwx said:

I know that the run of the mill showers that moved through here a couple of hours ago brought down some strong winds that NWS didn't even have a SPS on until I reported damage. The first tree I saw come down because it's my neighbor's. I also felt sorry for the guy whose new truck bed got crunched. Will have to keep an eye on the next set of showers getting ready to roll through.

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#crushedbycristobal

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2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Several rotating showers in southern LO CWA currently.

The one in southern Livingston county looks interesting.

Would not be surprised if we get quick touchdowns that go unwarned on a day like this.   

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7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Several rotating showers in southern LO CWA currently.

Right at the front of that mid-level westerly jet. Not the best instability but perhaps enough for some quick ones just S/E of Chicago and especially NW IN/SW MI next few hours.

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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0891.html

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Mesoscale Discussion 0891 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0620 PM CDT Tue Jun 09 2020 Areas affected...northern Illinois/Indiana and vicinity Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 092320Z - 100115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...A brief, weak tornado or two are possible across northern Illinois/Indiana and possibly into far southwest Michigan. While the severe threat is likely isolated, trends will be monitored for a possible tornado watch. DISCUSSION...Tropical Depression Cristobal is continuing to move northward across the Midwest with a deep, well defined surface low in eastern Iowa/northwest Illinois. Breaks in the clouds across portions of central/northern Illinois/Indiana has led to some stronger instability with satellite/radar imagery showing a slight uptick in convection recently. Low-level shear remains strong with larger hodographs east of the surface low. Transient weak rotation has been observed with a few convective cells, but convection is remaining somewhat weak, with relatively narrow updrafts. However, given the presence of low-level helicity and potential convective intensification associated with increasing destabilization, a couple of brief, weak tornadoes and convectively-aided strong wind gusts are possible across the area this evening. ..Nauslar/Hart.. 06/09/2020

 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
653 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2020  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...  
  
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT.  
      
* AT 652 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED OVER KANKAKEE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO.  

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another

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
656 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2020  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  CENTRAL WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...  
  
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT.  
      
* AT 655 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED NEAR MANHATTAN, OR 7 MILES WEST OF PEOTONE, MOVING  
  NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  

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TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
713 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2020  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  SOUTHEASTERN WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS...  
  CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN INDIANA...  
  
* UNTIL 800 PM CDT.  
      
* AT 712 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED OVER GRANT PARK, OR NEAR MOMENCE, MOVING NORTHEAST AT   
  40 MPH. TRAINED SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD WITH THIS   
  STORM.   
  
  HAZARD...TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  BEECHER AROUND 725 PM CDT.  
  CEDAR LAKE AND LAKE DALECARLIA AROUND 735 PM CDT.  
  ST. JOHN AND DYER AROUND 740 PM CDT.  
  SCHERERVILLE, CROWN POINT AND HIGHLAND AROUND 745 PM CDT.  
  MERRILLVILLE, GRIFFITH AND WINFIELD AROUND 750 PM CDT.  
  GARY AND HOBART AROUND 800 PM CDT.  
  
THIS INCLUDES...  ILLIANA MOTOR SPEEDWAY AND LAKE COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.  
   

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