dryslot Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:30 PM, weatherwiz said: I think we should just cancel severe season...what a freaking joke. Unless we get an active second half of summer but how often does that happen? The majority of our bigger events happen from like mid-to-late May into early July and we're almost at July. The only fun thing about the second half of summer is we can get some nasty nocturnal events but those kinda suck b/c you can't see cloud features. BUST Expand ***Newsflash***, This is New England, Get use to it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:35 PM, dendrite said: Representative image of daytime severe season in New England: Expand Mypillow.com? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:41 PM, weatherwiz said: I can't even see that In the model world...yes Expand We have had some pretty good scattered severe in Ct the last couple of years. Hamden tornado etc. Pretty much our climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 3:47 PM, WxWatcher007 said: Looks like a classic phantom euro run right now. I don’t think you can have any real confidence in a medium range let alone long range track until future Cristobal turns northward. Expand Thanks, something interesting to track finally.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:41 PM, weatherwiz said: I can't even see that In the model world...yes Expand The glory days are gone: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:44 PM, Bostonseminole said: Thanks, something interesting to track finally.. Expand where is the annual NE TC thread where we talk about the 38 hurricane every other post? is DIT slipping? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:45 PM, Bostonseminole said: where is the annual NE TC thread where we talk about the 38 hurricane every other post? is DIT slipping? Expand I think DIT logged off until the heat waves come back on the models. Hopefully he at least gets a few good posts in for Friday's one day of hot weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think DIT logged off until the heat waves come back on the models. Hopefully he at least gets a few good posts in for Friday's one day of hot weather. Expand just created one.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:42 PM, Ginx snewx said: We have had some pretty good scattered severe in Ct the last couple of years. Hamden tornado etc. Pretty much our climo. Expand 2018 was wild...especially the tornado events we got in September. Severe climo across the country in general though has been a bit off the past several years...hell, this past May I think was historically low in terms of tornadoes. On 6/2/2020 at 4:45 PM, ORH_wxman said: The glory days are gone: Expand I still remember that day like it was yesterday. The period between 05/29/1998 - 06/02/1998 I bet would be the most active 5-day period of severe in the Northeast on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:28 PM, dendrite said: EC had 90+ in S NH/NE MA so idk about sneaky. GFS has not been as impressed with 2-3C cooler 850s. Expand I was thinking sneaky in terms of no one talking about it. DIT so concerned with the 8-11th, he may get his hot day(s) well before that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:41 PM, weatherwiz said: I can't even see that Expand Exactly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 There a front moving through? My winds went from SW to N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 4:54 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: There a front moving through? My winds went from SW to N. Expand Guess not. Winds look to be going back and forth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
summerthyme Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 I'm sick of days below 70. So depressing and demoralizing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted June 2, 2020 Author Share Posted June 2, 2020 Lol June 8th onward torch fail. Or was it the 10th, or the 11th, or 12th? Late June? Maybe July? Eventually it has to happen... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:05 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol June 8th onward torch fail. Or was it the 10th, or the 11th, or 12th? Late June? Maybe July? Eventually it has to happen... Expand Curb stomping the man when he's already down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 2:58 PM, Bostonseminole said: your thoughts on remnant of TS?.. would be nice to get a nice soaking. Expand That could go anywhere. I’d probably bet against a 00z run for here, but it’s not impossible to get remnant rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 3:00 PM, ORH_wxman said: Poor DIT....we tried to tell him. Expand Yeah looks less likely now. We still uninstalled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:05 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Lol June 8th onward torch fail. Or was it the 10th, or the 11th, or 12th? Late June? Maybe July? Eventually it has to happen... Expand Let’s be fair. Has it happened yet? Why do you always do this? Obviously the hurricane hadn’t formed when I made that call. Should it not happen , which is still up for debate.. it’s due to the cane. So let’s stop being dumb 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Usually when a cane goes up into the Gulf states it pumps the ridge and the northeast heats up. It’s very premature to be making heat cancel calls. Let’s just leave it there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 It was premature to make