MJO812 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 https://www.tapinto.net/towns/morristown/articles/governor-murphy-issues-statewide-state-of-emergency-for-hurricane-isaias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Well, I’m here in OCNJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 21 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Well, I’m here in OCNJ. Good luck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Not to be a downer but it's a shame this sub forum is dead. I'll be riding this storm out down LBI but there's not many people here to talk too. It's kind of annoying being a drifter between the Mid-Atlantic, NY, and New England sub-forums to find discussion. The true philly/jersey shore area posts get stuck here. Just my 2 cents, I get it if this post is deleted. Just please don't 5 post me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Cantore is getting blown away in NC. TWC is reporting 100,000 w/o power in SC/NC... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Blizzard-on-GFS said: Not to be a downer but it's a shame this sub forum is dead. I'll be riding this storm out down LBI but there's not many people here to talk too. It's kind of annoying being a drifter between the Mid-Atlantic, NY, and New England sub-forums to find discussion. The true philly/jersey shore area posts get stuck here. Just my 2 cents, I get it if this post is deleted. Just please don't 5 post me. I’ll be on all day tomorrow with reports from OCNJ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Short range models are very interesting for the Lehigh Valley. Looks like we could see actual tropical storm force winds (not gusts) for a short time tomorrow. Which makes sense given that Isaias made landfall stronger than expected. Hoping the power stays on at home and work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 Picked up 0.28" of rain from the storms that moved thru earlier this evening. Current temp 73/DP 70/RH 92% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: Short range models are very interesting for the Lehigh Valley. Looks like we could see actual tropical storm force winds (not gusts) for a short time tomorrow. Which makes sense given that Isaias made landfall stronger than expected. Hoping the power stays on at home and work. I have my serious doubts. I'm charging 2 batteries for my cell and 2 batteries for my laptop as I type. I have a UPS as well.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Nice deathband in North Carolina 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 36 minutes ago, hazwoper said: I’ll be on all day tomorrow with reports from OCNJ Awesome, same. I'm in Ship Bottom, NJ on the bay side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 55 minutes ago, RedSky said: Nice deathband in North Carolina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 If the hrrr is correct it’s going to be glorious down here for 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 12 minutes ago, hazwoper said: If the hrrr is correct it’s going to be glorious down here for 3 hours Here the peak looks like 8-9am to 12-1pm. Could be interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 SPC Day 1 ...Delmarva/Chesapeake Bay region to New England... As Isaias shifts northeastward across the Mid-Atlantic Region into New England, an accompanying/very moist low-level environment will permit maintenance of modest CAPE along and east of the track of the storm. With a very strong wind field -- veering strongly with height -- also spreading northward in tandem with Isaias, a favorable environment for rotating cells -- and a few tornadoes -- is apparent. Overnight, as the storm eventually approaches the St. Lawrence Valley, limited tornado risk may spread as far north as Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Up to 0.6" of rain on the day already from a couple of quick thunderstorms. That's a lot of hazards! Gonna be a busy day at Mt Holly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 6 hours ago, hazwoper said: Well, I’m here in OCNJ. I felt you go... One of my younger nieces is your son's age and I know the kids have been going stir-crazy, to the point where my sister & BIL took her out to Lancaster County Sunday to do the "Turkey Hill Experience" thing, so I get it. Have been under a couple heavy streaks of rain the past hour, in some instances with 1"/hr rates, so am currently at 0.50" this morning so far at post time with temp at 72. NHC put out a 4 am position update - Quote 000 WTNT64 KNHC 040756 TCUAT4 Tropical Storm Isaias Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 400 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...4 AM POSITION UPDATE... ...STRONG WINDS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... Greenville, North Carolina, recently reported a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust to 51 mph (82 km/h). A weather station in Pamlico Sound recently reported a sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a gust to 69 mph (111 km/h). A sustained wind of 51 mph (81 km/h) and a gust to 71 mph (115 km/h) was recently reported at Alligator Bridge over the Alligator River, just south of Albemarle Sound. This will be the final hourly position update issued for Tropical Storm Isaias. The next full advisory will be issued at 5 AM EDT (0900 UTC). SUMMARY OF 400 AM EDT...0800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.9N 77.7W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM ENE OF ROCKY MOUNT/WILSON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NW OF GREENVILLE CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES $$ Forecaster Berg/Brown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 450 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Sussex County in southern Delaware... * Until 515 AM EDT. * At 449 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Millville, or 15 miles east of Georgetown, moving north at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Henlopen Acres and Long Neck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 The center of circulation is currently still in NC and this is a juicy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Latest Warnings and Statements - Quote Tropical Storm Warning Isaias Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 29 National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ AL092020 509 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 PAZ071-041015- /O.CON.KPHI.TR.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ Philadelphia- 509 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Philadelphia * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 60 mph - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until late this afternoon - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect life and property should now be complete. The area remains subject to significant wind damage. - ACT: Now is the time to shelter from dangerous wind. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: through early Wednesday morning - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of greater than 3 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from storm surge flooding. - ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture outside. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding - Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flash Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. In mountain areas, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible tornadoes. - PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the latest tornado situation. - ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter if a tornado warning is issued. