weathafella Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Unless it’s 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Unless it’s 6+ Just go all-in on the GFS....ok, it wouldn't be 6"+ there, but it could be 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was during the morning that it snowed. If I remember right it was more mid to late morning here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 48 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: can you send me the link to this. I used to have it but i dont know what i did with it. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was during the morning that it snowed. Was there another late season event that year? I remember being in class and coming outside at 8pm break..it was snowing. We were floored.Maybe there was an April system, then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wide open looking for the Windsexyness yeah let's not overlook Saturday afternoon...which was actually the original purpose of the thread before the snow threat evolved Too be honest more people could see some sort of frozen throughout the day Saturday then Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, wx2fish said: If I remember right it was more mid to late morning here I was in downtown Manch at the time and the majority of the accums were 14-16z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: yeah let's not overlook Saturday afternoon...which was actually the original purpose of the thread before the snow threat evolved Too be honest more people could see some sort of frozen throughout the day Saturday then Friday night. Not according to your map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Not according to your map my map was predominately NW Hills and NE Hills for any meaningful accumulations (4-6'' up in northern Litchfield County) then a strip of 2-4'' across larger part of that county and then up your way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 44 minutes ago, Amped said: All models have trended further east and less amplified with the northern stream. That is what it causing the later phase. This was similar to 2010 when models miraculously brought the storm back . Not the likely scenario, but still worth watching 18z and 00z in case somehow the NS trends back west again. Se graze is now about 60/40 nam is tracking ENE out to sea and 1000mb even Kev Will realize this is trending weak and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 30 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: It's actually more anomalous from a meteorological standpoint to have this in May. My average temp for May 9 is 50 (63/37) and for the month of January it's 15. With models showing H8s below -5C, having H8s at -25C (Maybe the -30s due to winter's generally greater anomalies) with long nights and calm air, my frost pocket site might be on the cold side of -40. Fake cold for sure, but tell that to a car battery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 32 minutes ago, weathafella said: Take pics. I am anti May snow. So 35 and rain? I mean might as well snow anti or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So 35 and rain? I mean might as well snow anti or not Well if it’s in the 30s we’ll see snow. I don’t need damage to my trees and flowers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 5 hours ago, dendrite said: Still pretty juiced though....but yeah. Maybe a flatter trend? Kinda weird to see the NAM so meh and the GFS amplifying so much. Since they're both likely wrong, let's consider option C. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 58 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was during the morning that it snowed. I thought it was snowing during the evening as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Nice little anecdote about the 2002 event (does not mention the timing) From the Worcester Telegram On May 18, 2002, northern Worcester County saw a small amount of heavy, wet snow. The only official National Weather Service report of that storm was from Ashburnham, where a weather spotter recorded 2.5 inches. There was an unofficial report of 4 inches in Templeton, and heavy snow collapsed tents at the Henshaw Farm - where 20 Confederate and 40 Union Civil War re-enactors fought the battle of the day with snowballs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Wow just saw the NAM complete whiff for all of New England except some light snow for ct ri and se mass. Big differences in models with only 36 hrs to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 NAM is weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Nice little anecdote about the 2002 event (does not mention the timing) From the Worcester Telegram On May 18, 2002, northern Worcester County saw a small amount of heavy, wet snow. The only official National Weather Service report of that storm was from Ashburnham, where a weather spotter recorded 2.5 inches. There was an unofficial report of 4 inches in Templeton, and heavy snow collapsed tents at the Henshaw Farm - where 20 Confederate and 40 Union Civil War re-enactors fought the battle of the day with snowballs. 8” in Lunenburg? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 Doesn't seem like the NAM wants to phase...if it were to phase it would probably be a solid hit. So I guess we just have to decipher what the odds of a phase are and if there is a phase how quickly does it happen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 NAM trend has been ugly..many busts coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 Just now, Dr. Dews said: NAM trend has been ugly..many busts coming I will love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 It wouldn't be the NAM if it didn't have both the snowiest and least snowiest runs of any model withing 60hrs of the storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 It will be fun to watch the 0Z models. If it’s not figured out by then it becomes now cast. I would be happy just seeing steady snow, even if it’s not sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 38 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I thought it was snowing during the evening as well. Nah it was long over by then. I’m not sure what event Dr Dews was thinking of but maybe 4/25/02. There were some snow late evening but it was after 10pm I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 GFS holding it's own regarding getting the CCB going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: GFS holding it's own regarding getting the CCB going It caved quite a bit at 500mb and with the surface low track and intensity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 7, 2020 Share Posted May 7, 2020 2 minutes ago, Amped said: It caved quite a bit at 500mb and with the surface low track and intensity. Tip’s fast flow doing it’s damage? Maybe we will lose the upper level race track by winter 2023. Still holding out for a pretty dynamic system so we can lay down a coating. I don’t really want to stay up after midnight tomorrow night just to watch the raindrops get colder and fatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 4 minutes ago, Amped said: It caved quite a bit at 500mb and with the surface low track and intensity. At least Saturday afternoon is still in the cards...going to be numerous squalls with grauple and strong winds. Going to feel like December out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 7, 2020 Author Share Posted May 7, 2020 Well this weekend was cute but after this it's back to reality...should be tracking severe wx...like a snow event would be super fun but it's severe weather season damn it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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