June Discobs 2020

[Baltimorewx]

Just now, BlizzardNole said:

Had a very busy workday and didn't know we had yet another big t-storm rolling in.  It hit pretty hard with some 50-ish wind gusts, lightning and rain blowing in sheets.  The purples on Radarscope were just north - I wonder if there was hail up there.  Looks like about 0.7 more added to June's rich coffers, which now stand at 7.9 inches.  Wow.

And have received barely any rain over here on the east side of Baltimore over the last couple of weeks lol

[shoshanaz]

Very pretty double rainbow at the tail end of the rain this evening. 

[GramaxRefugee]

1.53" from this afternoon's T-storm; struck about 16:00 with hvy downpour. Roadways flooded a bit (MD 450 and Rutland.) Plus a bit more in the evening.

Temp/DP both 65.

[yoda]

@high risk @WxUSAF @MN Transplant or any other person who knows... what is an STQ?  It says its a spot forecast request... it appeared on the drop-down menu at 10:21pm.  What are the basically used for?

https://www.weather.gov/lwx/

Click text product selector beneath the radar image... when i click on it this pops up

000
BMBB91 KLWX 260221
STQLWX

*** weather.gov/spot open request status ***

Hello, this is a Pending Request notification product that will remind you
to deal with pending requests within your service area on the
http://weather.gov/spot/monitor/?wfo=lwx page.

Below is a list of incidents that are in request pending status and
may need a forecast.

You are getting this notification for one or more reasons detailed
as follows...

1) You may not have received the STQ product for this/these incident(s),
   because of STQ transmission issues on the web farm/TOC. First run
   Change Request on the website to attempt another send of the STQ
   product. If that does not work, then run the Manual options in
   Spot formatter. Open TOC ticket for transmission issue.

2) Certain messages state that you are minutes, hours, days late in
   filling a forecast request. If a valid request, then I would post
   a forecast. However, the customer might have entered the wrong
   forecast deliver date/time. If that is the case, then run the
   Change Request link on website and fix it. Otherwise delete request.

3) Certain messages state that you have up to x minutes to complete
   the forecast. If this is a valid request, then work on the forecast
   and try to meet the deadline specified by the customer.

4) Customers occasionally submit multiple requests for the same
   incident, instead of using the Change Request functionality.
   If you only need to post a forecast to only one of the requests,
   then delete the request(s) that will not get a forecast posted to
   it.

5) Customers may have unintentually run "Copy Info into New Request
   for This Incident" or the "Request Forecast Update" link.
   You do not want to delete such requests,
   because forecasts have been posted against the incident. If the
   incident is finished, then Archive the incident. Otherwise,
   edit the incident and sent the deliver date/time to when the next
   forecast is needed.

6) Customers occasionally submit illegal requests on the website,
   like for a private prescribed burn. In this case, just delete the
   request.

7) If it is a test incident generated by someone in your office,
   then delete the incident. No need to generate a forecast for this
   incident.

 Incident ID   Forecast Deadline (LT)              Deadline Incident Name
------------ ------------------------- -------------------- ----------------------------------------
   2008548.0    2020-06-25 9:50 PM EDT          31 min past Water Rescue

Comments and suggestions on this new product can be sent to
[email protected]

 

[yoda]

And i guess this is in response to the STQ above?  It's named  FWS (Suppression Forecast) and was issued at 10:25pm

000
FNUS71 KLWX 260225
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for Water Rescue...Fairfax County Fire & Rescue
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1025 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 EDT on June 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Storms have largely cleared the area this evening. Currently watching
one last cluster of storms moving from Jefferson County, WV into
northern Loudoun County, VA. These storms should stay to the north
of the spot forecast location, but it isn`t a guarantee, and they will
need to be monitored over the next 60-90 minutes. Outside of the
thunderstorms, no precipitation and light winds are expected.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.

TIME (EDT)      11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........50           32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............69           65
SURFACE WIND....SW 4G5       W 4G6

$$
Forecaster...Pallozzi
Requested by...Captain Coffman
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2008548.0/LWX
.DELDT 06/25/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26

[nj2va]

The line broke apart earlier this evening as it crossed into Garrett County from WV (which was fine by me since I had just started the grill).  Wound up with 0.01” today.  

Currently 58 after a high of 75.

[yoda]

Just now, nj2va said:

The line broke apart earlier this evening as it crossed into Garrett County from WV (which was fine by me since I had just started the grill).  Wound up with 0.01” today.  

Currently 58 after a high of 75.

Nice cool evening in late June to have the windows open

[nj2va]

Just now, yoda said:

Nice cool evening in late June to have the windows open

Yep, its rare we have the AC on here unless its super humid/upper 60s at night.  A million stars out tonight too which is cool.  I think I see 5 on a clear night in Arlington heh.

[Kmlwx]

7 hours ago, yoda said:

@high risk @WxUSAF @MN Transplant or any other person who knows... what is an STQ?  It says its a spot forecast request... it appeared on the drop-down menu at 10:21pm.  What are the basically used for?

https://www.weather.gov/lwx/

Click text product selector beneath the radar image... when i click on it this pops up

 

 

@yoda - Spot forecasts are often requested by places like the forest service or local fire officials for fire weather purposes. However, I think they can be requested for reasons that would require a specific small-scale forecast. Ex: something that might require a precise knowledge of wind direction/speed etc. 

