madwx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Very efficient rain making. 0.92” here so far with 12+ hours of rain to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitchener poster Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 This is going to be pretty important rainfall for London and eastward. Montreal and Ottawa is already dry. They likely won’t see a drop from this system. Looking at the radar - I’m taking the under for Kitchener. Last advisory is 1-2 inches (30-60 mm). I’ll say 0.65 inches (20 mm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Getting trained by a narrow line of very heavy rain atm. Picked up about a half inch in the past 10 mins. Passing the 1" mark for the event, with a ways to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 On 5/15/2020 at 5:25 AM, A-L-E-K said: Rain is what we do now Yep. And utter BS it is. My CAT-5 bliz during the 3rd week of May in rainer form. May was my fave month but this year has severely tarnished it's image. Horrid cold snow and freezes followed by all this flooding crap. Can it get any worse? (don't answer that) Here comes my 3+" qpf mega-storm.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Sun is out here in western OH. Not exactly what I was thinking for today, but ok... Curious how this impacts the SVR aspects of the day. Not near the best wind profiles by any means but wonder if some extra instability could offset some things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 No great lapse rates, but other parameters indicate today could produce some tornadoes in the Chi-town to Michiana and northern IN area especially this evening. Potent upper system heading se over IA. HRRR progs dew points well into the upper 60's pooling along the front by this evening. I agree that today is similar to yesterday in the Arklatex region. But if the current scattered clearing in far southern IL and near PAH can progress northward throughout the day and increase insolation we might have some surprises. Nothing slam dunk but will be a day to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1203 PM EDT SUN MAY 17 2020 DAY 1 VALID 12Z SUN MAY 17 2020 - 12Z MON MAY 18 2020 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA... ..16Z UPDATE THE AFTERNOON IS SHAPING UP TO PRODUCE AN IMPRESSIVE SOUTH TO NORTH BAND OF CONVECTION ACROSS ILLINOIS, EVENTUALLY MARCHING EASTWARD INTO INDIANA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE MODEST GIVEN SEVERAL CLOUD LAYERS / REDUCED HEATING, THE WIND FIELDS ARE IDEAL FOR TRAINING, AND ACTIVITY WILL BE SUSTAINED DURING THE APPROACH OF AN IMPRESSIVE CLOSED LOW PER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, PRODUCING FOCUSED 40-50 METER 12-HOUR HEIGHT FALLS THROUGH TONIGHT. THE 12Z SUITE OF HI-RES MODELS IS UNANIMOUS IN PRODUCING SWATHS OF 1-3 INCHES OF RAIN, INCLUDING ACROSS THE CHICAGO AREA, WITH POTENTIAL FOR GREATER AMOUNTS WHERE TRAINING BECOMES MOST EFFICIENT. THERE IS NOT MUCH SPATIAL SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE EITHER, MAKING THIS A FAIRLY HIGH CONFIDENCE DAY 1 FORECAST. THIS REGION HAS SEEN MANY HEAVY RAIN EVENTS THE PAST TWO WEEKS, WITH A FEW AREAS RECEIVING 2 TO 3 TIMES NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THAT PERIOD (AND THIS INCLUDES CHICAGO METRO). THE 06Z HREF PRODUCED 50-60% ODDS OF INCH PER HOUR RAIN RATES THIS AFTERNOON, AND WE SUSPECT THOSE PROBABILITIES WILL INCREASE WHEN THE 12Z HREF PROBS ARE AVAILABLE. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES WERE DOWN TO ONE INCH PER ONE HOUR OR 1.50 INCH PER 3 HOUR ACROSS MUCH OF ILLINOIS. THUS, IN COORDINATION WITH LOCAL OFFICES WE UPGRADED TO MODERATE RISK. SOME OF THE FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING UNDER THESE CONDITIONS, WITH VERY WET SOIL, COULD LEAD TO HIGHER-END EVENTS SUCH AS WATER RESCUES AND WATER INVADING HOMES. ADDITIONAL FORECAST DETAILS ARE IN MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSIONS SUCH AS #0211 ISSUED LATE THIS MORNING. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 ESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0211 NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD 1148 AM EDT SUN MAY 17 2020 AREAS AFFECTED...ILLINOIS CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY VALID 171545Z - 172145Z SUMMARY...HEAVY RAINFALL GOING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MORE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF CONCERNS AND FLASH FLOODING. DISCUSSION...AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SLOWLY OFF TO THE EAST ACROSS THE MIDWEST TODAY WHICH IS FOSTERING A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL ACROSS ILLINOIS. AT 1500Z, AN ASSOCIATED TRIPLE-POINT LOW CENTER IS NOTED JUST NORTHWEST OF MOLINE, IL WITH A COLD FRONT DRAPED SOUTH ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY, AND WITH A WARM FRONT THAT EXTENDS EAST OF THE LOW ACROSS CENTRAL IL AND CENTRAL IN. THROUGH THE MORNING THERE HAVE BEEN BANDS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS ILLINOIS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LARGER-SCALE WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN AND AT LEAST A MODEST NOSE OF INSTABILITY, WHICH FOR THE