vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Flying MXZ said: Tornado observed near Roxbury according to the local news. ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTY... At 210 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Roxbury, or 16 miles west of Hunter, moving southeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east central Delaware County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Looks like the South Shore is going to miss out on the storms. Forming just south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Just getting that nasty look outside now. Sky is hazed over, wind is howling 30+, dew point up to 72, can see the low level cloud deck ripping. Just got that feel that a good storm is going to roll in shortly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Watch Posted! SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 456 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC003-009-011-013-015-029-037-051-069-097-099-101-121-123- 280000- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0456.200827T1850Z-200828T0000Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY CATTARAUGUS CAYUGA CHAUTAUQUA CHEMUNG ERIE GENESEE LIVINGSTON ONTARIO SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN WYOMING YATES $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Someone on the Lake Erie shore needs to get a pic of that incoming line! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 I’m in Ithaca for this one, west side of Cayuga in my camper...which is interesting. We just missed some action to the east, around 2 pm, now it’s very breezy with partly sunny skies, 85. DK humidity but it’s sticky. Watching the line of storms to our northwest and we are in a tornado watch. 3k Nam seems to have the stronger cells to our west later, while the hrrr brings some strong cells overhead. NWS says western Great Lakes for the most severe, so that’s in line with 3k nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2020 Author Share Posted August 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, vortmax said: Someone on the Lake Erie shore needs to get a pic of that incoming line! I get out around 4, but might be too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 12 minutes ago, vortmax said: Someone on the Lake Erie shore needs to get a pic of that incoming line! I’m thinking the low cloud deck is gonna be too thick to see anything neat on approach. Looks like Dunkirk to Hamburg is gonna get smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 HI RES NAM did a phenomenal job with this one. Nailed timing and placement very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: HI RES NAM did a phenomenal job with this one. Nailed timing and placement very well. Yep and just as I posted earlier the buffalo Metro north rain shadowed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Bowing out now: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2020 Author Share Posted August 27, 2020 That escalated quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2020 Author Share Posted August 27, 2020 At 412 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Erie Basin Marina, or near Buffalo, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Cell just blew through with hvy rain and thunder. Only saw one lightening flash. That lasted 10 mins. Moderate rain now. More incoming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Was like that line ran into a brick wall and splintered apart Surprised it flared up as good as it did up by me. Tons of rain, really strong wind gusts, no lightning, no hail, only getting a little thunder going now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Heaviest rain now for sure. Wind is rather modest. Can hear thunder but no flashes this round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 Anyone notice how Laura kind of ended up being a non event relatively speaking? Pretty fascinating. I think the Derecho did more damage than Laura. Definitely lucked out on where it hit and its forward speed was important in limiting flooding and overall damage. I'm really not seeing much in terms of catastrophic damage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 Yeah, I noticed that. Seemed the strongest winds in the eye wall were verrrry confined. Not widespread horrible winds. Storm surge not nearly as bad as predicted. Watching the Mets spread all over, it seemed pretty "meh" with the typical gusts. Obs for Shreveport and Little Rock didn't look anywhere close to what their advanced models showed. She petered out pretty quickly by the time she hit Arkansas. This is where it can be tough for media meteorology. You can be extremely cautious and give thorough warnings, with it ending up not as bad....or downplay it and then have big issues when bad things happen. Being overly cautious brings in higher ratings though...so that seems like more of a win-win for them. Still a lot of work to repair things, I am sure....and grieving for the several families who lost somebody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2020 Author Share Posted August 28, 2020 38 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Anyone notice how Laura kind of ended up being a non event relatively speaking? Pretty fascinating. I think the Derecho did more damage than Laura. Definitely lucked out on where it hit and its forward speed was important in limiting flooding and overall damage. I'm really not seeing much in terms of catastrophic damage. I thought it almost lived up to its strength. 30 miles inland recorded gusts of over 135 Mph in Lake Charles. It was a "non event" because of where it hit. If you look at google maps, its all marshland. Its like a hurricane hitting the everglades. It would cause very little damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2020 Author Share Posted August 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2020 Author Share Posted August 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2020 Author Share Posted August 28, 2020 Cameron got pretty much wiped out completely. Lake Charles is going to take years to recover. Highest storm surge was 17 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 28, 2020 Author Share Posted August 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 holy hell thats a lot of land... At first glance I thought that the north shore of lake ontario had disappeared lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 28, 2020 Share Posted August 28, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Cameron got pretty much wiped out completely. Lake Charles is going to take years to recover. Highest storm surge was 17 feet. Interesting that some structures looked totally untouched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 Looks like about 0.1 inch here since yesterday with nothing more coming. Not quite the 2-4” that was forecast just a few days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 4 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Looks like about 0.1 inch here since yesterday with nothing more coming. Not quite the 2-4” that was forecast just a few days ago. Same here. Quite the bust, I'd say. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 Yeah, we fared a little better here with about 1/2" of rain overnight, one last batch to get through.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 10 hours ago, vortmax said: Same here. Quite the bust, I'd say. Forecasting imo is getting worse and worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 30, 2020 Author Share Posted August 30, 2020 Felt like autumn today. This isn't good. Watch us go into a cold pattern Sep-Nov and then warm Dec-Feb...You just know it's coming. We've been stuck in a warm pattern June-August. It was cold for April-May. Patterns tend to stick for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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