cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Looks like convection has initiated. Already a SVR for NE McCulloch and NW San Saba counties in central TX. Should see a watch issued soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Reflectivity image is pretty crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 1 minute ago, cstrunk said: Reflectivity image is pretty crazy. There must be an insane hail core associated with this cell. Edit; the warning does mention 2 inch hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Starting to get some clouds going up in DFW. Looks like it's about showtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Starting to get some clouds going up in DFW. Looks like it's about showtime Yeah, returns beginning to strengthen, especially SE towards Corsicana and Athens. Looks like it's along the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Tornado watch just issued up to the line of counties south of Dallas/Tarrant, but the watch does include Kaufman county as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: Tornado watch just issued up to the line of counties south of Dallas/Tarrant, but the watch does include Kaufman county as well Huh was not expecting a Tor watch tbh. Any possibility it gets extended northward? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Haven't been able to pull up the watch info but probably has relatively low TOR probs given that the wording was "a couple tornadoes possible" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Just now, TexMexWx said: Haven't been able to pull up the watch info but probably has relatively low TOR probs given that the wording was "a couple tornadoes possible" 30/10 probs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Cell TOR warned now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Any possibility it gets extended northward? I doubt it would get extended unless we have some ongoing tornadic storms that actually look like they'll travel north of the outlined area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 18 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Huh was not expecting a Tor watch tbh. Any possibility it gets extended northward? I thought the watch would have been issued sooner, but they were probably debating whether it should be a SVR or TOR. It seems to me like the 30/10 TOR is appropriate, based on the short-term guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Storms are continuing the organize SE of Dallas. This is where the HRRR was spitting out some helicity tracks for the 5-7 pm range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for the rest of the DFW MEtroplex up to the OK border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Storms SE of Dallas are all taking on supercellular characteristics on radar. The Mabank storm has a really nice reflectivity presentation already... the others storms have "the look" as well. Large hail threat for sure on the east side of Dallas towards Lindale. Good shear in place but helicity values pretty modest, so the tornado threat will hopefully stay low, but may increase in time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, cstrunk said: Storms SE of Dallas are all taking on supercellular characteristics on radar. The Mabank storm has a really nice reflectivity presentation already... the others storms have "the look" as well. Large hail threat for sure on the east side of Dallas towards Lindale. Good shear in place but helicity values pretty modest, so the tornado threat will hopefully stay low, but may increase in time... What's the threat looking like for western Dallas county? I have an event at 7 that might be impacted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 1 minute ago, cheese007 said: What's the threat looking like for western Dallas county? I have an event at 7 that might be impacted In my unprofessional opinion, it's lower at this time. But there are some small cells in the DFW area and just south that are trying to form. Just not doing much yet. That may change so don't take my word for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Just now, cstrunk said: In my unprofessional opinion, it's lower at this time. But there are some small cells in the DFW area and just south that are trying to form. Just not doing much yet. That may change so don't take my word for it. The cell near Mabank looks good, wouldn't be surprised if it gets a tornado warning soon. Very impressive hail core as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Mesoscale Discussion 0243 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0610 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021 Areas affected...portions of central and north-central Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 47... Valid 242310Z - 250015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 47 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across WW 47. DISCUSSION...Scattered cellular convection, including a few supercells, have evolved near/just east of the DFW metro area over the past hour. Additionally, a longer-lived supercell over San Saba/Mills/Hamilton counties has recently produced 1.5-1.75 inch hail. Additional shallow convection has deepened in the past 15 minutes along the I-35 corridor between Waco and Hillsboro. The storms are in a favorable environment for updraft rotation, with southeasterly low-level flow veering strongly with height amid weak to moderate instability. Additionally, the cells just east of DFW appear to be interacting favorably with a warm front lifting northward along the I-20 corridor in that area. As gradual low-level moistening continues, surface-based convection is expected to continue to pose a risk for tornadoes in addition to hail (potentially significant near supercells). A greater tornado risk may evolve after the 00Z time frame pending backing of low-level wind fields due to cyclogenesis along the Rio Grande/Big Bend area. ..Cook.. 03/24/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT... LAT...LON 31569956 32179905 32709797 33069657 33049602 32809556 32249539 31659587 31029687 30349821 30049936 30160000 30490018 31140019 31569956 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 Tornado warning for Van Zandt county... north of Canton 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, TexMexWx said: Tornado warning for Van Zandt county... north of Canton Rotation still pretty broad. Still has a nasty hail core. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notsomadscientist Posted March 24, 2021 Share Posted March 24, 2021 I'm in the middle and to the north of both the warned storms, near the Lone Oak area. Decided to stay home today, hoping that the worst of it stays away from the house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 708 PM CDT WED MAR 24 2021 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... EAST CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... SOUTHWESTERN BOSQUE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 800 PM CDT. * AT 708 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CRANFILLS GAP, OR 10 MILES EAST OF HAMILTON, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... CRANFILLS GAP AROUND 720 PM CDT. MERIDIAN STATE PARK AROUND 740 PM CDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I'm going to get more concerned for a severe storm threat here in the Metroplex if the dewpoints can continue to rise into the 60s. The southern and eastern sections have already seen this happen, and there is additional storm activity forming to the west as well (between DFW and Abilene, but those storms appear to be elevated and behind the surface front). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, BrandonC_TX said: I'm going to get more concerned for a severe storm threat here in the Metroplex if the dewpoints can continue to rise into the 60s. The southern and eastern sections have already seen this happen, and there is additional storm activity forming to the west as well (between DFW and Abilene, but those storms appear to be elevated and behind the surface front). Your winds are backed se with dews in the upper50's. Do have to see how that warm front behaves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Max Olson got the tornado earlier (my links are embedding and I don't know how to fix this setting if someone could pls help lmk lol) Max Olson on Twitter: "#Tornado east of Hamilton, TX about 5 minutes ago, has since lifted. @NWSFortWorth https://t.co/EQnTEvqhXV" / Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 possible tornado at Cranfills Gap TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Not crazy about that tor warned cell to the southwest heading into the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, cheese007 said: Not crazy about that tor warned cell to the southwest heading into the metro Hopefully should pass to the southeast, but Kaufman county might need to watch it closely down the line4 EDIT: Hmmmm.. not fully sure that it misses Dallas county entirely now... but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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