Damage In Tolland Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 You wonder if we may pull a 55 type year with a Connie and Diane. What the first doesn’t take down, the second does kind of thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just looking at that distribution, that doesn’t particularly look favorable for our neck of the woods. Obviously that far out things will change. We’ll see if we have some chances during the peak.. Pattern looks ripe I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 TD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 I’ll chase one like rev chases Dilfs I would like to see Another Hurricane Bob like Swell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Yeah tropics should light up soon.. fun times tracking ahead!Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 9 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if we may pull a 55 type year with a Connie and Diane. What the first doesn’t take down, the second does kind of thing This is more plausible than 1938 walking through the door. What is the last CAT 2 or 3 storm to hit New England? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: This is more plausible than 1938 walking through the door. What is the last CAT 2 or 3 storm to hit New England? Maybe Bob in '91? I'm not sure what category it was officially at landfall, but Block Island gusted to like 110 or 115. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 35 minutes ago, Hoth said: Maybe Bob in '91? I'm not sure what category it was officially at landfall, but Block Island gusted to like 110 or 115. Close, probably a little higher iirc. We gusted 120 in E Fal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: Close, probably a little higher iirc. We gusted 120 in E Fal Epic. The homeowner in me wishes to never see wind like that, but my inner weenie would give anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: Epic. The homeowner in me wishes to never see wind like that, but my inner weenie would give 15 minutes ago, Hoth said: Epic. The homeowner in me wishes to never see wind like that, but my inner weenie would give anything. I'll take excessive wind over rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 11 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if we may pull a 55 type year with a Connie and Diane. What the first doesn’t take down, the second does kind of thing Not all that much blew down from those storms. I'd guess than 98% of damage was from the epic flooding. BDL had 21.3" RA that August, 4" from Connie and over 14" from Diane less than a week later. Farther NW, Norfolk had 9" from Connie and nearly 13" from Diane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Looks like we have #Gonzalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Hopefully it’s not “going, going Gon-zalo” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Many mets and folks here have been saying a 38 type cane is coming this fall. Let’s do it! 12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder if we may pull a 55 type year with a Connie and Diane. What the first doesn’t take down, the second does kind of thing Why not both? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 29 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Why not both? Our 54-55 double play - 5 TCs for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 looks like we will have another system form in the gulf, but pretty weak.. not enough time to develop it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Juan "gone" was a stud back in the early/mid 90's - miss those simpler times of steroid abuse and big slams (and landfalling SNE hurricanes) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Mm.. wonder how these enhanced probability calls for a '38 type redux are rooted... I don't see it based upon super-synoptic hemispheric trends ... not even close. We have a central/mid-latitude CONUS ridge that keeps burgeoning and then sort of doing a hemispheric-scaled Kelvin-Hemholtz tumble-over... evidenced in the counter-balanced tendency to dive the wind field through the Martimes. Proobably need to review a crucial conceptual point about entities in the atmosphere? ... they move with the wind ... What about that above seasonality persistence sends a category 3 cane up abeam the EC headed for deforestation of VT - Now, ... it's not IMpossible to have an anomaly relative to the persistence above ...set up just in time... Shit happens... But, it seems the longitudinal flow/progressivity in the means is both trend, and has planetary super-synoptic scale motivators for being that way... Namely, the expanded HC seems to be expressing this summer... It is making for increased ambient velocities at mid levels and that doesn't really physically support meridian flow structures - like placing a negative hydrostatic anomaly over WV and sucking a cane up toward or into the NY Bite... Just in short, a ridge axis 90 to 80W that is sharply ablating from the NW along and E of 70 ... even though the GFS does so too much... in a lesser variation of the GFS ...still deflects and hooks seaward N of the Del Marva 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 25 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Probably a broad LLC for 91L but easterly shear looks like an issue right now. Given how far along it apparently is right now it may be an overperformer candidate. We’ll see. The Gulf is warm to say the least and the western Gulf has a nice area of TCHP. recon incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 22, 2020 Author Share Posted July 22, 2020 Should be some great swells in Hawaii this week from Douglas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Just looking to get an idea of what a typical 500 pattern might look like for a SNE cane if there is such a thing? I'm catching on what to look for in the winter blocking, trough position etc...I'm curious how does this translate in to a tropical sense at 500 look like for some of the past storms that have effected SNE? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 18 minutes ago, ScituateWX said: Just looking to get an idea of what a typical 500 pattern might look like for a SNE cane if there is such a thing? I'm catching on what to look for in the winter blocking, trough position etc...I'm curious how does this translate in to a tropical sense at 500 look like for some of the past storms that have effected SNE? Thanks! https://www.ryanhanrahan.com/new-england-hurricane-setups/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Something to watch be we know how this usually goes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Something to watch be we know how this usually goes.. thats TD8 after the gulf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Nah, TD 8 should continue a westward heading under the ridge. Euro wants to break off some additional vorticity in the Gulf in a few days and drive it off the east coast. Doesn’t seem to be worth any time really. That wave behind Gonzalo is one to watch however in the long term as we move past this suppressive phase in the basin. Gonzo looks like it might not make it.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 39 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Gonzo looks like it might not make it.. What's the record for number of tropical storms in a season? (i.e. systems that maxed out as a TS) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 23, 2020 Author Share Posted July 23, 2020 5 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: What's the record for number of tropical storms in a season? (i.e. systems that maxed out as a TS) 2005 had 13 TS it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 24, 2020 Share Posted July 24, 2020 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Wow we track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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