CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Yawn Did I do that right? Yiggity Yawn if you want to do it right. We yawn unless it reorganizes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Places that received 8 to 11 inches of rain in July get hammered again. Its gonna rain where it wants to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Bastardi talking about warm tops near the center (implying eye) is shadowing and subsidence...not an eye trying to form. You see that in MCS complexes out in the Plains. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Places that received 8 to 11 inches of rain in July get hammered again. Its gonna rain where it wants to rain Yup... wet gunna wet. Most modeling has like a half an inch of rain here.... that won’t even put a dent in the dry conditions here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup... wet gunna wet. Most modeling has like a half an inch of rain here.... that won’t even put a dent in the dry conditions here. Might not get any rain East of river if it keeps going west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Nam is stronger and slightly east down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like that eastern PA into NJ and SE NY axis for uber rains. Wet month for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 You can bet on covered bridge washouts in VT with this. Has that nasty look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: You can bet on covered bridge washouts in VT with this. Has that nasty look The rain axis and totals are looking a bit like Irene. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 3k NAM is way faster than the 12k....has the circulation up near NYC at 60hr while the 12k is still down by the Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 this may be the worst circumstances for the weather-model cinema reliance there can be... nothing but denied faux dystopian drama, ...culminating zero reward, followed by a banality on a scale that challenges the very endurance of man - ...rip off, then driven to ennui insanity. Nice - the irony being? that is dystopian. in a Fantasy novel ... this is like the soil-side of a metaphysical providence, one that requires your time to nourish its self, and these sort of rewardless expenditures therein are like the fruits of its garden - and this year is a bumper crop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Hopefully my melt helps, because NAM at 925 is pretty impressive in SNE. VT bridges washed out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 26 minutes ago, dendrite said: The rain axis and totals are looking a bit like Irene. Here's the Deerfield River in Shelburne Falls the day after Irene. Appaprently my other stuff is on phones I may not longer have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully my melt helps, because NAM at 925 is pretty impressive in SNE. VT bridges washed out. Folks tying pony tails to anything they can right now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Folks tying pony tails to anything they can right now Man bun elastics used to tie bridges to the trunks of trees. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Man bun elastics used to tie bridges to the trunks of trees. Freak getting his skis ready to use for waterski rescues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Nice low level theta-e gradient setting up under the right entrance region of a 130kt upper level jet. That's a nice PRE look. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nova737 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I just want some rain. We do need it. Hopefully we get high winds too since one of the things on by bucket list is to experience hurricane force winds in person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: Nice low level theta-e gradient setting up under the right entrance region of a 130kt upper level jet. That's a nice PRE look. Chicken run turned into raging river and washing away the coops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Looks like the GFS ticked east from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Wouldn't 6" of rain in 12 hours be mostly runoff anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 40 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully my melt helps, because NAM at 925 is pretty impressive in SNE. VT bridges washed out. Tropical moisture and orographic processes make for some interesting combinations sometimes. This is mildly concerning. If that track holds with the PRE ahead of it, certainly could do 3-6" somewhere. Some very strong H7 fronto that pivots right through N/C VT there. Would be quite a 6-hourly dump of water. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 I just want interesting weather. I'd be happy with a lot of rain 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Tropical moisture and orographic processes make for some interesting combinations sometimes. This is mildly concerning. If that track holds with the PRE ahead of it, certainly could do 3-6" somewhere. Some very strong H7 fronto that pivots right through N/C VT there. Would be quite a 6-hourly dump of water. Danger ahead 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Riveting system 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 tc's take the path of least resistance which is why i think the track will shift slightly eastward 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, forkyfork said: tc's take the path of least resistance which is why i think the track will shift slightly eastward Unless people want it to ...and then it "seems" to edge on the side of physical defiance ... sending grad-students to paper anomalies - or by the matrix engineers reasons after the fact and alters reality to maintain the illusion of randomness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Hopefully the west track holds and we stay relatively dry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Recon finding close to hurricane force winds again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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