nj2va Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 57/54. Good night for a fire pit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: GEFS and ENS don't get 500 heights above 585 through the 25th of June and dead tropics. This is quickly shaping up to be the year without a summer. Summer will arrive in September. Fall in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: Summer will arrive in September. Fall in December. Spring in February. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 Latest model trends continue with the upper low dropping further south into the Carolinas. This is looking a lot like the set up of a few weeks ago when the rain stayed mostly to the southwest of the region until the UL finally lifted out. At this point it appears we may stay mostly dry through Tuesday, with the best chance of rain coming at the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 Wonderful start to the day, 53.3/51.9 and hardly a cloud in the sky! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 10 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: GEFS and ENS don't get 500 heights above 585 through the 25th of June and dead tropics. This is quickly shaping up to be the year without a summer. Ehh doubt it. Heat will be in full force starting around the 20th other signals point towards a hot summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 22 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Ehh doubt it. Heat will be in full force starting around the 20th other signals point towards a hot summer. It may be delayed, but significant and prolonged heat is rarely denied in the MA. It will probably be brutal in August and September, just as we are all looking forward to Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 5 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Latest model trends continue with the upper low dropping further south into the Carolinas. This is looking a lot like the set up of a few weeks ago when the rain stayed mostly to the southwest of the region until the UL finally lifted out. At this point it appears we may stay mostly dry through Tuesday, with the best chance of rain coming at the end of next week. Wonder if the GFS had a fall out with verification scores. Pretty dry overall next 10 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 12z GFS brings some decent rains into our area after Wed. UL takes a bit more northerly track as it passes off the coast, with a nice vort pass through the region. Subject to much change ofc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 Meanwhile, the 12z CMC is dry right through next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 8 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Meanwhile, the 12z CMC is dry right through next Saturday. I guess my sprinklers won't get a break next week after all. That little bit of rain i got yesterday didn't do much. Getting pretty dry here again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 On 6/12/2020 at 2:38 PM, losetoa6 said: Euro too. Takes the ull all the way to Georgia lol Maybe a few showers on the eastern shore Friday Edit... by Friday afternoon and Saturday it gets showers into the area . It never ceases to amaze me how unreliable the GFS is beyond D4. EDIT: spelling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 11 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It ceases to amaze me how unreliable the GFS is beyond D4. I think the old GFS before the para became this GFS was better. Maybe I am imagining that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 43 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It ceases to amaze me how unreliable the GFS is beyond D4. Its terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 48 hours ago the Euro was showing massive rains in our region as well....not just the GFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 Cut off lows are never easy to model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 85 at 8pm 77 st 9pm 73 now at 10pm these 10-18 F drops in 2-3 hours are not typical of June still no lightning bugs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted June 13, 2020 Author Share Posted June 13, 2020 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: 85 at 8pm 77 st 9pm 73 now at 10pm these 10-18 F drops in 2-3 hours are not typical of June still no lightning bugs Actually, in the past week I've noticed a rapid uptick in firefly activity... in my neighborhood at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 9 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Long range is hinting at a similar setup . I will enjoy the several days of 70s coming up though Looks like 4 straight days with 70s/50s and partly to mostly sunny. Cant get much better than that in mid June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 14 hours ago, BristowWx said: I think the old GFS before the para became this GFS was better. Maybe I am imagining that The FV3 upgrade was just about a year ago I think- so it has been the operational GFS for a year now. Seems it could benefit from a few tweaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 61 here. Beautiful morning. Got the sprinkler going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 The latest ENSO update via NCEP/CPC diagnostic discussion appears they are beginning to lean more towards a Nina for the upcoming fall/winter. Not surprising given the current trends, but previous outlooks were favoring continuation of ENSO neutral. Quote There is a ~60% chance of ENSO-neutral during Northern Hemisphere summer 2020, with roughly equal chances (~40-50%) of La Niña or ENSO-neutral during the autumn and winter 2020-21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 About as perfect a summer day as you could ask for! THIS/that is what summer SHOULD look like. Sunny with a few clouds mixed in, a light N to NW breeze and low humidity. High was 80.7, low 50.8, currently 51.7/49.8. OUTSTANDING!! Headed out to enjoy, 'cuz it won't last...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 53 degrees this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 How long will next heat burst last? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 My apologies to the beach community, but I'd take this easterly flow all summer. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 WB 12Z EURO and EPS are now wetter for the end of the week, especially se areas of our forum. Blip or trend remains to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 27 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO and EPS are now wetter for the end of the week, especially se areas of our forum. Blip or trend remains to be seen. I’ll take “Another Bump North” for $1,000, Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 71 full sun ...real nice. Just got back from 8 mile hike . Ready for a nice cool night to drink some beer. 71 here too. Super nice. Sun just dipped enough below the trees that I could turn the sprinkler on lol. Really have to try to stay ahead this time of year with the high sun. Already seeing some crispy brown spots starting on the sunny side of the yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted June 13, 2020 Share Posted June 13, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Admit it..u secretly love turning on that freakin sprinkler 120 min tonight ? I had one last night. I am going to try to resist lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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