Baroclinic Zone Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ehh not sure I totally agree with that. Given the position of the trough axis and mean flow ahead of it we'll get typical summer-time pop up downpours and t'storms daily...but to your point certainly nothing that would provide widespread relief. It would be like Fay. All this hype and talk of widespread soakings and it would end up hit and miss with Bermuda blues and low topped streamers . As boring an outcome as possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It would be like Fay. All this hype and talk of widespread soakings and it would end up hit and miss with Bermuda blues and low topped streamers . As boring an outcome as possible This is a completely different scenario than Fay...IMO. Perhaps the second half of the week would be more likely to be on the drier side as the flow flattens out but regardless of what happens with Isaias the flow is strong and southerly with an approaching front. Even if it were to go into FL...I am sure we would tap into moisture and advect it northward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 NHC shifting the cone further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 1 hour ago, dryslot said: New to weather, eh? I blame myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, JC-CT said: I blame myself Usually first week of Aug is stellar, I use to take that week off years back before i had my own company when working for a previous employer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: NHC shifting the cone further west. that's a bit of good news Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: NHC shifting the cone further west. Brings it close to my coast here FL, Stuart/Jupiter area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: NHC shifting the cone further west. Matters for Bahamas to NC but it seems the westerlies usually lead to adjustments east once it reaches 35N latitude , it’s rare for a system w out a classic Ohio trough to not tickle east (as for some reason models) seem poor with its angle of movement between 35-45 N latitude and always correct toward less of a NNE component and more toward NE /ENE (in my experience) maybe Mets can chime in on the chances for the east trough to align more favorable for a more poleward north motion above 35N as opposed to the opposite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Usually first week of Aug is stellar, I use to take that week off years back before i had my own company when working for a previous employer. Thanks, I'm legitimately down about it. My girlfriend wanted to take off the 3rd week in August but I figured the earlier the better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I'd feel a little bit better about it if the 0z ukmet verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Matters for Bahamas to NC but it seems the westerlies usually lead to adjustments east once it reaches 35N latitude , it’s rare for a system w out a classic Ohio trough to not tickle east (as for some reason models) seem poor with its angle of movement between 35-45 N latitude and always correct toward less of a NNE component and more toward NE /ENE (in my experience) maybe Mets can chime in on the chances for the east trough to align more favorable for a more poleward north motion above 35N as opposed to the opposite Good reason why its hard to get a LF tropical system up this way, Usually, One, They're transitioning to extra tropical because of colder waters (which may not be the case this year) and two, They usually are hauling azz as the climb latitude as the get above 40N after considerable weakening. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 52 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I'd feel a little bit better about it if the 0z ukmet verified. apparantly the 12zUKie looks similar to the 12z GFS-into FL and then mostly inland once to SC. A non event for us verbatim outside of some heavy rains etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Canadian is south of MIA...lol. Can't say that is ridiculous either. If it stays sort of disorganized, west it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 A couple puffs of wind, Somewhat high surf, Some minor beach erosion and some rain up here, Call it a day and look for the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Who knows what will happen yet. Anyone dismissing it or trolling is an idiot 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I really hope we get a full fledged Hurricane up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: 4 days is much of an escape path. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 i'm just hoping for some wind and rain...i don't think i'm asking for much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 The setup simply doesn't favor a big hurricane ripping into NE. Weenies will be weenies, though. It could happen tomorrow etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: The setup simply doesn't favor a big hurricane ripping into NE. Weenies will be weenies, though. Then what does it favor ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 11 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: Who knows what will happen yet. Anyone dismissing it or trolling is an idiot 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 18 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said: next Troll 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Then what does it favor ? Not a big hurricane ripping into NE? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Ukie into FL south of MIA. Then, up east coast as a decent storm and passing just NW of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 It looks a looks a little healthier this hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I'd like to see intensity of at least a 4, before thinking about a ragged multi-landfall cane on a NNE to possibly NE heading, making it up here with any gusto. I mean, Donna is the only one I can think of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 It looks good on Bahama radar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: It looks good on Bahama radar right now. it does seem like its trying to get its act together. some impressive hot towers blowing up. Also, HOW THE HELL DO YOU PRONOUNCE THiS SUCKERS NAME??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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