cheese007 Posted May 15, 2020 Author Share Posted May 15, 2020 3 hours ago, WhiteoutWX said: I guess today's severe weather will go here? Looks like an active day with numerous storms likely. Low-level shear doesn't look particularly strong for tornadoes (bulk shear is also only in the 20-30 kt range), but with multiple boundaries in play across Oklahoma would not be surprised at a mesoscale accident producing a spinup or two. Just updated the thread title! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 15, 2020 Share Posted May 15, 2020 Considered going to C/S OK today. But driving 1300 miles the previous two days has made me not want to chase a 2% day in OK that’s probably going to be a QPF bomb. Yesterday wasn’t too bad, chased until around 10:30pm. Got a beautiful LP supercell north of Emporia, KS followed by numerous funnel clouds/possible tornadoes in northern Lyon county toward/after sunset, went a bit East and got hit by 70-80mph winds from the cluster that formed. Only really got a decent picture of the LP storm, everything else had low-resolution due to darkness or just wasn’t worth taking a picture of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted May 15, 2020 Share Posted May 15, 2020 Heading toward northeastern Colorado. Not the most impressive setup, but wind profiles along with modest instability might support a supercell or two. Not playing with that junk in Oklahoma. Deep layer wind profiles are hideous for mid-May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted May 15, 2020 Share Posted May 15, 2020 The surging outflow has really wrecked a lot of the severe potential for much of OK. Shear is even less impressive to the south so not very enthused about convection in TX, at least as far as tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheese007 Posted May 16, 2020 Author Share Posted May 16, 2020 Tor warning up by Wichita Falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 Neat little meso wake low thing happened today in and around NW Arkansas. Had 50mph winds at one point knocking down trees throughout the area in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 What a totally awful and forgettable three day period this ended up being. 5/13: Weak shear, and strong CIN wrecked most updrafts between 20-00z... things picked up a little bit toward/after 00z with some okay structure in SW OK. 5/14: Again weak shear, and some mid-level subsidence wrecked most updrafts. A few updrafts were shortly pretty, toward 00z a few small, bizarre looking storms acquired weak rotation and produced brief funnels/possible tornadoes. 5/15: Weak shear and a surging outflow boundary totally ended any legit potential today. Looking like things are going to be quite boring in the central and southern plains the next week or so with a ridge setting up shop across the region. Perhaps the pattern begins to change toward next weekend, with potentially similar mesoscale-type setups. FWIW tomorrow in SW IA/SE NEB does not necessarily look awful. Biggest question will be in regard to moisture quality/instability. Low-level hodographs will be very impressive with strong veering. If trends continue to look up, might drive out there and see what Iowa can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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