heat calls as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:20 PM, dendrite said: It was premature to make heat calls as well. Expand It was a discussion. It seems everytime I discuss something it causes crass behavior and taunting 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 Sweet...I'm glad to finally see a slight risk into PA for today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:22 PM, Damage In Tolland said: It was a discussion. It seems everytime I discuss something it causes crass behavior and taunting Expand lol...what a snowflake 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 That's likely going to typify this summer ... The extended range model solutions often bulging the season-continental ridge expansion to engulf the eastern Lakes/NE regions... only to have the mid range solution "cancel" the look - get used to that relay. Then, when those mid-terms get into nearer terms ...say 120 ...96 < ..we end up like the Euro 90+ for at least one afternoon before the next CC-attributed Pac folding pattern dumps another cold orgasm into Ontario to enable the local neurosis all over again... End results, we either average out to the back-ground climate-change that's decimals above normal...or, perhaps +1, ...sort of under the radar. Either way, we'll be above while still ending up with blue in the color coding by NASA when compared/relative to the rest of the world per their monthly state of the climo press releases. It's rather predictable ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 6:05 PM, Typhoon Tip said: That's likely going to typify this summer ... The extended range model solutions often bulging the season-continental ridge expansion to engulf the eastern Lakes/NE regions... only to have the mid range solution "cancel" the look - get used to that relay. Expand You have been consistent in that message for sure. I certainly thought it would roll over more into the Northeast, in a delayed but not denied style. But now it certainly looks like we rip a quick plume in late week before it just gets crushed into early next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:26 PM, weatherwiz said: Sweet...I'm glad to finally see a slight risk into PA for today Expand How about a moderate................. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 6:14 PM, powderfreak said: You have been consistent in that message for sure. I certainly thought it would roll over more into the Northeast, in a delayed but not denied style. But now it certainly looks like we rip a quick plume in late week before it just gets crushed into early next week. Expand It's frustrating ... for heat/convection/summer enthusiasts, but, it's understandable in the hypothetical (which is actually more theoretically organized in papers that are emerging, too). Scott once referred to it as the Pacific pee-pond or something hilarious like that..but the humor is rooted in truth as most humor agonizingly does. Look at the global SST layouts for ...what, that past 23.47 years ..heh. It's always 90% of the areal expanse of oceanic mass out there having sfc temperature in gaudy yellows, oranges in reds. Oh, sure...sometimes you get the Kalvin-Hem. waves down there in a faux NINA signature right on the Equator ...like now, eh hm. Anyway, the coupled oceanic-atmospheric model imposes a massive forcing on the atmosphere in the form of "ridge potential" It's not always going to look like a ridge - that is quoted because ...it's more like a base-line restoring force? Kind of like the llv curl vector east of the Greens/Whites in NE... You want measure a wind coming from the ENE (necessarily) along/in that tuck geography, but, if/when the atmosphere need less impetus to get the wind to tuck, look out! Same sort of deal ... the flow over Canada leans on a tendency ...and whenever compensators relax, the tendency takes over. The rest state is more NW than it use to be, because the Pac westerlies of merely vaguely situated farther N ...even if in mere kilometers, if it does so everywhere west of the American continental geography, the wind over the geography of America will respond. The winters do this too.. but what's fascinating is that the HC is also concurrently remaining bloated ...and this is causing increased ambient jet velocities - it introduce a whole bevy of different headaches. But as far as summers, we're getting snow QPF in eastern Ontario under the solstice and it ain't because of super volcanism or cometary impact scenarios. I'm referring to it as the Pacific folding pattern... There were papers written in the early 1990s believe it or not, that were based upon early/primitive climate-change models...that predicted NE Pac ridge propensities leading to cooling over N/A ... it's like we are seeing a perverse verification of that ... but more so in the tendency if you will. interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 6:30 PM, dryslot said: How about a moderate................. Expand I think I'd rate him a severe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 On 6/2/2020 at 5:13 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s be fair. Has it happened yet? Why do you always do this? Obviously the hurricane hadn’t formed when I made that call. Should it not happen , which is still up for debate.. it’s due to the cane. So let’s stop being dumb Expand Exactly. If it hadn't been for the hurricanes in March, April and May your torch calls would have been dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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