Iceresistance Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 4 INCH Hail has been reported in Kansas last night . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 The rainfall potential is CRAZY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 From yesterday in CO And Kansas No tornadoes, but fun times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 The WPC is going CRAZY on the rainfall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 Interesting lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted May 15, 2021 Share Posted May 15, 2021 Mesoscale Discussion 0625 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0617 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021 Areas affected...southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 175... Valid 152317Z - 160015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 175 continues. SUMMARY...A relatively small window will exist through mid evening for brief isolated tornadoes from a portion of southeast Colorado through southwest Kansas. DISCUSSION...Early this evening a stationary boundary extends through southwest Kansas into southeast Colorado. Dewpoints are generally in the upper 50s to around 60 F in vicinity of this boundary contributing to somewhat lower LCLs and up to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE. Storms will continue spreading eastward off the higher terrain, and other storms may initiate on the boundary. Effective bulk shear around 35 kt will promote both multicell and marginal supercell structures, and some increase in 0-2 km hodograph size will occur as the low-level jet strengthens this evening. The primary threat for a few brief tornadoes is expected to occur as storms develop along or move east and interact with the boundary where low-level vorticity will be maximized. ..Dial.. 05/15/2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 I've never seen the Day 3 outlook feature a Moderate risk of Flooding that does NOT feature a Tropical Cyclone! The WPC QPF is going crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Iceresistance said: I've never seen the Day 3 outlook feature a Moderate risk of Flooding that does NOT feature a Tropical Cyclone! The WPC QPF is going crazy! How about 3 day Flash Flood watch Dallas .FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... This might need it's own thread more rainfall after the 3 day map you posted 2015 redux? Lake Lewisville Dam problems if Denton County gets hit bad?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said: How about 3 day Flash Flood watch Dallas .FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... This might need it's own thread more rainfall after the 3 day map you posted 2015 redux? Lake Lewisville Dam problems if Denton County gets hit bad?? 'm under a Flood Watch until at least Wednesday as well . . . I've been thinking about 2015 similarities, except there is no Tropical Storm! Here is the Days 1-7 QPF, it's just absolutely crazy amounts expected! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Technically, DFW still has a deficit for the year. So I don't think the flood problems will get too bad as long as much of the rain doesn't fall at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Trinity river will be one to watch. If DFW gets flooding rains, the area around the Trinity river typically will have big problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherextreme said: Trinity river will be one to watch. If DFW gets flooding rains, the area around the Trinity river typically will have big problems. will depend on meso features of course and luck with overlapping events but it Looks like a mini train is setting up for Dallas county and SE Metro for round 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Tornado Warning near Port Aransas, TX Tornado Warning will expire, the storm is not longer capable of producing a tornado . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 43 minutes ago, weatherextreme said: Trinity river will be one to watch. If DFW gets flooding rains, the area around the Trinity river typically will have big problems. started a new thread about heavy rain/flooding so this thread can focus on tornadoes, hail, wind, etc 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Enhanced up for Monday. Upgraded for hail with 5% Tor probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Tornado Warning TXC217-161845- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0017.210516T1817Z-210516T1845Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 117 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Hill County in central Texas... * Until 145 PM CDT. * At 116 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Itasca, or 11 miles north of Hillsboro, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of north central Hill County. This includes Interstate 35W between mile markers 6 and 13. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3212 9715 3219 9722 3225 9715 3226 9710 3226 9709 3217 9702 TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 226DEG 12KT 3217 9715 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Tornado Warning TXC139-251-161915- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0018.210516T1837Z-210516T1915Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 137 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Johnson County in north central Texas... West central Ellis County in north central Texas... * Until 215 PM CDT. * At 136 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Grandview, or 12 miles southeast of Alvarado, moving northeast at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Maypearl around 155 PM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3221 9705 3222 9706 3226 9709 3225 9716 3235 9714 3237 9700 3230 9691 TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 215DEG 15KT 3225 9709 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Oh my... Tornado Warning TXC113-161945- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0019.210516T1908Z-210516T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 208 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Dallas County in north central Texas... * Until 245 PM CDT. * At 208 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near University Park, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Garland around 225 PM CDT. Richardson around 230 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Buckingham. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3298 9664 3285 9677 3289 9682 3299 9680 3299 9675 TIME...MOT...LOC 1908Z 208DEG 25KT 3289 9677 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED HAIL...<.75IN $$ 92 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 BTW, the Byron Nelson (PGA Tournament) is currently taking place in McKinney, TX. Not sure if there's a delay though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 22 minutes ago, Powerball said: BTW, the Byron Nelson (PGA Tournament) is currently taking place in McKinney, TX. Not sure if there's a delay though. They were playing up until now, but now play has been suspended. Good news is that they're in the final round and the Tornado Warning has been cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 SPC has upgraded much of the DFW Metroplex to a Slight Risk, with a 5% chance of a tornado... SPC AC 161951 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0251 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021 Valid 162000Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS... ...SUMMARY... Scattered strong/severe thunderstorms are once again expected across portions of the central and southern Plains late this afternoon and evening. Large hail and severe wind gusts are the most likely risks. Tornado probabilities have been increased to 5%/Slight Risk in parts of north-central Texas, including the DFW metro area. Earlier this afternoon, a few weak/brief circulations were noted on KFWS radar along with reported brief touchdowns with the most organized storm now in Ellis County. Current radar imagery continues to suggest some potential for this activity to continue for a few hours. TDFW and TDAL VWP data continue to show semi-enlarged low-level hodographs. A couple storms, should they organize, west/south of the metro area may see similar potential for a brief/weak tornado given some heating ahead of that activity. Elsewhere, the outlook remains unchanged. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Actually getting a good peak of the sun now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhirlingWx Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 54 minutes ago, Powerball said: Oh my... Tornado Warning TXC113-161945- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0019.210516T1908Z-210516T1945Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 208 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... North central Dallas County in north central Texas... I went out to take a look, everything was rain-wrapped obviously and couldn't see anything lol, but was worth a shot Not sure if we ever had a touchdown, but the path of the rotation would have taken it right over my old neighborhood (which also got on 10/20/19) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 000 NWUS54 KFWD 162004 LSRFWD PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 304 PM CDT SUN MAY 16 2021 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1115 AM TORNADO 5 WNW TROY 31.23N 97.38W 05/16/2021 BELL TX EMERGENCY MNGR SEVERAL HOMES SUSTAINED MINOR DAMAGE FROM A BRIEF TORNADO ALONG WILLOW GROVE RD BETWEEN MOODY RD AND FRANKLIN RD. SOME OUTBUILDINGS AND CHICKEN COOPS DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Crazy flooding going on Love Field -> N Dallas -> Plano 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Apparently there was "significant tree damage" at Goar Park in University Park according to NWS storm reports. Also a home got damaged on Northhaven Road across from North Haven Gardens, which was an area hit hard back on October 20, 2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Just now, BrandonC_TX said: Apparently there was "significant tree damage" at Goar Park in University Park according to NWS storm reports. Also a home got damaged on Northhaven Road across from North Haven Gardens, which was an area hit hard back on October 20, 2019. Although the cell was tornado warned, it seems they're calling it high winds for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 Well this would be an interesting outcome (note the time of day)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sydney Claridge Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 25 minutes ago, Powerball said: Although the cell was tornado warned, it seems they're calling it high winds for now. It looks like some pretty serious damage occurred to a home in the Northhaven area. Some debris was even lodged into the ground, apparently: https://mobile.twitter.com/HowertonNews/status/1394032811875651595?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^tweet We’ll have to wait for the official survey, but the evidence seems pretty convincing for a brief tornado touchdown. This very spot got hit with the tornado on 10/20/19, so if this were a tornado it would be the second time in less than two years that a tornado hit this spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherextreme Posted May 16, 2021 Share Posted May 16, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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