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General severe weather discussion


Quincy
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16 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Hail-driven though, tornado probabilities remain at a seasonably meh 5%.

True, but I DON'T Take any chances, even though the tornado risk is a Slight, it can act like a Moderate, & I've seen that this year . . . 

This is why to Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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this storm is quite far from radar stations

 

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* At 409 PM MDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
  was located 6 miles northeast of Sterling, moving northeast at 40
  mph.

  This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

  HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

  SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado.

 

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The models generally have a low on the high plains on Wednesday evening, with 60-70F dew points in the warm sector. It seems that 0-6km shear and storm-relative helicity may be increasing strongly in the evening hours. I think we will have at least some severe weather in the central plains.

ItDSBKP.jpg

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