CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:06 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Was I traveling for that one? I don't remember that at all. E Mass deal? Expand Even the valley had wind damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Ineedsnow was losing trees left and right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:05 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Radar is improving too, though still ragged. Would really like to see convection firing closer to the center but this thing is holding its own...just as it did as half of AmWx tried to cancel it the last three days lol. Expand I'm still bit nervous for further strengthening...it's in an area where if it strengthens it could take off. Obviously there is no model support for that but given how it's holding it's own as the shear weakens and it becomes more favorably aligned with the shear...who knows what could happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:09 PM, CoastalWx said: Ineedsnow was losing trees left and right. Expand Hahahha was just reading the thread and this pops up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 Do they really have no planes either en route or in the storm right now? So weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:05 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Radar is improving too, though still ragged. Would really like to see convection firing closer to the center but this thing is holding its own...just as it did as half of AmWx tried to cancel it the last three days lol. Expand It looks pretty anemic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 It's gonna crush 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:10 PM, Dr. Dews said: It looks pretty anemic. Expand it does? what do you expect from a cat 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:10 PM, weatherwiz said: I'm still bit nervous for further strengthening...it's in an area where if it strengthens it could take off. Obviously there is no model support for that but given how it's holding it's own as the shear weakens and it becomes more favorably aligned with the shear...who knows what could happen. Expand Down to 993 now and strengthening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 6:50 PM, weatherwiz said: Get to watch the Bruins tomorrow and trees flying through the air. Expand You and I have very different definitions of tomorrow. (Bruins play Wednesday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:05 PM, CoastalWx said: We got smoked last October lol. Even Eeyore in East Boston had 70mph winds. Expand I’m thinking I mIght have been away then. But point taken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 I think the jet streak is going to make this one memorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:15 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: You and I have very different definitions of tomorrow. (Bruins play Wednesday) Expand crap...you're right. well I'm kinda glad about that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:18 PM, WxWatcher007 said: I think it'll get to cat 1, but I am a doubtful of anything higher end there. I'd need to see this wrap and stay first. The environment is better though so we'll see what happens. Expand If it did get higher than a cat 1 we would be in deep trouble But I doubt so too...I'm thinking maybe 80-85 mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:18 PM, DotRat_Wx said: I think the jet streak is going to make this one memorable Expand Then I would go to your ocean option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 6:32 PM, Ginx snewx said: Fuk Expand I would say "congrats Hoth", but I also like power and Internet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 I was without power for nearly 4 days last October. No thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 I think Isaias now warrants it's own thread. Just made one up. Could be an over achiever really getting it's act together this afternoon. Why don't we take conversation over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:24 PM, wxeyeNH said: I think Isaias now warrants it's own thread. Just made one up. Could be an over achiever really getting it's act together this afternoon. Why don't we take conversation over there. Expand good idea.. and no meh posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:10 PM, Dr. Dews said: It looks pretty anemic. Expand On 8/3/2020 at 7:11 PM, DotRat_Wx said: It's gonna crush Expand Well there then, Goal post set. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 the 18z HRRR has some nasty looking discrete cells moving through early tomorrow AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 starting to see some overshooting tots on satellite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 3, 2020 Author Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:26 PM, weatherwiz said: starting to see some overshooting tots on satellite Expand are those worst than tops? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:11 PM, Bostonseminole said: it does? what do you expect from a cat 1? Expand Cat 0 WTNT24 KNHC 031451 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020 1500 UTC MON AUG 03 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:26 PM, weatherwiz said: the 18z HRRR has some nasty looking discrete cells moving through early tomorrow AM Expand That’s the overnight UHI spins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:27 PM, Bostonseminole said: are those worst than tops? Expand Tater? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:27 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Haha yeah. If I had to guess right now I'd say 80 mph with a landfall in N Myrtle Beach. But there's a window to go a touch higher if this really wraps up. It has been so sensitive to convective changes that a big burst similar to what we saw after it crossed Haiti/DR could push it slightly past expectations. At this point, given the appearance on the south side of the center (radar, not IR), I doubt we see another dry air intrusion press the reset button on development. Expand yeah it does appear as if it will stop ingesting dry air shortly...or very little. Where landfall happens will be big too...obviously the longer the eye stays over the water the greater the chance for strengthening but in this situation the longer it stays over water the closer to we towards sunset/evening when convection can start to increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:29 PM, Damage In Tolland said: That’s the overnight UHI spins. Expand Looks like a window from 5-10 AM and then another maybe 4-8 PM. HRRR looks like it's going to be wild with wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:10 PM, Dr. Dews said: It looks pretty anemic. Expand I think you’re interpretations are pretty anemic. It has definitely improved from this morning for sure...and that’s the point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted August 3, 2020 Share Posted August 3, 2020 On 8/3/2020 at 7:27 PM, Bostonseminole said: are those worst than tops? Expand Tater tots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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