FPizz Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: The next batch is trying to get further east Looks like I may get a bit too further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 2.5" and counting in that same area. .01" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 82/64 temp split yesterday...66° currently...Rain for month 1.49" and 3.27" since May 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 75degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +1.1[71.1]. Should be +1.4[72.2] by the 28th. 69* here at 6am, clear. 73* by Noon, cumulus to the west. Could become mostly cloudy by 2pm, but with no more than drizzle for a while. Been using ENS T's. GFSx down for 4 days now. GFS OP should come with a Warning about T's, at least in our part of the world. Highlight this run is a July 4th. Weekend all in the 100's! Behaved same way last year, I believe. ENS still has no 90's! It is averaging 81.5 or +8 for the rest of June. Hey!, and that is before the 100's even start. Get this: First 5 days of July are averaging 90, or +14! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 So today stays dry N/NE of the city? Trying to figure out if I water the garden this morning or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Just now, gravitylover said: So today stays dry N/NE of the city? Trying to figure out if I water the garden this morning or not. I’d water. Even if there are showers there’s no guarantee where they will be or how much they will drop. It’s super dry here any thunderstorm I get now will certainly just run off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 58 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: I’d water. Even if there are showers there’s no guarantee where they will be or how much they will drop. It’s super dry here any thunderstorm I get now will certainly just run off. Yeah the yard is bone dry but the garden is properly hydrated. I agree, it doesn't look like it's going to be terribly wet so watering it is. Stuffy, muggy morning going on. Some of that wind from earlier in the week would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Avoided the showers yesterday and climbed up to 85. Already 75/67 now. Overnight guidance has this ULL/ cut off fleeing by Sunday evening with storms and clouds both today and tomorrow, as of now mostly sunny so expect temps to reach low-id 80s again. We'll see if showers and clouds are more widespread tomorrow / Fathers day. Beyond there Mon - Fri look hot with each day close to or exceeding 90 ahead of the next front Fri nd into next weekend. As we close out June 6/29 and into early July nation looks warm and ridging pushes more heat/above normal temps into the area. Still think its warm and wet (storms) . Still need to watch pattern getting stuck up the tendency of late but looking more a concern north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like the highs will only be able to make it to around 90 next week near the EWR to LGA area. This has been the the same theme since late May. The major 95+ heat has found a way to go north or south of us. Strongest ridging in the means has set up to our west. While this most recent ridge was able to build into New England, a cutoff was underneath keeping us in a more onshore flow. We may see a continuation of this pattern to start July. Models have another strong ridge to our west with another possible cutoff somewhere in the East. Been a bit back and forth but you do have to consider the tendency of the northeast weakness - feel this may adjust north of that prog. Time will tell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Cool down; 6/13: NYC: 75/59 (-4) EWR: 77/58 (-4) LGA: 77/60 (-3) JFK: 73/59 (-3) TTN: 74/57 (-4) 6/14 NYC: 75/52(-6) EWR: 75/53 (-8) LGA: 75/55 (-7) JFK: 71/54 (-7) TTN: 75/52 (-6) 6/15: NYC: 75/59 (-5) EWR: 75/56 (-7) LGA: 77/62 (-2) JFK: 73/56 (-5) TTN: 75/52 (-7) 6/16: NYC: 78/60 (-3) EWR: 78/57 (-5) LGA: 80/63 (-1) JFK: 76/58 (-4) TTN: 76/53 (-6) 6/17: NYC: 77/65 (-1) EWR: 77/64 (-2) LGA: 78/65 (-1) JFK: 75/62 (-2) TTN: 78/62 (-1) --------------------------------------- 6/18: NYC: 83/65 (+1) EWR: 84/56 (+1) LGA: 86/67 (+4) JFK: 78/54 (-1) TTN: 84/63 (+2) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like the highs will only be able to make it to around 90 next week in spots like EWR and LGA.This has been the the same theme since late May. The major 95+ heat has found a way to go north or south of us. Strongest ridging in the means has set up to our west. While this most recent ridge was able to build into New England, a cutoff was underneath keeping us in a more onshore flow. We may see a continuation of this pattern to start July. Models have another strong ridge to our west with another possible cutoff somewhere in the East. Mid 80s for LGA on the Euro ensembles, going to be tough to see 90 it seems: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 20, 2020 Author Share Posted June 20, 2020 Temp off to a decent start here this morning. It should make mid 80's today. Current temp 76/DP 68/RH 76% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 looking for heat waves is as frustrating as looking for snowstorms last winter...There has to be a year that had a pattern like this with heat to the north and south of us...sooner or later it will get here and with above average minimums already the summer will end up above normal one way or the other...some analogs suggested a warmer than average June but cooler the rest of the way...that could still happen but we would need some help from Canada...So far we are cooler than them...go figure... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Euro/EPS definitely showing more of a cutoff situation again. Looks like typical early summer weather with us probably averaging slightly AN due to warm mins. Have to watch for more onshore flow though which will keep temps down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 1 hour ago, uncle W said: looking for heat waves is as frustrating as looking for snowstorms last winter...There has to be a year that had a pattern like this with heat to the north and south of us...sooner or later it will get here and with above average minimums already the summer will end up above normal one way or the other...some analogs suggested a warmer than average June but cooler the rest of the way...that could still happen but we would need some help from Canada...So far we are cooler than them...go figure... by mid july sun angle is decreasing.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 On 6/18/2020 at 4:45 PM, SnoSki14 said: The subtropical ridge has shifted so far north that we're getting onshore flow on the backside of it. But yes it is pretty incredible, the Siberian heat is also extremely unusual. I guess we're in a northerly extension of the trades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted June 20, 2020 Author Share Posted June 20, 2020 Current temp 85/DP 70/RH 61% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Thundering in Piscataway. As this really isn't a frontal passage I imagine we could be looking for storms to pop up all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Thundering in Piscataway. As this really isn't a frontal passage I imagine we could be looking for storms to pop up all day.Yep, heard a rumble of thunder from that cell popping up. I'm on the edge of the cloud deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 18 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Thundering in Piscataway. As this really isn't a frontal passage I imagine we could be looking for storms to pop up all day. Yeah been hearing thunder for a while even with nothing nearby but I see that cell that popped up and is drifting north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Spritzing sprinkles but the thunder is very loud and close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 hot as hell out there. could definitely use some rain, my car is filthy lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 A typical Florida summer day with t-storms riding along the sea breeze front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 85 here.....btw today is the longest day of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 .02 on the day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 another cell over woodbridge making a lot of thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Getting hail currently in the Menlo Park section of Edison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Winds picking up. Loud thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 20, 2020 Share Posted June 20, 2020 Rainfall pattern looks familiar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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