Chrisrotary12 Posted July 28, 2020 Share Posted July 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: #weneedthis #MyLawnNeedsThis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Somewhat interesting ... the 18z GFS appears to have partially capitulated to those GGEM ilk kind of sticks the Euro on an island by its self. I mentioned this earlier… The Euro has a history of being a bit delayed with initiation in the tropics wondering if this is one of those times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 We gulf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We gulf. Meh wont know for sure until recon and models find an actual center Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 16 hours ago, MJO812 said: tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: We gulf. I'd hedge that way as well unless we see some weakening in that ridging dvelop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Meh wont know for sure until recon and models find an actual center It's developing more and more to the SW IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 29, 2020 Author Share Posted July 29, 2020 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's developing more and more to the SW IMO. yeah getting close, based on the last pass of recon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 yeah...but to elaborate on what should be glaring... every passing hour that there is no center or enough momentum therein, shades the potential of this thing... at this point, it looks like it's already into the eastern Caribbean gauntlet where most bambi's take a bullet - mm gee....looks like the conservative genesis approach of the Euro may have merited in this case ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 PTC9 reminds me of Isaac in 2012. Ensembles initially supported a system up the east coast, but the storm took forever to form and eventually landfalled as a cane in Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Navgem please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Does anyone ever wonder if NHC is ... cow-tied to the models ? Looking out along the expanse of the CV traffic route ...there's three eye ballers out there, but there is utterly no interest in one that's midriff or the the one that just emerged off Africa. Perhaps they have tools that flesh those out as just eternal TW thunderheads .... I don't know. But I've noticed that there is almost never an Invest designated without perhaps some number of ensembles doing it first - interesting. I wonder if one of these develops. They seemed to do pretty good; in that sense it's not a knock. I just find it curious that there's never a designation without modeling doing it first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 The euro now has it east of Florida..but pretty weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Does anyone ever wonder if NHC is ... cow-tied to the models ? Looking out along the expanse of the CV traffic route ...there's three eye ballers out there, but there is utterly no interest in one that's midriff or the the one that just emerged off Africa. Perhaps they have tools that flesh those out as just eternal TW thunderheads .... I don't know. But I've noticed that there is almost never an Invest designated without perhaps some number of ensembles doing it first - interesting. I wonder if one of these develops. They seemed to do pretty good; in that sense it's not a knock. I just find it curious that there's never a designation without modeling doing it first. Appears unfavorable sinking air for the next few systems , no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 14 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The euro now has it east of Florida..but pretty weak And up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 It’s weak . Looks like a slug of downpours for 2 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/hwrftc2.cgi?time=2020072912-nine09l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s weak . Looks like a slug of downpours for 2 hours For now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 49 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: The euro now has it east of Florida..but pretty weak mmm I actually think that's a nod in favor of the other guidance ilk that threatened the EC ...with what remains to be seen... but, it's a nod in favor. It has the system coherently throughout the guidance' pressure pattern/evolution there That said, how often does one see a REX configuration in the Lakes and a EC/L.I. express routed TC ...weak or not?? Fascinating - that's us being S of the HC interface, no question...because typically that confluence would not be that far N to allow that evolution. Heh...be that as it may, it's a nodder - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 41 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Appears unfavorable sinking air for the next few systems , no yeah heh...right, I could also like ...look at weather charts, huh. no but I think they have indoctrinated a reliance a bit - I guess it makes arithmetic sense. If the models detect genesis like a million times more proficiently than the exuberant corral of a public domain social media parade ...maybe they should put their chips down on the models - lest they spend their whole lives writing section 6 reasons for deviation forms - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Did you draw that with a black sharpie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 Good. Could use the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 laughable difference from 12z to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: laughable difference from 12z to 18z We should be able to say that a few more times with next model runs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 Some biggies on the 18z Euro we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 30, 2020 Share Posted July 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Some biggies on the 18z Euro we pray can I ask why? I mean you are so far inland you would have to chase to see anything 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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