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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2020


Bostonseminole
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1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Man that thing looks insidious ...

but ... sometimes comparatively weak TCs in that region of the Atlantic basin can achieve some exotic cloud heights .. only to have an aircraft get in there and find out it’s 50 kts 

Think this ramps up soon looking good

  • Weenie 1
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33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

My sister sent me that book last year. I had read it before but had lost it. I really really hope the Euro is wrong.

Well ,we know it’s weenie maps are overdone 

Still a decent amount of dry air NW of Laura which seems to be the theme of 2020 . Doesn’t mean she Won’t RI sometime later , but it’s certainly something to watch.

 

 

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Well ,we know it’s weenie maps are overdone 

Still a decent amount of dry air NW of Laura which seems to be the theme of 2020 . Doesn’t mean she Won’t RI sometime later , but it’s certainly something to watch.

 

 

Every model has a cat 3. Hope you are right

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12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Every model has a cat 3. Hope you are right

To be honest , I’m really just wondering if the airmass in her path is forecast to have less dry air or if models are just finding that low shear and high SST’s are gonna do the trick and sort of over compensate regarding her impressive forecast strengthening. Bc if the latter Is the case , that could provide a lower confidence intensity forecast. 

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