NSwx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Sigh..was hoping this would bring some rain up this way but we dry until October lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: If you look close enough... 5 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That would probably cause damage in Tolland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I just want that 3-4” of rain. I won’t lose sleep over missing out on a 35mph gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I really like the Euro track since it gets me into the heavy rain as the storm moves through New England. A good 2-4" soak. Thankfully there seems to be enough dry air and wind shear to keep Isaias from becoming something much stronger as a track like this would not be good for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, dendrite said: I just want that 3-4” of rain. I won’t lose sleep over missing out on a 35mph gust. It's perfect for us. Maybe for the weenies we can get a quick spin up or two over SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: heh...it's one of those deals where if it stays over water it probably is a tad stronger up this way... but if it moves over land, the models will hold on to too much structure up the coast. Think there is an extratropical boost with a strong rear jet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just want that 3-4” of rain. I won’t lose sleep over missing out on a 35mph gust. in 3 hrs though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: in 3 hrs though? That’s fine. Although 2hrs would be even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: in 3 hrs though? river tubing for the chickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: That’s fine. Although 2hrs would be even better. In and out or Up and in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Trying to look super close at the computer (so close I hit my nose on the screen) but satellite presentation really seems to be improving with an increase in convection. I like to call hot towers popcorn towers v/c they pop like popcorn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Trying to look super close at the computer (so close I hit my nose on the screen) but satellite presentation really seems to be improving with an increase in convection. I like to call hot towers popcorn towers v/c they pop like popcorn These pop too right out of the tip... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Don’t people get it? Most of us here love extremes. If it’s going to rain... flood .. if it’s going to be windy,, damage... etc etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Trying to look super close at the computer (so close I hit my nose on the screen) but satellite presentation really seems to be improving with an increase in convection. I like to call hot towers popcorn towers v/c they pop like popcorn It doesn't look terrible. Obviously sheared, but I frankly expected it to look worse today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 13 minutes ago, dendrite said: I just want that 3-4” of rain. I won’t lose sleep over missing out on a 35mph gust. Here here 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t people get it? Most of us here love extremes. If it’s going to rain... flood .. if it’s going to be windy,, damage... etc etc. Someone should call your home owners insurance. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Just now, Hoth said: It doesn't look terrible. Obviously sheared, but I frankly expected it to look worse today. It's done a relatively good job fighting the shear. I think it looks much better than it did this morning. We'll see how much these flare ups of convection help too...especially moving into the overnight when convection typically seems to really increase. Looks like even some cloud tops now colder than -90C...impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's done a relatively good job fighting the shear. I think it looks much better than it did this morning. We'll see how much these flare ups of convection help too...especially moving into the overnight when convection typically seems to really increase. Looks like even some cloud tops now colder than -90C...impressive Yes, given where we are diurnally, I'm impressed by how cold the tops are. Tonight will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 22 minutes ago, dendrite said: That’s fine. Although 2hrs would be even better. Had 3.5" in 2 hours in NNJ from "Doria", August 1971. Storm total was 5.1" and with the previous day's PRE dumping 3.8" we had nearly 9" in about 20 hours. Things had been quite dry so flooding was surprisingly modest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 It doesn’t have to be Bob or even Gloria in ‘85. I just don’t want it to be like Belle in ‘76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Meh EPS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 28 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Here here Someone should call your home owners insurance. lol all the years we have known him he never has had damage in Tolland at his house 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: all the years we have known him he never has had damage in Tolland at his house I can not effing like this enough. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 I have lost numerous trees in storms in both this house and my first house in town Always have posted pictures . But thanks for telling me what’s happened? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 8 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Odds are forever in his favor on NBD here. It takes a precise track to make TCs meaningful in New England. Let's stick to model analysis and lay off calling people out. Exactly. Couldn't have said it any better. Everything has to be practically perfect for a TC of at least min hurricane intensity to make landfall on LI or the New England coast. One thing is off (i.e. not moving fast enough, trof to W not sharp enough, first landfall down the coast, etc) it greatly reduces the overall threat and impact, at least from a wind and surge point. Rainfall can still be high impact, but you don't need a hurricane for that anywhere. It also helps if the hurricane is intense off the SEUS coast to begin with. It's been 29 years since the last hurricane made landfall on LI or the New England coast, by far the longest period on record going back to 1851. This shows how hard it can be during certain cycles/patterns. Of course, between 1938 and 1960, we got 5 hurricanes, all stronger at landfall than any of the 4 hurricanes the area has had since 1960. Feast or famine it seems! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I have lost numerous small limbs in storms in both this house and my first house in town Always have posted pictures . But thanks for telling me what’s happened? FYP 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I’m always drunk. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 Here I am worrying weather I have to shutter or not and Kev is worrying about picking up some sticks in the yard. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 22 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Here I am worrying weather I have to shutter or not and Kev is worrying about picking up some sticks in the yard. Classic Kev. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 31, 2020 Share Posted July 31, 2020 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Meh EPS run Looks like winter. Trying to figure out if it's going to go up the Hudson Valley, CT River Valley or will it head to BOS/PWM and ME coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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