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - http://oem.readyphiladelphia.org $$ Quote Hurricane Local Statement Tropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 29 DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ070-071-101>106-041730- Tropical Storm Isaias Local Statement Advisory Number 29 National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ AL092020 520 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 This product covers NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND **Isaias Will Impact the Area this Morning through Tonight** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Atlantic, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Camden, Cape May, Caroline, Cecil, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Cumberland, Delaware, Delaware Beaches, Eastern Chester, Eastern Monmouth, Eastern Montgomery, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Inland Sussex, Kent, Kent MD, Lower Bucks, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, New Castle, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, Philadelphia, Queen Annes, Salem, Somerset, Southeastern Burlington, Sussex, Talbot, Upper Bucks, Warren, Western Chester, Western Monmouth, and Western Montgomery * STORM INFORMATION: - About 270 miles southwest of Atlantic City NJ or about 220 miles south-southwest of Dover DE - 36.3N 77.5W - Storm Intensity 70 mph - Movement North-northeast or 20 degrees at 28 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Tropical Storm Isaias is currently approaching the North Carolina/ Virginia border and will continue northward and then northeastward along the East Coast of the United States. Isaias will approach the Delmarva early this morning and pass through the region today. Impacts will diminish late this afternoon into tonight. The main threats with this system are heavy rain resulting in widespread flash flooding as well as river flooding, and strong to damaging winds, especially near the coast. In addition, minor to potentially moderate coastal flooding, and dangerous marine conditions will occur. Four to six inches of rain with locally higher amounts will result in flash flooding. Strong winds along the New Jersey and Delaware coasts with wind gusts of 65 to 75 mph are possible, and wind gusts inland will range from 50 to 60 mph. Secondary threats include minor to locally moderate coastal flooding, especially in Chesapeake Bay, as well as the potential for isolated tornadoes. Dangerous rip currents and 12 to 18 foot seas are also expected over the waters. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * FLOODING RAIN: Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible extensive impacts across the Delmarva, western New Jersey, and eastern Pennsylvania. Potential impacts include: - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues. - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become dangerous rivers. In hilly terrain, destructive runoff may run quickly down valleys while increasing susceptibility to rockslides and mudslides. Flood control systems and barriers may become stressed. - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out. Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible significant impacts across coastal New Jersey and Delaware. * WIND: Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts across New Jersey, the Delmarva, and much of southeastern Pennsylvania. Potential impacts in this area include: - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several fences and roadway signs blown over. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access routes impassable. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines. Also, protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across east central Pennsylvania. * SURGE: Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts across Delaware Bay, the tidal Delaware River, northeastern Chesapeake Bay, and the Atlantic coasts of New Jersey and Delaware. Potential impacts in this area include: - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots. - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Elsewhere across NEW JERSEY...DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND, little to no impact is anticipated. * TORNADOES: Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts across New Jersey, Delaware, southeastern Pennsylvania, and northeast Maryland. Potential impacts include: - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans during tropical events. - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power and communications disruptions. - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit. Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly ventilated area. It is important to remain calm, informed, and focused during an emergency. Be patient and helpful with those you encounter. If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay attention for instructions from local authorities. Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown! If a Tornado Warning is issued for your area, be ready to shelter quickly, preferably away from windows and in an interior room not prone to flooding. If driving, scan the roadside for quick shelter options. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, consider moving to a safer shelter before the onset of strong winds or flooding. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather warnings. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ around 11 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. $$ I'm currently up to 0.91" of rain with a brief rain pause with temp at 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 I have picked up 0.36" of rain so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted August 4, 2020 Author Share Posted August 4, 2020 High for the day yesterday was 92 here. Picked up 0.28" of rain for the day yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Will be a quicker hit it seems. ? Stay safe those of you at the shore-looking forward to your obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Have hit the 1.0" mark so far this morning with the temp at 71. Have been getting hit from the south by a few small streamers with heavier rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 About 1.1" so far. I think a lot of that came in a downpour last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Amazes me how when a storm makes landfall how fast it begins to move. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Tremendous rains here 2.76” so far in Media Delaware County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Tropical Storm Warning cancelled for Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Amazes me how when a storm makes landfall how fast it begins to move. In this case, it's getting sucked up into a jet streak caused by the jet stream once it did a dive south from the MW and curved back up again (perhaps due to hitting the Atlantic ridge). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted August 4, 2020 Share Posted August 4, 2020 Those heavier bands look like they are about to pivot west into my area soon, not much in the way of heavy rain yet. Storm is booking as expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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