Cyclone-68 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 I guess we’ll have to hope for a well timed eye wall replacement cycle for this not to be as devastating as it seems destined to be? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 28 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I guess we’ll have to hope for a well timed eye wall replacement cycle for this not to be as devastating as it seems destined to be? I doubt there is enough time to matter much, but every little bit helps I guess. That surge is going to be severe if not devestating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Gonna be a 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna be a 5 Hype is in Full effect. Not really sure if the landfall region is greatly populated or not. Forecasters project that some coastal areas near the Texas-Louisiana border could see "unsurvivable" storm surge, which could impact areas up to 30 miles inland. https://www.npr.org/2020/08/26/906203511/hurricane-laura-forecast-to-bring-unsurvivable-storm-surge-as-category-4-storm?fbclid=IwAR3lt9Ij-Iuw7mS0eWO0yNHjuAuNcyLq5V5mYx5KbbGd8PCfIh1E-NcRS54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Hype is in Full effect. Not really sure if the landfall region is greatly populated or not. https://www.npr.org/2020/08/26/906203511/hurricane-laura-forecast-to-bring-unsurvivable-storm-surge-as-category-4-storm?fbclid=IwAR3lt9Ij-Iuw7mS0eWO0yNHjuAuNcyLq5V5mYx5KbbGd8PCfIh1E-NcRS54 Negative, unless this shifts more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 200900 2755N 09228W 6953 02815 9652 +131 +131 131132 136 113 050 00 200930 2756N 09227W 6961 02841 9687 +128 +128 133132 133 113 049 00 201000 2757N 09226W 6970 02852 9707 +131 +131 133130 133 106 021 00 201030 2758N 09225W 6971 02875 9747 +126 +126 135128 130 102 019 00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna be a 5 nah your boy says degradation to a 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 13 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: 200900 2755N 09228W 6953 02815 9652 +131 +131 131132 136 113 050 00 200930 2756N 09227W 6961 02841 9687 +128 +128 133132 133 113 049 00 201000 2757N 09226W 6970 02852 9707 +131 +131 133130 133 106 021 00 201030 2758N 09225W 6971 02875 9747 +126 +126 135128 130 102 019 00 Code to a hack? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Not out of question we get some rain from this. Models track it just south of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Code to a hack? I think there is a site for that need to find it but the first line would be 136 knots flight level and 113 is SFMR and 50 is rain rate.. the pressure is the 6th column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 26, 2020 Author Share Posted August 26, 2020 those 130 kt winds are pretty close to the ground, probably some nasty gusts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 There were 98 tornados with Rita. Already 4 warnings out for Laura 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 NWS Lake Charles has evacuated. 10' Msl, surge expected 15 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 SW eyewall definitely looks somewhat eroded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: Hype is in Full effect. Not really sure if the landfall region is greatly populated or not. https://www.npr.org/2020/08/26/906203511/hurricane-laura-forecast-to-bring-unsurvivable-storm-surge-as-category-4-storm?fbclid=IwAR3lt9Ij-Iuw7mS0eWO0yNHjuAuNcyLq5V5mYx5KbbGd8PCfIh1E-NcRS54 In fairness, the "unsurvivable" is coming directly from the NHC. You can argue whether that's hype or not, but it's not the result of media blowing it out of proportion. 50 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: NWS Lake Charles has evacuated. 10' Msl, surge expected 15 feet I would say it's a pretty small list of NWS offices this vulnerable to storm surge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 There's a FEMA .kmz file you can download and display on Google Earth. The 100 year flood zone extends inland about 25 miles from the coast. It does not appear there is many that live in this area, but I sure as hell hope those folks that do evacuate to higher ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 That eye is huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: In fairness, the "unsurvivable" is coming directly from the NHC. You can argue whether that's hype or not, but it's not the result of media blowing it out of proportion. I would say it's a pretty small list of NWS offices this vulnerable to storm surge. I know it’s far away but LCH Radar is showing 160 plus mph at height, SFMR showing 153 mph now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 There really are no good beach cams in Louisiana where This is heading. Good news is that speaks to probably the last populated 50 mile swath of coastline on gulf ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I know it’s far away but LCH Radar is showing 160 plus mph at height, SFMR showing 153 mph now Yeah it's far away, but it's still at the upper end of what has been sampled on radars before. Not playing around with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 First pass looks like recon found 937.4mb in the NE eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 937mb. Port Arthur is going to take a beating. Wonder if heating oil is produced there? Maybe time to quickly fill up the oil tanks before prices go up the next few days?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 15 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah it's far away, but it's still at the upper end of what has been sampled on radars before. Not playing around with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 937mb. Port Arthur is going to take a beating. Wonder if heating oil is produced there? Maybe time to quickly fill up the oil tanks before prices go up the next few days?? Gonna have to go due North now to go East of LCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Thinking it's Cat 5 now 155 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Thinking it's Cat 5 now 155 Technically 156+ is a 5, but its basically semantics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gonna have to go due North now to go east of LCH 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gonna have to go due North now to go East of LCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 17 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 937mb. Port Arthur is going to take a beating. Wonder if heating oil is produced there? Maybe time to quickly fill up the oil tanks before prices go up the next few days?? Lots of refining and storage there Largest refinery in the US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 179 knots at 830 mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Resin suppliers have implemented two price increase, One in July and one in Aug and just announced another one for Sept as prices for polyethylene is on the rise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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