SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Have to see if this holds together on its ride across the lakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 On 8/23/2020 at 8:43 PM, vortmax said: Seem like the potential of an MCS tomorrow night. Could get interesting if we're on the southern side of it... Great call. It’s about to get real! What a nice nocturnal MCS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 16 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Great call. It’s about to get real! What a nice nocturnal MCS. Wakey, Wakey everyone... Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 873 strikes detected so far! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Wow! The roaring wind certainly woke us up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Just so you all know this is WesterlyWx, I changed my name back to my original name when I started on this board 10 years ago since obviously I’m back here in Buffalo not in Westerly,RI anymore lol. Didn’t even hear the storms here so it must not have been bad despite the STW because I’m a light sleeper. Looking forward to some cooler weather finally. I’m over the heat for the year, we’ve had quite enough. Bring on fall and football (until it gets cancelled)! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 We got hit pretty hard here. Trees were down all over. The intersection at 62 was closed this morning. The thunder woke me up. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/200824_rpts.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 5 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Just so you all know this is WesterlyWx, I changed my name back to my original name when I started on this board 10 years ago since obviously I’m back here in Buffalo not in Westerly,RI anymore lol. Didn’t even hear the storms here so it must not have been bad despite the STW because I’m a light sleeper. Looking forward to some cooler weather finally. I’m over the heat for the year, we’ve had quite enough. Bring on fall and football (until it gets cancelled)! I can feel this way, but it's still August. I'll be ready in October this year. Usually I wait until November for the cold. I really don't want to get my hopes up for football. I have a feeling covid is going to make a huge comeback this fall. It isn't going to magically disappear. And with everything opening up and everyone staying inside as it gets colder, its a bad combination. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Laura expected to be a major hurricane at landfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Local mets are calling for up to 4" of rain over WNY from the associated moisture from Laura. Could be interesting this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 27 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Local mets are calling for up to 4" of rain over WNY from the associated moisture from Laura. Could be interesting this weekend. When Did that change?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: When Did that change?! Not sure but WIVB had a graphic as part of their forecast snip either last night or this morning and Don Paul has a graphic in his buffalo news article. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 58 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Local mets are calling for up to 4" of rain over WNY from the associated moisture from Laura. Could be interesting this weekend. What’s the last tropical cyclone that really delivered that much rain here in WNY? Katrina in 05’? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 12z High Res NAM has Laura coming ashore at 888mb!......thats not a typo. Obviously not a great model to use for a tropical system but kind of fascinating to see it explode like that on any model. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 Just now, lakeeffectkid383 said: What’s the last tropical cyclone that really delivered that much rain here in WNY? Katrina in 05’? That sounds about right. I was on a staycation that week and remeber watching the prices at the gas station across the street climb over $5/gal in the pouring rain. I also remember camping through the remnants of hurricane andrew...what a muddy mess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 After boundary sags southward across region by Friday, a near W-E orientation of this front across the area seems likely to yield a very unsettled and wet interlude for the CWA Friday into Friday night. Model guidance suggests continuous instability along this boundary, low level convergence, and ample moisture feed. Thus, this could finally be an extended period of rainfall potential for the area. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Continuation of tropical rainfall across the area will be present to start the weekend. Moisture associated with the remnants of Laura may be drawn up into the frontal boundary and stronger wave of low pressure that will still be laid out across the area. This would yield a near unabated continuation of solid rainfall across the bulk of the area that looks to extend at least into Saturday. Beyond Saturday, the long wave pattern looks to start to change across the eastern CONUS. What has been a very warm period will gradually be replaced by troughing in the upper levels. This will result in cooler and drier Canadian air slipping into the northeastern US for a few days. As a result, the forecast trends decidedly drier and below normal in the temperature department. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 25, 2020 Author Share Posted August 25, 2020 Going to be a brutal camping trip this weekend if that happens. Hoping its more scattered over there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 25, 2020 Share Posted August 25, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Going to be a brutal camping trip this weekend if that happens. Hoping its more scattered over there. Pretty Cool story. I can't even imagine doing this! https://www.rochesterfirst.com/recreation/virginia-woman-sets-adirondack-high-peak-record/?fbclid=IwAR1CHtiiW0J_feZ0wcPt_gs0AGZcC4lx1T4zOkwXSkaiUjk1LxXeTiBsMBo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Looking forward to the chilly night tonight. I am hoping this week marks the last of the 90 degree temps. Pretty please. Going through historical data for the past handful of Septembers, there have definitely been a fair share of 80 degree days. Well-above normal Septembers have been common as of late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Interesting pattern here for the last...3 months. Doesn’t want to cool off and doesn’t want to rain. Mentioned this before, but nighttime temps seem to be quite warm and BUF in particular can’t seem to dip below 75 before midnight. 