[dailylurker]

I've had over 6" of rain since Saturday. No sprinkler here for a while.

[CAPE]

13 hours ago, Baltimorewx said:

And have received barely any rain over here on the east side of Baltimore over the last couple of weeks lol

Outside of the 0.8" last Sat, nothing here for 2 weeks+.

Soil is parched, other than where I constantly run the sprinkler in an attempt to save my patch of decent grass lol.

[poolz1]

14 hours ago, yoda said:

So no sprinklers this evening?

No sprinklers here for a while...  .48" yesterday.

Roughly 2.25" the past 3 days. 

[JakkelWx]

GFS para looks a little wet for the 16-day period

"And then it rained for 40 days and 40 nights"

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

GFS para looks a little wet for the 16-day period

 

Another GFS 'upgrade' to look forward to.

[high risk]

2 hours ago, JakkelWx said:

GFS para looks a little wet for the 16-day period

"And then it rained for 40 days and 40 nights"

     great catch!    If you look at the Tropical Tidbits 24h precip maps, it looks pretty clearly that the site is accidentally aggregating 24h totals, so I think it's a plotting error (or an error in the grib2 files) and not a new "biblical wet bias" in the new version.

   

[high risk]

13 hours ago, JakkelWx said:

GFS para looks a little wet for the 16-day period

 

"And then it rained for 40 days and 40 nights"

       Thanks again for posting this.    Tropical Tidbits has now corrected their plotting error as of the 18z cycle today.

[CAPE]

Just had a brief heavy downpour to aid the sprinkler in watering the grass.

Picked up about a tenth.

[JakkelWx]

Much more muted ULL signal, but the signal is still there. Also models don't have it hanging around as long as previous days' model runs. It'll probably hang around for a day or two, slowly moving east before it accelerates OTS.

Beyond that, the huge Canada ridge looks to flatten and retrograde south after the 5th of July bringing more return flow and possibly plenty 90s

[poolz1]

Already 86 here...classic summer day on tap.  Already sweating just walking around the yard with my coffee.  Garden is loving the weather here recently....plenty of moisture, warm humid days and lots of sun.

[Stormfly]

1 hour ago, poolz1 said:

Already 86 here...classic summer day on tap.  Already sweating just walking around the yard with my coffee.  Garden is loving the weather here recently....plenty of moisture, warm humid days and lots of sun.

Ugh!  This is NOT the weather to be using a clearing saw on the tree line.

[nj2va]

66, cloudy, drizzling and breezy. 

[Baltimorewx]

2 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

Comfortable day here .

Currently 82/69

3 days ago it was supposed to be a real hot day .

Idk 69 dew point isn’t too comfortable lol. Was expecting closer to 90 though, clouds have mostly kept that in check 

[CAPE]

29 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Idk 69 dew point isn’t too comfortable lol. Was expecting closer to 90 though, clouds have mostly kept that in check 

Feels pretty damn close out there to me. Don't have to move much to sweat like a pig. Luckily there is a decent breeze.

87/70 here.

[Baltimorewx]

11 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

Feels pretty damn close out there to me. Don't have to move much to sweat like a pig. Luckily there is a decent breeze.

87/70 here.

Up here in Timonium, clouds have really kept the temp in check or at least what it feels like anyway. It’s a bit humid but it is tolerable. 

[WxUSAF]

Euro and GFS say get the sprinkler ready for the next 7-10 days.  Pretty dry period with typical summer heat.

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Up here in Timonium, clouds have really kept the temp in check or at least what it feels like anyway. It’s a bit humid but it is tolerable. 

Have had some periodic clouds here too. Otherwise it would be 90 for sure. It is pretty oppressive tho.

[CAPE]

3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and GFS say get the sprinkler ready for the next 7-10 days.  Pretty dry period with typical summer heat.

I am about to give up lol. I will wear out my well pump trying to save my grass. Go through this every summer. I will just let nature take its course and reseed/overseed in another month or so when the sun angle is noticeably lower. My grass only looks good from mid April through mid June, and then again(after seeding) from September until it goes dormant. In Mid to late summer, forget it. Burned up, thatch city.

[JakkelWx]

21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Euro and GFS say get the sprinkler ready for the next 7-10 days.  Pretty dry period with typical summer heat.

No surprise here, the weather forecast for me dried out and it's now only a 50% chance of storms on Wednesday and that's the last rain for a week maybe.

[CAPE]

15 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

No surprise here, the weather forecast for me dried out and it's now only a 50% chance of storms on Wednesday and that's the last rain for a week maybe.

We still have a decent chance late this afternoon into tonight. Coverage wont be great, but there will be places that will get a gusty t-storm, and a quick half inch or so of rain. Mesos don't look bad for our general area.

[snowfan]

Too hot. Biked 40 miles of skyline drive today and it was a nice break from the heat n humidity.