tiger_deF Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Another day, another SW shift on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Bermuda may take it on the chin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Given how large a shift the GFS has had over the last several cycles, and its historical struggles in the tropics, I'm inclined to just toss its output beyond day 2 or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Hoth said: Given how large a shift the GFS has had over the last several cycles, and its historical struggles in the tropics, I'm inclined to just toss its output beyond day 2 or 3 unless it shows and impact of dizzying proportions in New England. lol ... just kidding - 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Lot of things going on out there. Looks like Teddy gets stuck underneath that trough moving in from the GL this weekend. Until that breaks down, we won't a clear idea of where it will eventually track. Money is always on OTS with a storm that far N in the tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 GBGL as Dick Albert used to say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: lol ... just kidding - lol, well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Lot of things going on out there. Looks like Teddy gets stuck underneath that trough moving in from the GL this weekend. Until that breaks down, we won't a clear idea of where it will eventually track. Money is always on OTS with a storm that far N in the tropics. It's not a bad way to anticipate ... no - But, we are in an era where the outcomes have increasingly been... 'extra ordinary' when inference from history/statistical suggestion is employed to put it nicely. Lol, the problem with that is, the event of concern gets to hide from expectation huh - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Land falling cane in New England your money always has to be on a fish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Let’s hope teddy is as attracted to MA as our late former senator namesake was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Big weenie setup on the ICON, let's see if it holds the next few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: Big weenie setup on the ICON, let's see if it holds the next few days Yesterday was the weenie step. It's been more of a reality check since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 3 hours ago, tamarack said: Keg Lake? I'd rather not see that Euro run with the 973 mb Cat 2 coming ashore in Machias. We'd be facing tens of thousands of cords flattened, and probably unmarketable because private lands would have 20 times as much to salvage. Nearby...Duck Lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 12z Geps 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Meanwhile 35th anniversary of Hurricane Gloria coming up later this month. I remember calling the. Accuweather hotline about 30+ times a day for updates as it approached Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 12z Geps What's the ARPEGE and ICON show? May as well throw in them and even the NAVGEM to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What's the ARPEGE and ICON show? May as well throw in them and even the NAVGEM to boot. The most important CRAS run of our lives coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 16, 2020 Author Share Posted September 16, 2020 EURO with Teddy backing into Maine/NB border 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Euro takes Ted into eastern Maine again. Cut off seemed more SW relative to prior runs. I would love to witness the Fundy surge if that played out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: What's the ARPEGE and ICON show? May as well throw in them and even the NAVGEM to boot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 People who already gave up with Teddy are probably the same ones who gave up with the past storms that hit the northeast. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Is teddy still retrograding west in that last map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, Cyclone-68 said: Is teddy still retrograding west in that last map? Comes inland way up by Machias 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 Toddy gonna slam right into ENE and then rotate SW thru the region it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: Is teddy still retrograding west in that last map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Toddy gonna slam right into ENE and then rotate SW thru the region it seems Toddy is your imaginary friend ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted September 16, 2020 Author Share Posted September 16, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Toddy gonna slam right into ENE and then rotate SW thru the region it seems heads WNW after that along the border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: Euro takes Ted into eastern Maine again. Cut off seemed more SW relative to prior runs. I would love to witness the Fundy surge if that played out Euro seems pretty convinced of that cutoff and blocking high. There's also a clear SW trend with the cutoff. I don't think Teddy will get that far west because of how far east it is to begin with but it's an intriguing setup nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 12Z Euro. Let's end this drought in a big way. I guess just got to slow down Teddy a bit and strengthen the high to the northeast of us. Have the storm come in from a SE to NW direction over the Gulf Stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 16, 2020 Share Posted September 16, 2020 There has been at least one storm that made landfall in ME but the name escapes me . Edit I think it was in Freeport of all places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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