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SNE "Tropical" Season Discussion 2020


Bostonseminole
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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What is the favorable pattern for those? I don't understand them well....just know that you get a swath of rain well ahead of the cyclone.

For an East Coast recurve, you want a good upstream jet streak, mid level ridging north of the cyclone, and a good low level theta-e ridge drawn north extending well NE of the center. 

m_i1520-0493-138-8-3272-f24.png?Expires=

Model forecasts are pretty close to this conceptual model. 

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43 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

For an East Coast recurve, you want a good upstream jet streak, mid level ridging north of the cyclone, and a good low level theta-e ridge drawn north extending well NE of the center. 

m_i1520-0493-138-8-3272-f24.png?Expires=

Model forecasts are pretty close to this conceptual model. 

We (she) wet.

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