Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Ryan’s pretty pumped for Tuesday while Scooter is melting over no rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan’s pretty pumped for Tuesday while Scooter is melting over no rain What’s his general take on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Anything under 3" of rain is a bust. Trending towards a bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Maybe an inch here ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 52 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Zzzzzzzzz 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yawn. The little keeping you up? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What’s his general take on it? Says little to no rain but soundings are quite gusty with good wind threat and theres a severe/ tornado threat. But rain threat gone way west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Kevin putting words into Ryan's mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 They'll be some gusty winds and yeah any spiral bands could have a spinner threat...but overall this is pretty meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin putting words into Ryan's mouth. Shall I literally post his text? That’s what he said verbatim . You saw it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Shall I literally post his text? That’s what he said verbatim . You saw it Pretty pumped? GFS has 50-60 gusts..hopefully it is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 I stayed up for the Euro for the 1st time this season. Feels like tracking a winte storm 12z tropical models shifted slightly west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Kevin putting words into Ryan's mouth. lol no kidding. If this goes too far west I'd be worried about missing out on rain. Do think there's a risk for some tornadoes east of the storm's path and at least some gusty wind particularly south coast. Not a huge storm but may be fun for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: lol no kidding. If this goes too far west I'd be worried about missing out on rain. Do think there's a risk for some tornadoes east of the storm's path and at least some gusty wind particularly south coast. Not a huge storm but may be fun for some. That's how I feel. Seems like river east a wind threat. I guess it depends how this thing does from now until the next landfall in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That's how I feel. Seems like river east a wind threat. I guess it depends how this thing does from now until the next landfall in the Carolinas. It also has to strengthen some. A 1002 mb low over BDR isn't going to be very exciting. If the UKMet is right with something in the mid 980s then we'll have more of an opportunity for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That's how I feel. Seems like river east a wind threat. I guess it depends how this thing does from now until the next landfall in the Carolinas. You’re a hard read these days, haha. Zzzzzz or yawns with maybe a wind threat and isolated tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: You’re a hard read these days, haha. Zzzzzz or yawns with maybe a wind threat and isolated tornadoes. It's still pretty meh. The wind threat is up in the air depending on intensity. The rain will be well west in NY state. I'd feel a lot better with an organized Cat 1 east of FL, but instead it contracted COVID-19 in FL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Pretty clear it has a defined MLC on Miami radar. But it's still a virtual naked swirl with the LLC. If that persists, not sure how fun it will be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: That's more or less where I am. If this landfalls near Wilmington I think we're in the game for something relatively interesting. If its a Euro track up through SC it's probably too far west for rain and too weak for good wind along the coast. That's why I haven't really punted yet. As you could see on the 06z Euro, there's a window for some intensification. If this is further east, there's more time for something decent to develop and head this way. Otherwise, we yawn together as the Mid-Atlantic cashes in again. There's a lot of ifs in there though. That almost always tells you where you stand. Between the heat, drought, and lack of storms, it has been a grueling summer The heat has been good, but otherwise extremely boring. Tired of watering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: So recon shows that. I'd feel a lot better if that became the true center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 I just want some rain. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I just want some rain. Me too. I'm in a better position than you. I don't care about a few 35mph gusts just a 3" soak. I'm excited for that but some of the trends are so far west it may be VT/NY. It would be interesting if Isaias could relocate under convection. Then the center has a much better chance of staying offshore and a stronger storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 VT will jack with 4-6" because Vermont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Was just going to post this.. if this happens this could be alot of fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Anyone got the 6z Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 I like that eastern PA into NJ and SE NY axis for uber rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Anyone got the 6z Euro? Yawn Did I do that right? 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 Cross sections on some modeling is eye opening to the east. 850 winds are no joke. Any convective cells could be crazy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Anyone got the 6z Euro? Yeah, what specifically are you looking for with Isaias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 2, 2020 Share Posted August 2, 2020 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Anyone got the 6z Euro? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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