wolfie09 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 Close to a big time soaking on the gfs.. Euro has some decent showers as well.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 20 minutes ago, champy said: Comet NEOWISE looks nice in the east ( to the left and lower than Venus). Check it out around 4 am. Took these shots outside of Baldwinsville. This is amazing. What settings did you use for this? What camera? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 4 hours ago, champy said: Comet NEOWISE looks nice in the east ( to the left and lower than Venus). Check it out around 4 am. Took these shots outside of Baldwinsville. With the way 2020 is going I fully expect this to turn out like this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 4 hours ago, champy said: Comet NEOWISE looks nice in the east ( to the left and lower than Venus). Check it out around 4 am. Took these shots outside of Baldwinsville. What time did you take these pictures? I went out around 4:30 and couldn’t find the comet but it may have already been too bright. I assume that is Venus to the right, which I saw. Venus is right in the middle of the Hyades, an open cluster of stars in Taurus. The Pleiades are right above it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 9, 2020 Author Share Posted July 9, 2020 Comets are fascinating. Just giant rocks floating around trillions of stars within trillions of galaxies. I cannot even comprehend it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: What time did you take these pictures? I went out around 4:30 and couldn’t find the comet but it may have already been too bright. I assume that is Venus to the right, which I saw. Venus is right in the middle of the Hyades, an open cluster of stars in Taurus. The Pleiades are right above it. It’s quickly transitioning to an evening comet. I think today and tomorrow are the only days it can be seen both in the morning and at night (But that means it’s actually one of the harder days to find it as it’s closer to the rising and setting sun). It’ll get easier to see it as it enters darker skies in the nights ahead but it’s also fading at that time so kind of a wash maybe? I was able to see it from 410-5am on Tuesday morning. Here is my bush league pic - iPhone held over the eyepiece of a 30 dollar crappy refractive telescope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 3 hours ago, CNY_WX said: What time did you take these pictures? I went out around 4:30 and couldn’t find the comet but it may have already been too bright. I assume that is Venus to the right, which I saw. Venus is right in the middle of the Hyades, an open cluster of stars in Taurus. The Pleiades are right above it. Early. 4am or maybe even a bit before. It's best when Venus starts rising and before you even get the hint of sunrise. Once it hits 415-430 it's all over because of ambient light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: This is amazing. What settings did you use for this? What camera? Canon 5D Mark IV. 24-105mm L lens. About 4 second exposure, 800 ISO, F 5.6. Remote controlled on a tripod so you don't get mirror shake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 9, 2020 Share Posted July 9, 2020 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: It’s quickly transitioning to an evening comet. I think today and tomorrow are the only days it can be seen both in the morning and at night (But that means it’s actually one of the harder days to find it as it’s closer to the rising and setting sun). It’ll get easier to see it as it enters darker skies in the nights ahead but it’s also fading at that time so kind of a wash maybe? I was able to see it from 410-5am on Tuesday morning. Here is my bush league pic - iPhone held over the eyepiece of a 30 dollar crappy refractive telescope. That’s not bad considering your Rube Goldberg setup, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Comets are fascinating. Just giant rocks floating around trillions of stars within trillions of galaxies. I cannot even comprehend it. Comets are actually dirty snowballs comprised of rocky material held together by frozen gases. As a comet approaches the sun and warms the frozen gases begin to sublimate and give a comet’s coma it’s fuzzy appearance. As they get even closer the amount of gases increases and a tail forms and gets blown off the coma by the solar wind. As they approach perihelion many get destroyed by solar warmth and gravitational pull. That happened this year with Comet Atlas and Comet Swan. Most comets originate in the Oort belt which is outside the orbit of Pluto. Once they make their initial trip to the inner solar system, if they survive, they go into elongated long period orbits. The remains of destroyed comets are the source of several meteor showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Would be nice to get some of that TS moisture this far west to douce our burning grass. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Quite the lightning show looking south tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 28 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Quite the lightning show looking south tonight. Looks like they’re firing up just west and just south of you, that one that just fired up over Blasdell should give you a nice soaking soon. I think I’m going to be just too far N and E here to get anything but can even see the lightning from here in Amherst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 wow that's a really interesting/crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 I got a slight drizzle in south cheektowaga with all the action staying to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Wpc next 5 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 It rained last night and this morning here. Definitely needed, extremely muggy this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 The I81 corridor is going to be close to the western edge of the precipitation field associated with TS Fay tonight. I hope we can get some decent rain (0.5-1.0 inch) out of this as lawns have turned a crispy brown this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: The I81 corridor is going to be close to the western edge of the precipitation field associated with TS Fay tonight. I hope we can get some decent rain (0.5-1.0 inch) out of this as lawns have turned a crispy brown this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Really hoping it moves more West than progged. Latest sat frames show a NW shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 10, 2020 Author Share Posted July 10, 2020 That's a large storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: That's a large storm I was really shocked this morning to see A) how well defined the storm is and 2) that NYC is under a tropical storm warning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 Looks like we may finally see some beneficial showers and storms.. Fay moving off to the northeast Saturday will little impact to the local area. Mid-level trough crossing the area will allow for frequent beneficial showers and thunderstorms by Saturday afternoon. Severe threat looks limited, but a moisture rich atmosphere with surface dew points near 70 and precipitable water values around 2.0 inches will provide the ingredients for heavy rainfall and possible localized flooding. The convection will diminish in coverage Saturday night with the loss of diurnal heating and passage of the shortwave trough. Somewhat drier air moves in behind the shortwave Sunday, but additional scattered convection will develop mainly Sunday afternoon due the presence of persistent mid level troughing and the approach of another shortwave. One last shortwave this period will pass across our region Monday bringing scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 More cumulus developing earlier and moving NNW today, pushing out over the lake in this new flow. Hopeful for some rain today - also hoping those cirrus don't interfere with the destabilization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 KBGM 1148a update more bullish for CNY rain: It`s important to not that the coldest cloud tops associated with the deepest convection and heaviest precip continues to shift toward the northwest quadrant of the storm. This gives us confidence that the western edge of the heavier rainfall shield should at least make it into our far western areas. Cyclonic flow around Fay will advect tropical moisture (PWATs exceeding 2") in from the southeast through the afternoon. Orographic lift along the eastward-facing slopes of the Poconos and Catskills looks to be key for enhanced rainfall late this afternoon and evening. Model soundings show the presence of elevated instability for NEPA and the western Catskills, which although modest, should be sufficient for embedded thunder with locally heavy rain rates over these locations from about 3-4 PM through about 10- 11 PM. There is a potential for moderate to locally heavy rainfall to linger into the overnight hours across our NY zones, especially east of I-81, as easterly flow continues to provide upslope enhancement on the northern side of the low center. Will also have to watch for where the inverted trough/residual coastal front to the north of the low center reaches. If it happens to setup a bit farther west, then rainfall totals may be underdone overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 It's like winter time but rooting for some rain lol Ggem also has a couple inches liquid.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 European agrees with several bouts of rain between sat-mon, obviously not easy to pinpoint any potential t-storns.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 10, 2020 Share Posted July 10, 2020 40 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: European agrees with several bouts of rain between sat-mon, obviously not easy to pinpoint any potential t-storns.. Bring it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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