TIME BEING IS LARGER UNIMPRESSIVE WITH VALUES GENERALLY UNDER 500 J/KG. HOWEVER, OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, WITH THE WARM FRONT LIFTING FARTHER NORTH, AND DEEPER MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY POOLING UP ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT, THERE SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN HEAVIER SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. FACILITATING THIS WILL BE THE PRESENCE OF A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET OF 30 TO 40 KTS AND STRENGTHENING FRONTAL CONVERGENCE. DYNAMICALLY AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH, THERE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE THE DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OF A COUPLED UPPER-LEVEL JET STRUCTURE OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS WHICH SHOULD WILL GREATLY ENHANCE VERTICAL VELOCITIES GIVEN THE ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE PATTERN OVERHEAD. SO, THE COMBINATION OF THESE INGREDIENTS IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THE COLD FRONT TO BECOME INCREASINGLY ACTIVE WITH CONVECTION, AND INCLUDING SOME PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AS WELL. PWS ARE GENERALLY 1.5 TO 1.7 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION, BUT THESE VALUES SHOULD COME UP A BIT MORE THIS AFTERNOON AS DEEP LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS, AND THUS THE RAINFALL RATES SHOULD TEND TO COME UP A BIT MORE AS WELL. THE EXPECTATION IS FOR CONVECTIVE RAINFALL RATES TO RISE TO 1 TO 1.5 INCHES/HR, WITH THE LATEST 12Z HREF SUITE AND HRRR GUIDANCE SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 21Z OF LOCALLY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 INCHES. GIVEN THE ALREADY SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS, AND ONGOING RUNOFF PROBLEMS, THESE ADDITIONAL HEAVY SHORT-TERM RAINFALL TOTALS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN MORE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF AND CONCERNS FOR FLASH FLOODING. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE FOR THE MORE URBANIZED CORRIDORS, INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METROPOLITAN AREA GOING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ORRISON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 5% tornado probs still maintained in slight outlook this afternoon up and down the length of the IL/IN border region. Nothing drastic but still similar to yesterday in Arklatex region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Finished with 1.71", and up to 6.23" for May. Starting to remind me of last May when we received almost 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE, IL 1258 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1131 AM CDT ...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING--SOME POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT--AND A RISK FOR A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... LATE-MORNING MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY DEPICTS A REMARKABLY WOUND- UP SHORTWAVE SPIRALING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL IOWA WITH A CLEAR WING OF INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL MASS DIVERGENCE WITHIN THE DIVERGING MID-LEVEL WARM CONVEYOR BELTS. ASSOCIATED ROBUST WARM ADVECTION AND INCREASING JET FORCING CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION. THE ONGOING PRECIPITATION HAS RESULTED IN GENERALLY ONE HALF TO 1.5 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE LAST EVENING, WITH SOME LOCALIZED 2+ AMOUNTS NOTED ACROSS PARTS OF FORD AND IROQUOIS COUNTIES. THIS PRECIPITATION LIKELY HAS NEARLY OR COMPLETELY SATURATED THE SUB- SURFACE AFTER THURSDAY NIGHT'S FLASH FLOOD EVENT, AND THIS IS CORROBORATED BY REPORTS OF RUNOFF AND MINOR FLOODING ON ROADWAYS IN THE LIGHT STRATIFORM PRECIPITATION. AS THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW APPROACHES OUR LONGITUDE THIS AFTERNOON, EXPECT TO SEE A QUICK UPTICK IN UPPER JET SUPPORT IN CONJUNCTION WITH A DEVELOPING COUPLED JET AS NOTED ON REGIONAL CROSS SECTIONS. THE ATTENDANT AGEOSTROPHIC MASS RESPONSE IS EXTREMELY DEEP, THROUGH NEARLY THE ENTIRE DEPTH OF THE TROPOSPHERE, INDICATING ROBUST VERTICAL MOTIONS FOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCTION. ILX'S MORNING SOUNDING SAMPLED 1.63" PWATS WHICH HAVE LIKELY ONLY INCREASED SINCE THEN. INSTABILITY REMAINS ONE OF THE WILD CARDS TODAY, WITH A LACK OF HIGHER MLCAPE VALUES POTENTIALLY LIMITING THE TRULY EXTREME RAINFALL RATES. THAT SAID, WARM CLOUD DEPTHS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO AROUND 11 KFT, NOT SURPRISING GIVEN THE NEAR-RECORD OR RECORD TERRITORY PWATS, SUPPORTING EFFICIENT WARM RAIN AND COLLISION-COALESCENCE PROCESSES. HAVE ALREADY SEEN THIS MANIFESTED IN INNOCUOUS-LOOKING RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING DROPPING VISIBILITIES TO UNDER 1 MILE INDICATIVE OF LOTS OF SMALL DROPS. BASED ON RECENT MESOANALYSIS SHOWING A GRADUAL INCREASE IN INSTABILITY AND ADDITIONAL GLM FLASHES SHOWING UP, EXPECT A GRADUAL UPTICK IN HEAVIER CONVECTIVE CORES INTO THE AFTERNOON. MEAN CLOUD-BEARING WINDS (850-300MB) MAY REMAIN ORIENTED WITH JUST A HINT OF AN EASTERLY COMPONENT TODAY WHICH *SHOULD* HELP KEEP SOME FORWARD PROGRESSION OF DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS GOING. THAT SAID, THE THREAT FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER A SHORT PERIOD OVER SOILS THAT CAN'T HANDLE ANY ADDITIONAL WATER WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING. WOULD LIKE TO THINK THAT SOME OF THE 7"+ AMOUNTS BEING FORECAST BY RECENT RUNS OF THE HRRR ARE A BIT OVERDONE GIVEN THE LACK OF MORE APPRECIABLE INSTABILITY. THAT SAID, WE'VE GROWN CONCERNED ENOUGH IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT THAT WE EARLIER COORDINATED A "MODERATE" EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK UPGRADE WITH THE WPC. THANKS WPC, MKX, IWX, ILX, AND DVN FOR THE COLLABORATION THIS MORNING. THE MAIN WINDOW OF CONCERN HERE IS ROUGHLY 2 - 8 PM OR SO. NO CHANGES TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAVE BEEN MADE THIS MORNING, ALTHOUGH THE DEPENDING ON THE WESTERN BOUNDS OF A NARROW SWATH OF HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS, A WESTWARD EXPANSION TO INCLUDE LEE, OGLE, WINNEBAGO, AND BOONE COUNTIES CAN'T BE RULED OUT. REGARDING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL: THE RISK FOR A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON AS DIURNAL GAINS IN AT LEAST MODEST INSTABILITY ARE REALIZED. THESE ARE ALWAYS HARD EVENTS TO MESSAGE AND FORECAST SINCE IT SEEMS LIKE EITHER THESE LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS SEEM EXTREMELY FICKLE WHEN IT COMES TO INGESTING MORE BUOYANT NEAR-SURFACE INSTABILITY. ILX'S MORNING SOUNDING SAMPLED 38 KTS OF 0-2 KM BULK SHEAR AND 212 M2/S2 SRH IN THAT LAYER, WITH SIMILAR VALUES EXPECTED INTO PARTS OF OUR AREA WHICH WOULD SUPPORT A CONDITIONAL TORNADO THREAT GIVEN 0-3 KM MLCAPE VALUES FORECAST TO PUSH NORTH OF 100 J/KG GIVEN SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH TURNING. CURRENTLY THINK THE MAIN THREAT AREA MAY REMAIN RELEGATED TO NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-80 AND ROUGHLY EAST OF A PONTIAC TO MORRIS LINE DURING THE ROUGHLY 2 PM - 7 PM TIMEFRAME. UPDATED PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN TRANSMITTED. CARLAW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 End date should likely be changed to the 18th with the eastern sub seeing heavy rain and possible severe tomorrow. Quote ..OHIO VALLEY TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND CAROLIANS A CLOSED UPPER LOW INITIALLY OVER THE MIDWEST SHOULD MAKE ONLY SLOW SOUTHWARD PROGRESS OVER IL AND VICINITY ON MONDAY. A RELATED SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY OCCLUDING WHILE SHIFTING TOWARDS EASTERN KY/TN THROUGH THE PERIOD. A SEPARATE UPPER TROUGH/LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS AL/GA AND VICINITY. MODESTLY ENHANCED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW PRECEDING BOTH UPPER LOWS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FROM PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND NC/SC. LOW TO MID 60S SURFACE DEWPOINTS SHOULD SPREAD AS FAR NORTH AS PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OH AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT. POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MUTED DIURNAL HEATING DUE TO WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS SHOULD LIMIT INSTABILITY FROM OH INTO EASTERN KY. EVEN SO, THE FORECAST COMBINATION OF WEAK INSTABILITY (MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG) AND 25-30 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SOME UPDRAFT ORGANIZATION WITH ANY STORMS THAT CAN FORM ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT. ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT AS STORMS FORM INTO SMALL CLUSTERS/BOWS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVER PARTS OF OH/EASTERN KY WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE COMPARATIVELY STRONGER. SOMEWHAT BETTER DIURNAL HEATING SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE CAROLINAS. ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS MAY FORM BY MONDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL GA AHEAD OF THE SOUTHERN-STREAM UPPER TROUGH/LOW. THESE STORMS SHOULD SUBSEQUENTLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS OF SC/NC THROUGH MONDAY EVENING WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED STRONG/GUSTY WINDS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL DAMAGE. THE LACK OF STRONGER FORECAST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THESE REGIONS CASTS DOUBT ON GREATER STORM INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION, WITH HIGHER SEVERE WIND PROBABILITIES NOT INCLUDED AT THIS TIME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 5 hours ago, janetjanet998 said: .56 on the 16th. 5.08 then .61 06-12z 5.69 2.57 to go...with several hours of moderate rain incoming then if they get trained later in any storms they record may fall today .33 more 12-18z at ORD 6.02 month 2.24 needed ....with luck with training could easily break it but right now in between trains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Buckets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 