75 currently post “cold front”. Forecast min is 55, I’ll take the over. I haven’t heard much talk about excessive dryness so maybe the lake shadow has been in overdrive all summer here...but leaves are dropping in my neighborhood like early October. Radar looked good last night and we ended up with maybe .01 inch. Anyway, random musings on what has been a pretty extreme warm and dry summer IMBY. If things don’t break cooler and wetter for at least a few days based on the forecast, I’ll have to call BS on the atmosphere... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Thursday looks interesting. Spc has area in hatched for significant severe weather. Never seen that for area on a 3 day outlook Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Interesting pattern here for the last...3 months. Doesn’t want to cool off and doesn’t want to rain. Mentioned this before, but nighttime temps seem to be quite warm and BUF in particular can’t seem to dip below 75 before midnight. 75 currently post “cold front”. Forecast min is 75, I’ll take the over. I haven’t heard much talk about excessive dryness so maybe the lake shadow has been in overdrive all summer here...but leaves are dropping in my neighborhood like early October. Radar looked good last night and we ended up with maybe .01 inch. Anyway, random musings on what has been a pretty extreme warm and dry summer IMBY. If things don’t break cooler and wetter for at least a few days based on the forecast, I’ll have to call BS on the atmosphere... A whopping 0.02” from last nights storms just down the road from you in Eggertsville. The leaves really are dropping like fall here. My backyard grass is toast between the dryness and my 3 dogs using the bathroom on it all the time lol. I actually had to rake a bunch of leaves out of the flower beds today and got 3 of the paper yard waste bags full of leaves. The large oak in my backyard is almost half bare and the half that are left are completely brown. Hopefully Laura helps us out or were not even going to have much foliage to look forward to in a month or so, most the leaves will have already dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: A whopping 0.02” from last nights storms just down the road from you in Eggertsville. The leaves really are dropping like fall here. My backyard grass is toast between the dryness and my 3 dogs using the bathroom on it all the time lol. I actually had to rake a bunch of leaves out of the flower beds today and got 3 of the paper yard waste bags full of leaves. The large oak in my backyard is almost half bare and the half that are left are completely brown. Hopefully Laura helps us out or were not even going to have much foliage to look forward to in a month or so, most the leaves will have already dropped. Weird thing about last night was the lightning strikes were so close, yet no rain. Big claps of thunder, I look outside expecting to see rain, nada. This also. happened a couple weeks ago. Very strange. Be on the lookout for suburban neighborhood lightning induced forest fires... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Just now, Buffalo Bumble said: Weird thing about last night was the lightning strikes were so close, yet no rain. Big claps of thunder, I look outside expecting to see rain, nada. This also. happened a couple weeks ago. Very strange. Be on the lookout for suburban neighborhood lightning induced forest fires... Didn’t hear a thing. Usually I’m a light sleeper, but I don’t get much sleep with 2 kids under 1 year old lol. Saw some pretty significant damage in Hamburg today BuffaloWeather. On 62 right near Evans street where I work there was a large tree in the road closing both lanes of traffic. Also a tree down on Pleasant St near Scott street also closing the whole road. Saw on Channel 4 it looks like there was a microburst that started on Smith road and headed SE over Pleasant St and Rt 62. Some really large healthy maples were snapped in half like toothpicks on the footage from Smith rd. They’re guesstimating winds were about 70 mph or so in the microburst but not sure if the NWS surveyed it already or still have to do so but interesting little thing to come outta last nights storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Hmm..we don't seem to have as much of a drought issue here in the Syracuse area. Grass is pretty green. We seemed to have lucked out with some rains throughout the summer. I know my family in PA has been chatting about the extremely dry conditions there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 3 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Hmm..we don't seem to have as much of a drought issue here in the Syracuse area. Grass is pretty green. We seemed to have lucked out with some rains throughout the summer. I know my family in PA has been chatting about the extremely dry conditions there as well. Only .41” at BUF since August 5th with .36” of that coming on the 15th. We’re only at 1.6” since August 1st and only 1.88” in the last 30 days. I’d be willing to bet in Amherst it’s even less as the airports caught a few storms we missed out on or were more intense there than here. I’ll have to dig through my PWS data but I’m guessing it’s closer to only 1” in last 30 days here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 6 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Hmm..we don't seem to have as much of a drought issue here in the Syracuse area. Grass is pretty green. We seemed to have lucked out with some rains throughout the summer. I know my family in PA has been chatting about the extremely dry conditions there as well. I live in Hannibal near oswego and my lawn is completely torched and so is everyone else lawns around here. We have had some rain on and off but not nearly enough to keep the lawn nice and green. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Laura hits 3! Looks like a compact powerhouse! Currently forecast to hit a sparsely populated portion of gulf coast. State line between Texas and LA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Lake charles area is 200000 residents. So wouldnt say sparsely populated. Although not on coast about 30 miles inland its elevation is so low may as well be on coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 Well we should see some decent liquid this week/weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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