Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 80 at 10am. 90 seems within reach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Nam is quite wet esp from the city on south and west tomorrow afternoon/evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 85/71....will we sneak in a 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Transitioned into a warmer/wetter pattern overall. First shot at 90s today and tomorrow depending on clouds. next shot Tue - Thu (6/9 - 6/11) ahead of the remnants of Cristobal. Could be sharp cut off near city/coast for onshore flow. Beyond there , 6/12 - 6/15 ULL north of the region looks to keep things potentially wet and near normal by way of higher mins with heights poised to rise mid month. Dont believe there is any likelihood of locking in any sustained cool or warm. Overall appears to be near or above normal and much wetter than the last 7 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Transitioned into a warmer/wetter pattern overall. First shot at 90s today and tomorrow depending on clouds. next shot Tue - Thu (6/9 - 6/11) ahead of the remnants of Cristobal. Could be sharp cut off near city/coast for onshore flow. Beyond there , 6/12 - 6/15 ULL north of the region looks to keep things potentially wet and near normal by way of higher mins with heights poised to rise mid month. Dont believe there is any likelihood of locking in any sustained cool or warm. Overall appears to be near or above normal and much wetter than the last 7 weeks. That would be excellent. Soil moisture really takes a hit this time of year with out frequent rain due to peak insulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 11AM Rounup EWR: 83 BLM: 83 New Brnswk: 82 LGA: 82 ACY: 82 PHL: 82 JFK: 01 TEB: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 80 NYC: 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 4 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Agreed. I wonder if it has something to do with the orientation of the Great Lakes. The only one I have experienced on LI, the infamous sept 98 one came straight from the west, counter to the normal NW MCs source June derecho climatology is to our south like in 2012. But the tracks shift more to the north as the season goes on. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0256.1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 1 hour ago, PB-99 said: So what are the chances that stays with that orientation and it stays dry up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB-99 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 35 minutes ago, gravitylover said: So what are the chances that stays with that orientation and it stays dry up here? The 1st cluster moves SW to NE, just not sure how far N, but I would not be shocked if that ticked NE. Then the 2nd line weaker could fire up on the back side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Close call for first 90s here today. Places like Newark & NYC probably won't get there. Think it'll be a while before NYC gets their 1st 90F given the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Clouds interfering, high so far is 86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Partly cloudy 85. Would of been an easy 90 but too many clouds. Mostly cloudy for large portions of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, dWave said: Partly cloudy 85. Would of been an easy 90 but too many clouds. Mostly cloudy for large portions of the day. Every 80+ degree day since the beginning of May has had either a T or measurable rain. Plenty of clouds and moisture accompanying our warm ups. Local sea breezes and onshore flow has also been a factor in reducing our high temperature potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 46 minutes ago, Cfa said: Clouds interfering, high so far is 86. Same here, 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: Every 80+ degree day since the beginning of May has had either a T or measurable rain. Plenty of clouds and moisture accompanying our warm ups. Local sea breezes and onshore flow has also been a factor in reducing our high temperature potential. what ever it takes to keep the heat away... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 ewr 88 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 86 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Every 80+ degree day since the beginning of May has had either a T or measurable rain. Plenty of clouds and moisture accompanying our warm ups. Local sea breezes and onshore flow has also been a factor in reducing our high temperature potential. LGA and EWR may have a shot at 90. Currently LGA 88, EWR 87. LGA I noticed has a tendency to achieve some late day high temps so its possible. I already knew the Park's temp would be especially muted today with last nights downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 88° here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Good shot at thunderstorms around midnight tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 Some incredible super cells currently in Pa. behind the discrete cells is a solid MCS. I think we have a very interesting night on the way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Some incredible super cells currently in Pa. behind the discrete cells is a solid MCS. I think we have a very interesting night on the way Tornado warned north of Harrisburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 cape advects in tonight as the convection pushes east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 That cell by Allentown area could impact ours in a few hours if it doesn’t weaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted June 4, 2020 Share Posted June 4, 2020 We are getting steady rain with a few rumbles of thunder with the lead cell. Looks like the trailing more intense cell will pass just south of my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted June 5, 2020 Share Posted June 5, 2020 Temperatures soared into the middle and even upper 80s across the region today. Overnight and tomorrow, it will be mainly cloudy and warm with periodic showers and thundershowers. No excessive heat is likely through at least the first two weeks of June in the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions. However, there are emerging hints of a long-range pattern change toward sustained warmer than normal conditions perhaps beginning in the third or fourth week of June. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. ENSO Region anomalies have continued to cool into the end of May. Neutral-cool conditions will likely prevail through mid-summer. The probability of the development of a La Niña event during late summer or early autumn has continued to increase. The SOI was -33.39 today. That was the lowest figure since November 5, 2019 when the SOI was -34.49. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.855. On June 3, the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.778 (RMM). The June 2-adjusted amplitude was 1.841. The MJO was in Phase 1 for 3 consecutive days with an amplitude of 1.500 or above during the June 1-3 period. Since 1981, there were four such cases that saw the MJO meet or exceed those thresholds during the June 1-10 period: 2002, 2006, 2007, and 2015. While the four cases were evenly split between cooler and warmer than normal during the second half of June, 3 of those 4 cases saw a warmer to much warmer than normal July. This could be an early indication that a summer that will start with near normal temperatures overall (June) could turn warmer than normal afterward. With the SOI plunging below -30.00, that could be a catalyst that kicks off a sequence of events leading to the development of a sustained warmer than normal period late this month. A similar development occurred last June, as well. Afterward, July and August featured warm anomalies in the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 5, 2020 Share Posted June 5, 2020 6/4 New Brnswck: 89 PHL: 89 LGA; 88 BLM: 88 TTN: 88 EWR: 88 ACY: 87 TEB: 86 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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