This is bad. Training already taking place over the same areas it happened Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 1 hour ago, janetjanet998 said: .33 more 12-18z at ORD 6.02 month 2.24 needed ....with luck with training could easily break it but right now in between trains Could be close, but it looks like the extreme amounts will be in the more densely populated and urban areas closer to the lake (and MDW). Thunderstorms are closing in quick on the south side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Going full pond mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Wind has now become rather gusty from the se here. Lake wind advisory issued for the lower Wabash River region with gusts up to 30 mph. 72/64 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 our basement laundry area is taking on water worse than i can remember in a decade or so in this building 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Over 3” here now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 maybe a small slow near bloomington where that kink is .....that is holding up the train over Will county area 19z HRRR still has 7 inch bullseye there also models trending more moist Monday/Tuesday mostly light rain but moderate showers also possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 very much reminds me of previous tropical remnant events without the former warm core low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted May 17, 2020 Author Share Posted May 17, 2020 3 hours ago, snowlover2 said: End date should likely be changed to the 18th with the eastern sub seeing heavy rain and possible severe tomorrow. I updated the end date to Tuesday (May 19) since WPC keeps a Marginal Excessive Rainfall risk for SE IN/S OH into Tuesday in its Day 3 outlook: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geoboy645 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 We probably have 1.5 to 2" here at this point. Radar looks like we only have maybe another 30 to 45 mins of rain and then we are done. I think we are good on rain now for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 409 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 445 PM CDT. * AT 409 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MACON, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF DECATUR, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MOUNT ZION AROUND 425 PM CDT. LONG CREEK AROUND 430 PM CDT. DECATUR AROUND 435 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 3 hours ago, cyclone77 said: Finished with 1.71", and up to 6.23" for May. Starting to remind me of last May when we received almost 10". Much of the heavy rain this month has developed east of me. My May total is only 2.04" after 0.58" overnight. I have not had a single 1"-in-24-hr rain event this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted May 17, 2020 Author Share Posted May 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Indystorm said: BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 409 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 445 PM CDT. * AT 409 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER MACON, OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF DECATUR, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MOUNT ZION AROUND 425 PM CDT. LONG CREEK AROUND 430 PM CDT. DECATUR AROUND 435 PM CDT. Severe Thunderstorm Watch just also issued in the last few minutes for Eastern Illinois (roughly along and east of US-51, including Decatur) and Western IN. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0192.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 421 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 ILC115-172145- /O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200517T2145Z/ MACON- 421 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY... AT 421 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER DECATUR, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN MACON COUNTY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE 432 PM CDT SUN MAY 17 2020 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... KENDALL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... DUPAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... COOK COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS... LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... WILL COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... GRUNDY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... KANKAKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... KANE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... NORTHWESTERN IROQUOIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS... EASTERN MCHENRY COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 1030 PM CDT SUNDAY. * AT 429 PM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN IN THE PAST THREE HOURS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF STREET FLOODING IN PORTIONS OF WILL AND COOK COUNTY. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Looks a bit problematic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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