DeltaT13 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 3 hours ago, Polarbear said: Severe weather seems like a swing and a miss.... The nocturnal warm frontal rounds of convection always looked a little hit or miss. The main line convection this afternoon will be the primary threat. Still looks like some areas on the lake plain might be spared depending where it sets up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Looks like we should break into some sun here for a few hours. That will really send the CAPE soaring above 2000-2500j/kg. Might be just what we need for the afternoon storms to work with. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2020 Author Share Posted August 27, 2020 Had a few good storms overnight here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 27 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Looks like we should break into some sun here for a few hours. That will really send the CAPE soaring above 2000-2500j/kg. Might be just what we need for the afternoon storms to work with. Definitely, that break in coming in and will warm things up quickly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: The nocturnal warm frontal rounds of convection always looked a little hit or miss. The main line convection this afternoon will be the primary threat. Still looks like some areas on the lake plain might be spared depending where it sets up. Yes I agree with the winds SW off the lake the Buffalo Metro and surrounding northern burbs will probably have the best chance to miss these storms. I'm thinking the rains on Friday night and Saturday have a chance for a much more widespread affect across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Pouring, about 1/3" liquid so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 The atmosphere is certainly ripe. It takes about 2 minutes of sun for its to self destruct into low cumulus, which is happening right now out my window. Dewpoint sitting at 71. Large area of clearing over South Ontario, hopefully this juicy airmass can advect our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Another line forming and coming onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Hell of a line of storms about ready to nail me here in Hannibal. I've heard rumblings of thunder for a half hour and getting very dark to my north. Love a good storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 27, 2020 Author Share Posted August 27, 2020 This severe looks like mainly central NY into Southeast NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Well that was kinda let down, some heavy rain but hardly any thunder and lightning and the wind was calm as it could be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Just had a few strong thunderclaps overhead. The kind with no delay between flash and bang and make you jump. Very cool. I had 1.28" rain with first round that moved thru around 8am. Downpouring again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Reports of wind damage from the 8 am storms in the Bville area over to Plainville. I don't see any damage in my area of Lysander. Current storm just dumped the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 42 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Reports of wind damage from the 8 am storms in the Bville area over to Plainville. I don't see any damage in my area of Lysander. Current storm just dumped the rain. I ran into someone this a.m. that was wondering if these thunderstorms were due to the hurricane. I naturally said Yes. Yes they are. Wait till the eye gets here in a couple of days... I think she half believed me... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I ran into someone this a.m. that was wondering if these thunderstorms were due to the hurricane. I naturally said Yes. Yes they are. Wait till the eye gets here in a couple of days... I think she half believed me... BAHAHA! Good to see you posting... it's been a while. Meteorology is definitely a science of which people seem completely oblivious. Perhaps in part due to an over-dramatic media? Current weather: you can tell where the warm front is. Training thunderstorms over Syracuse/Central NY with temps around 70. To the west in the Finger Lakes/Southern Tier temps approaching mid to upper 80s. To the north and east of us temps in the mid 60s. 25 degree difference from Finger Lakes to Mohawk Valley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 P.S. Did you see the picture of 81 in downtown Cuse under water this morning from the 8 am storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Already starting to get bubbly upstream. Hoping for a little action around here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: P.S. Did you see the picture of 81 in downtown Cuse under water this morning from the 8 am storms? I didn't see them but I know parts of Syracuse can flash flood in these conditions. A few years back a man fell into an open manhole in flood conditions and was sucked into the underground sewer system and perished...they extracted his body near where I work. Sad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 We received another 0.71" with round 2 of storms. So total thusfar since 8 am is 1.99"... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Tornado Warning headed for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Just now, Flying MXZ said: Tornado Warning headed for me! Pics if you can do it safely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, vortmax said: Pics if you can do it safely! Currently sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Is it good to have a Tor Warning with no severe Watch in effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 14 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: Is it good to have a Tor Warning with no severe Watch in effect? There's a watch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Looks like the storm is going to miss me in Delhi. My house on the other hand is getting pounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 1 minute ago, Flying MXZ said: Looks like the storm is going to miss me in Delhi. My house on the other hand is getting pounded. If you're in Delhi, you may have a great view of it from the West (and safe) side of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 I can see nice dark clouds, but nothing special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Finished with 1.32" of rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 9 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: I can see nice dark clouds, but nothing special. If I didn't know any better, I'd say it looks like a little spin-up trying to happen. Should be passing Delhi now. Lots of lightning with that storm as well. Seeing a little green in the 'hook' area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted August 27, 2020 Share Posted August 27, 2020 Tornado observed near Roxbury according to the local news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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