dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Looks like white ground is in the cards after the 12-18Z runs so far, Going to be tough to accumulate anything worth while though I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 9:18 PM, crossbowftw3 said: BGM is actually seeing snow? Meanwhile like 90 minutes south of there I'm 43/40 and just raining Expand BGM is over 1600ft in elevation too. My sister lives around there at 1100ft and it feels like it’s in a valley. They’ve got some relatively high base elevations around there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 8:36 PM, powderfreak said: NAEFS percentile analysis shows both 500mb height fields and 850 to 500mb thermal profiles near MIN values indicating that the ensemble is forecasting these values to fall outside the 1979-2009 climatology for this time of year and highlighting how cold the progged thermal profiles are expected. Expand Cranky says this happens every year. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Cranky is a huge weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Okay what elevation is needed in CNE to see some accumulation I’m done melting about this system and time to chase some snows 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:31 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Okay what elevation is needed in CNE to see some accumulation I’m done melting about this system and time to chase some snows Expand HRRR says come down to Tolland Green 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:31 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Okay what elevation is needed in CNE to see some accumulation I’m done melting about this system and time to chase some snows Expand Prob 1200-1500ish...I’m assuming you are going for something greater than 1”....you want best elevation/QPF combo which is likely high terrain monadnocks into Mitch-land in S VT. Places like Florida and Savoy could be sneaky good too in the N Berks crest. Otherwise you know kanc at 2500+ is gonna be good up in the whites. Anything that falls will stick there almost off the bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:16 PM, ORH_wxman said: Cranky says this happens every year. Expand https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status/1258752047920189441 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 1200-2000’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Prob 1200-1500ish...I’m assuming you are going for something greater than 1”....you want best elevation/QPF combo which is likely high terrain monadnocks into Mitch-land in S VT. Places like Florida and Savoy could be sneaky good too in the N Berks crest. Otherwise you know kanc at 2500+ is gonna be good up in the whites. Anything that falls will stick there almost off the bat. Expand You’re not buying the modeling 1-2” here to ORH West? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:40 PM, dryslot said: 1200-2000’ Expand So like 1/10 the population of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Whiteout in the squalls south of Buffalo, hopefully they make it over the mountains. Will make for some nice pics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Man, I didn’t realize how last night’s little system produced good snow at Jay Peak. Looks like winter. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:43 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: So like 1/10 the population of New England. Expand That much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:42 PM, Damage In Tolland said: You’re not buying the modeling 1-2” here to ORH West? Expand No. It’s possible but I’d forecast probably just flakes at the end. Maybe coating to half inch. I could see it more likely up in ORH county around WaWa and NW to NH border. I wish the rates were better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:45 PM, powderfreak said: Man, I didn’t realize how last night’s little system produced good snow at Jay Peak. Looks like winter. Expand Lol, It was the same one that produced at elevation here, I thought you would be all over that, Checking out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:20 PM, dryslot said: Cranky is a huge weenie. Expand I had to say something on twitter. What planet is he on? Double digits deperatures is warm? Historic cold airmass is "not much cold air around"? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:48 PM, dryslot said: Lol, It was the same one that produced at elevation here, I thought you would be all over that, Checking out? Expand Asleep at the wheel. Didn’t seem to do much around here, the hills didn’t have that pasted white look, must’ve been following the international border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:50 PM, The 4 Seasons said: I had to say something on twitter. What planet is he on? Double digits deperatures is warm? Historic cold airmass is "not much cold air around"? Expand Who makes that post when it’s under 60F approaching mid-May? Lol. Aren’t average highs like mid-60s at least down there? Comes off as someone trying too hard to prove this cold isn’t a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:45 PM, dryslot said: That much? Expand 1/20th? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:43 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: So like 1/10 the population of New England. Expand I'd venture to say thats probably more like 1/100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:50 PM, The 4 Seasons said: I had to say something on twitter. What planet is he on? Double digits deperatures is warm? Historic cold airmass is "not much cold air around"? Expand He is high, And it’s not on life. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Wow , cranky is a tool bag That photo of Jay peak was amazing . Did winter ever end there at 1500’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 Ha, Binghamton down to 1/2 mile moderate snow at 32F. KBGM 082153Z AUTO 36016KT 1/2SM SN FG OVC004 00/M01 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:50 PM, powderfreak said: Asleep at the wheel. Didn’t seem to do much around here, the hills didn’t have that pasted white look, must’ve been following the international border. Expand May have been more elevation driven too, Above 3,000’? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:52 PM, powderfreak said: Who makes that post when it’s under 60F approaching mid-May? Lol. Aren’t average highs like mid-60s at least down there? Comes off as someone trying too hard to prove this cold isn’t a big deal. Expand Avg high ORH: 64 PVD: 66 BDL: 69 BDR: 65 Temperatures at 2PM ORH: 53 PVD: 57 BDL: 54 BDR: 48 But it's "warm" thats the exact opposite of warm. Also, it's been quickly dropping into the 40s after 2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 A band is forming on Albany radar over Glens falls. Looks like its headed into Vermont south of Rutland. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 This looks like fun. 120mph gusts. Would love to be up there right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 10:53 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Wow , cranky is a tool bag That photo of Jay peak was amazing . Did winter ever end there at 1500’ Expand He’s a putz. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 8, 2020 Share Posted May 8, 2020 On 5/8/2020 at 11:07 PM, The 4 Seasons said: This looks like fun. 120mph gusts. Would love to be up there right now. Expand Does anyone live there ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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