SluggerWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Last two runs of the HRRR show some crazy UH tracks from Laughlin to San Antonio overnight tonight. Anyone else seeing the same thing?Sent from my Pixel 3 XL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 9 hours ago, TexMexWx said: I just realized I haven't looked outside all day so I didn't realize it was actually clear out kind of thought it was another wimpy WAA source of instability lol Looking at models, I feel like the highest threat could be *just* south/southeast of you and I, but with where the warm front sets up I will also be watching regardless. Also seems like DFW's largest recent hailstorms have been in March, so... there's that. Well, the Dallas side of the Metroplex has had activity in virtually every which direction surrounding it, but not overhead. Definitely luck of the draw, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Local weather reports are reporting a tornado warning for southern Denton county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Looks like some rotation is tightening up pretty quickly around Flower Mound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Tornado Warning Tornado Warning TXC121-250330- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0005.210325T0237Z-210325T0330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 937 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Denton County in north central Texas... * Until 1030 PM CDT. * At 937 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Flower Mound, moving northeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and hail up to two inches in diameter. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Highland Village and Copper Canyon around 950 PM CDT. Corinth and Hickory Creek around 955 PM CDT. Lewisville, Lake Dallas, Lake Lewisville and Shady Shores around 1000 PM CDT. The Colony and Hackberry around 1010 PM CDT. Little Elm and Cross Roads around 1015 PM CDT. Frisco around 1025 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Oak Point, Lakewood Village and Westlake. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3320 9684 3299 9701 3299 9721 3322 9700 3322 9684 TIME...MOT...LOC 0237Z 222DEG 23KT 3303 9712 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...2.00IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 12 minutes ago, Powerball said: Well, the Dallas side of the Metroplex has had activity in virtually every which direction surrounding it, but not overhead. Definitely luck of the draw, lol. Yeah lol. I just checked back in to twitter and immediately was greeted by radar images of the TOR-warned supercell in Denton county, holy moly at that structure though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Decent hook just north of downtown Fort Worth but not much on velocity yet - keep an eye out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I suspect not only will they extend the watch (set to expire in 15 minutes), but likely upgrade it to a Tornado Watch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 just gonna drop in this cropped radar images I got off of twitter cause they're better quality than anything I could have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Ch.5 thinks they may be picking up a debris ball over Highland Village. Anyone seeing that on their radar apps? (Denton County tornado) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 950 PM CDT WED MAR 24 2021 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 950 PM UNTIL 400 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE INTENSE CLUSTERS SHOULD EMANATE EAST-NORTHEAST FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU TOWARDS THE I-35 CORRIDOR IN CENTRAL TEXAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Powerball said: I suspect not only will they extend the watch (set to expire in 15 minutes), but likely upgrade it to a Tornado Watch Yep, you called it. Surprised it doesn't include Denton county, where there is literally a tornadic supercell-? Goes until 4 AM... not a fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Rotation increasing near Watauga or just north of North Richland Hills... No warning yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 30 minutes ago, cstrunk said: Rotation increasing near Watauga or just north of North Richland Hills... No warning yet. Looks like it's gonna pass right over me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Y'all need to be watching the Junction tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Witness Protection Program Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 1059 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT FOR EASTERN KIMBLE AND SOUTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES... At 1057 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado and damaging winds was located 8 miles northeast of Segovia, or 14 miles east of Junction, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and two inch hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Segovia and Yates Crossing. This includes Interstate 10 between Mile Markers 464 and 473. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 tornado warned storm west of Junction TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 Latest model runs are really ramping up the moisture return and instability around DFW and Central Texas tomorrow. The CAMs are even managing to develop isolated / scattered t'storms. SPC has already issued a marginal risk area to account for this potential: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 Marginal extended northeast and a D1 slight added stretching into far southwest Dallas county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 2 hours ago, cheese007 said: Marginal extended northeast and a D1 slight added stretching into far southwest Dallas county Slight Risk has been extended even further NE to include most of the Metroplex now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 1 hour ago, Powerball said: Slight Risk has been extended even further NE to include most of the Metroplex now... Sig hail hatch as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Sig hail hatch as well Looks like there's going to be a thick cirrus canopy overhead for the next couple of hours. I guess we'll see what effect that has on convection this afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 New update takes DFW out of the slight and Sig hail hatch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherextreme said: New update takes DFW out of the slight and Sig hail hatch Not surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 Theoretical chase target today is Eden, TX... basing on current obs I may adjust a bit further east toward Brady, but either way today looks primed for several strong supercells along the stalled frontal boundary in Central TX. 12z RAOBs from MAF and EPZ depicted 850-500mb lapse rates of 7.8-8.0 C/km, this combined with a strongly mixed PBL by late afternoon will create moderate CAPE profiles along the boundary, this thermo profile juxtaposed with elongated mid-level hodographs will result in supercells capable of very large hail shortly after initiation. The tornado threat is very minimal today owing to very weak 0-3km shear. Given the strong mid-level winds and relatively dry low to mid-levels this type of setup could yield a fairly beautiful high-based supercell or two... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxmaniac Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 93 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 350 PM CDT Mon Apr 12 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of The Edwards Plateau of central Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected from 4-5 pm CDT in areas southeast of San Angelo, and other storms may approach the Rio Grande near Del Rio later this evening. The storm environment will favor splitting supercells capable of producing isolated very large hail (near or larger than tennis balls), as well as isolated damaging outflow gusts through late evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast of Junction TX to 35 miles west southwest of Del Rio TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted April 12, 2021 Share Posted April 12, 2021 Brady, TX could take a beating from this one in a half-hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted May 2, 2021 Share Posted May 2, 2021 Enhanced upgrade up for wind in KS. Was expecting it moreso in the Lower MS Valley risk area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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