madwx Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 Man the pattern over N. America has been so amplified for the past month and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 10 hours ago, madwx said: Man the pattern over N. America has been so amplified for the past month and a half. Not amplified in the right places though if you like spring for storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 probably the last day here in the 60s before a return to more seasonable temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 Another string of 90s here. At least dews are relatively low, and we have a strong breeze. Seems like it’s been very windy lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 6 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said: Not amplified in the right places though if you like spring for storms. Less amplified is better for storms. This blocking nonsense is boring as hell. You'd think it would be over it by now since most of the latter half of May was a stupid SE-CONUS block. Nope. It's back already, and will only be broken down by yet another troughing pattern. I thought this summer was supposed to be warm. Wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2020 Author Share Posted June 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, frostfern said: Less amplified is better for storms. This blocking nonsense is boring as hell. You'd think it would be over it by now since most of the latter half of May was a stupid SE-CONUS block. Nope. It's back already, and will only be broken down by yet another troughing pattern. I thought this summer was supposed to be warm. Wrong. I'll be fairly surprised if summer doesn't end up warmer than average in the means for most of the sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 idk, man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 16, 2020 Author Share Posted June 16, 2020 We are gradually descending toward La Nina. Nino to Nina transitions have generally had warmer than average summers, especially in the past 30-40 years. I wouldn't guarantee it but I'd definitely lean that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxim Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 The cold/trough talk is pure lol. Still running at a +4 departure for the month despite the recent cooldown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: We are gradually descending toward La Nina. Nino to Nina transitions have generally had warmer than average summers, especially in the past 30-40 years. I wouldn't guarantee it but I'd definitely lean that way. Seems like even most of the warm summers lately have been weird "warm with a SE trough"... i.e. slow block-y pattern with hardly any good storms outside the upper plains. Need some kind of broad westerly component in the 800-500 mb level to get the elevated mixed layer moving east into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. These meandering patterns with frequent cutoffs are always boring, whether they are warmer or cooler than average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 16, 2020 Share Posted June 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, Maxim said: The cold/trough talk is pure lol. Still running at a +4 departure for the month despite the recent cooldown. In modern times a cutoff trough doesn't necessarily mean colder than average, but it usually means boring with no good ring-of-fire pattern ever setting up. Just seems like a lot of the good t-storm season has been wasted with blocky patterns this year. Last year was decent in May, July, and then again September, but I remember 2018 being boring for almost the entire summer... until late August. 2018 was warm but had a lot of cutoffs/blocks and was quite boring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 17, 2020 Share Posted June 17, 2020 On 6/13/2020 at 3:06 PM, patrick05 said: Have you guys seen that message about the NWS Proposed Changes to the alerts that they use? Basically, getting rid of the "Advisory" messages, among others. I only saw it on the NWS-LOT Page along with the link to the NWS Survey. I've filled it out but I wonder how many are for or against it. Here's the link to the NWS Page (the link to the actual survey is on there). https://www.weather.gov/lot/AdvisoryChange Quoting an old reply here, but I also filled out the survey and in general favor a "blend" of the two options. Continue to use the advisory as that is an easily identifiable indicator to the public that the weather event warrants at least some attention. However, begin using plain language in the advisory text. If those who view the advisory have a jargon free summary of what weather to expect, I feel the advisory will be better fulfilling its purpose and the elimination will be unnecessary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 17, 2020 Share Posted June 17, 2020 Decent pullback in the chances for storms this coming weekend. Environment looks meh. Saturday looks like best bet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 17, 2020 Share Posted June 17, 2020 zzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 1 hour ago, RyanDe680 said: Decent pullback in the chances for storms this coming weekend. Environment looks meh. Saturday looks like best bet There is no EML. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitchener poster Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 Unirrigated lawns are toast. Recent transplants are already seeing leaf drop. No above average chances of rain until next Tuesday. Sniffed this persistent dry down awhile ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 just a great string of wx lakeside with modulated comfortable temps day after day, best climo stuff for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 14 hours ago, Kitchener poster said: Unirrigated lawns are toast. Recent transplants are already seeing leaf drop. No above average chances of rain until next Tuesday. Sniffed this persistent dry down awhile ago. It's weird seeing the current massive early torch go way up into Quebec where there was still 2+ feet of snow on the ground just two months ago. There's gonna be a boreal forest fire outbreak at some point if the warmth and drying continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted June 18, 2020 Author Share Posted June 18, 2020 D0 making an appearance in much of Indiana 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 On 6/16/2020 at 2:25 PM, Hoosier said: We are gradually descending toward La Nina. Nino to Nina transitions have generally had warmer than average summers, especially in the past 30-40 years. I wouldn't guarantee it but I'd definitely lean that way. Can't say I disagree. Hopefully just slightly warmer than avg though. La Ninas certainly make me lick my chops for potential into the Winter, as above average precipitation is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 90 at ORD today. 5th 90+ day on the year.89’d here and 87 MDW.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted June 18, 2020 Share Posted June 18, 2020 I don't know the last time I had this much blue sky for this long, maybe not since 2012 but with no cells for today this streak may continue into early next week. After this Spring, having 8 days of non-stop shine near the start of summer is wild. Its like I'm back in southern AZ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: 90 at ORD today. 5th 90+ day on the year. 89’d here and 87 MDW. . 78 and chill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 8 hours ago, Hoosier said: D0 making an appearance in much of Indiana I was planning on posting about this when I got home tonight, but you beat me to it. I look at the Army Corp of Engineers Louisville District lake reports daily. These are the lakes formed by the dams that protect the Ohio River basin in Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky. Normally, somewhere in the basin at this time of year, some of the flood control reservoirs are above summer pool due to spring rains. Right now all 20 lakes are at or below summer pool. This is an indication of abnormally dry conditions. It is unusual to have them all that that level this early in the summer. The last time I remember it occurring this early was 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 Record daily rainfall of 1.33” through 10pm at MSP. Breaks the low hanging fruit of 1.14” We needed every drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 8 hours ago, IWXwx said: I was planning on posting about this when I got home tonight, but you beat me to it. I look at the Army Corp of Engineers Louisville District lake reports daily. These are the lakes formed by the dams that protect the Ohio River basin in Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky. Normally, somewhere in the basin at this time of year, some of the flood control reservoirs are above summer pool due to spring rains. Right now all 20 lakes are at or below summer pool. This is an indication of abnormally dry conditions. It is unusual to have them all that that level this early in the summer. The last time I remember it occurring this early was 2012. The corn here is starting to curl the leaves. Making them look spikey. That is a sure sign of a shortage of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 Corn around here is looking great (except in fields where there was a lot of standing water) and is running ahead of normal. Most of the corn is knee to thigh high already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 20 hours ago, Hoosier said: D0 making an appearance in much of Indiana And another D0 parked directly over St. Louis city and County, and most of St. Charles County, MO. Plus between Detroit and Toledo, and in western IA and western KY. Also a large D1 in Minnesota. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 The grass is starting to get very Brown here yet the rivers and lakes remain high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 19, 2020 Share Posted June 19, 2020 it's almost like lawns are bad 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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