weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 52 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS and euro are now bone dry up here for Saturday. Congrats NYC/CT. We pray for the NAM now. Time to pin the severe thread. Gotta start preparing for damaging days ahead 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 53 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS and euro are now bone dry up here for Saturday. Congrats NYC/CT. We pray for the NAM now. Those MCS are impossible to pin down. Almost always dive south of progs. Can see it being NYC south and west . That’ll shift all severe southwest too out of SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 GFS and euro are now bone dry up here for Saturday. Congrats NYC/CT. We pray for the NAM now.You were right on head fake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 14 hours ago, powderfreak said: I totally get enjoying whatever weather you want, but I don’t see the reasoning haha. Unless kids are different now, we spent the 90/70 days in someone’s cold basement playing Golden Eye. 75F and partly sunny was like 5 hours playing whiffleball or street hockey with the neighborhood crew until your parents force you home. Without a doubt we spent more time inside during high heat afternoons, huddled in A/C. It was more of a joke with the pop-up clouds and shwrs you guys always get with these cold pools. LOL. 75-80 is just fine for outdoor stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Spanks45 said: Nothing short of a coastal hugger at this point will help the entire region. 14 days now without a drop of rain. My grass looks and smells like a freshly cut wheat field. Any water used is saved for the garden. I prefer to eat my veggies, not the grass. 56.1, at least it feels great outside right now... Yup--a couple days of warm dews surrounded by days and days of COC days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 I'm sick and tired of COC. I mean a good COC is fine once in a while but too much COC is just boring. Need more excitement...this has been boring. Luckily this changes...tomorrow!!! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 48 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm sick and tired of COC. I mean a good COC is fine once in a while but too much COC is just boring. Need more excitement...this has been boring. Luckily this changes...tomorrow!!! Steady COC every day keeps Paul’s svr weenie at bay 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 13 hours ago, powderfreak said: J.Spin, Alex, Phin and the mountains can pick up 1-2 feet in 7-days of 50% snow showers ha.... I’ll get 6-8” at 1.5”/day and most folks though will see some passing flurries. Our CAD kingdom is also a downslope dandy. If we get a moderate snow and the storm then sits and spins over Anticosti, Jackman snows for the next 3 days while I see partly cloudy. And the RA deficit is a bit more than 2" here. Cherrypicking the period May 17 thru today, our average is 6.35" and we've had 0.65". GFS op shows 2.5" over the next 8 days, most I've seen on that model since April - would be nice but I'm not holding my breath. Tomorrow we do the 7-10 and most of the rest of the qpf is out past 72 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: I'm sick and tired of COC. I mean a good COC is fine once in a while but too much COC is just boring. Need more excitement...this has been boring. Luckily this changes...tomorrow!!! There are many that would probably disagree with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 4 hours ago, dendrite said: GFS and euro are now bone dry up here for Saturday. Congrats NYC/CT. We pray for the NAM now. I will believe nothing, not even radar echoes, until I see the ground getting wet and drops pouring from the sky. We mist our chickens btw, and at first they run away, but then they like it and stop breathing heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 4 hours ago, dendrite said: GFS and euro are now bone dry up here for Saturday. Congrats NYC/CT. We pray for the NAM now. Euro went from giving me an inch within 48 hours to 0 in one run and moving the jack from here to White Plains. Today ECMWF feels like Errors Common Monday Wednesday Friday. Sure I expect from the GFS but not the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 I know very little on this topic and trying to find some reputable places to become more educated on it but is the Saharan Dust into the U.S. just more media hype (not hype about the dust itself but impacts). I understand it can make for poor air quality, dim sunlight leading to less sfc heating, but what other impacts result from it. Does it impact aviation at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Both NAMs keeping the faith for tomorrow. Hopefully the 12z globals bump northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Both NAMs keeping the faith for tomorrow. Hopefully the 12z globals bump northward. The timing of this seems to really be slowing down. In fact, looks like that "first wave" could really be the "main show". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 17 hours ago, tamarack said: The birch-beech-maple forest, aka Northern hardwoods, is also called the "asbestos forest". However, a similar forest but with more oak burned for over a month during October (but mainly before much leaf drop) in NNJ back in 1963. Much of the ground was a glaciated boulder field with tree and mt laurel roots and duff down within the rocks. Fire would follow the fuel and a firefighter spraying a blaze would sometimes have another pop out of the rocks behind him (all guys back then.) Good view from our HS, could see by smoke intensity (and smell) how the fire had progressed during the overnight. (NJ also had about 200,000 acres burn in one day that April, but the Pine Barrens are a fire type ecosystem.) For NNE outside that "asbestos forest", one should read "1947 - The Week Maine Burned" before getting overconfident. And perhaps check PWM temps/precip for that October. But even in the spruce-fir country it's extremely rare to have a crown fire in mid summer. That year was one of PWM's driest on record. From July 1 through November 1 they only received ~ 5" rainfall. 0.27" in August, 1.73" in September (but fell in basically two events), and another 0.26" in October. I would think one of the key difference between now and then is the fact that we're greened up vs down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 No more severe threads...this is damn ridiculous. Screw tomorrow, screw Sunday, screw the rest of fooking summer. Nobody even mention summer anymore. It's not summer it's garbage 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Both NAMs keeping the faith for tomorrow. Hopefully the 12z globals bump northward. CAMs did move a bit north from 00z. I'm still more in the HRRR or ARW camp trending towards the CAPE axis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 24 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: No more severe threads...this is damn ridiculous. Screw tomorrow, screw Sunday, screw the rest of fooking summer. Nobody even mention summer anymore. It's not summer it's garbage It's sort of like when JBJ goes into a slump..the type of slump where a girl from concession is able to strike him out on 3 pitches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 This was in my memories today. RIP Messenger 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 We think this was the guy we found on our porch two nights ago. He was ravaging some dumpsters about a 1/4 mile away from us. These bears this year give no fuks, not afraid of humans at all. This guy looks like he could just roll the dumpster over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Nice drink on the GFS we pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 32 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: It's sort of like when JBJ goes into a slump..the type of slump where a girl from concession is able to strike him out on 3 pitches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 76/45 Roosters out and about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nice drink on the GFS we pray That would help out a lot if the next 5 days accumulate this: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 79/55, This is more reasonable weather then the HHH crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Just now, powderfreak said: That would help out a lot if the next 4-5 days accumulate this: And still going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Sell that GFS, Hard sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 where the heck is there gonna be sun this weekend. its 24 hours away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: CAMs did move a bit north from 00z. I'm still more in the HRRR or ARW camp trending towards the CAPE axis. So in SNE more then CNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: So in SNE more then CNE? Those two models I mentioned would favor the heaviest amounts along the Pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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