WNash Posted June 22, 2020 Share Posted June 22, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Storms coming at a good trajectory to not hit the lake breeze. Update: storms approaching Buffalo are getting sheared apart and dried out by the breeze. The clouds look threatening, but the radar is showing convention crapping out in the metro. I don’t want to say we’re getting shafted, because this is the typical outcome from June through August, but I was really hoping to get my water bill a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 22, 2020 Author Share Posted June 22, 2020 21 minutes ago, WNash said: Update: storms approaching Buffalo are getting sheared apart and dried out by the breeze. The clouds look threatening, but the radar is showing convention crapping out in the metro. I don’t want to say we’re getting shafted, because this is the typical outcome from June through August, but I was really hoping to get my water bill a break. Hmm not here thunder lightning and heavy rain for last 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted June 22, 2020 Share Posted June 22, 2020 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Hmm not here thunder lightning and heavy rain for last 30 mins I just checked the radar, and plenty of convection is getting through! We’re going to get a storm pretty soon. Those cells that fired up around Clarence look pretty potent as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 12 hours ago, WNash said: I just checked the radar, and plenty of convection is getting through! We’re going to get a storm pretty soon. Those cells that fired up around Clarence look pretty potent as well. Literally went all around my house. Poured to the NE, South, NW, you get the pic...received about a 30 second shower and that was it. Maybe this afternoon/evening will offer more widespread hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 The atmosphere is warming up nicely...could get interesting in a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 1 hour ago, vortmax said: The atmosphere is warming up nicely...could get interesting in a couple hours. I'm hoping that first batch of prefrontal garbage doesnt sap all the energy. Was hoping it would fall apart and let the main front utilize all the CAPE. Oh well, I guess I should just be happy with any amount of precip. Hail would also be a major downer in my backyard as my gardens are looking about as good as they ever have with all the time and attention I've poured into it this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: I'm hoping that first batch of prefrontal garbage doesnt sap all the energy. Was hoping it would fall apart and let the main front utilize all the CAPE. Oh well, I guess I should just be happy with any amount of precip. Hail would also be a major downer in my backyard as my gardens are looking about as good as they ever have with all the time and attention I've poured into it this year. I was thinking the pre-frontal stuff would strengthen more...hardly any lightning with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 BAD NEWS for snow lovers for this winter 2020-2021. Judah Cohen said in today twitter "With a quick look to next #winter interesting argument that last September's rare Southern Hemisphere sudden stratospheric warming disrupted the QBO causing it to skip over easterly phase and repeat a westerly phase, which could favor a stronger #polarvortex winter 2020/21." I really hope we do not see another mild winter again like we did last year in the northeast. What do you guys think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Pretty nasty as that storm ripped through here. I’d say 40-50mph gust and the loudest boom of thunder, immediately almost simultaneously followed by instant huge flash of lightning and power completely out. This was right around 415 and power is still out. I think a tree or power pole must have been struck within a couple hundred yards of here. I peaked my head out and looked all around to see if I could see a tree split or any smoke if a tree/power pole was hit but couldn’t see anything. Hopefully power comes back on soon because it’s mighty muggy out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 23, 2020 Share Posted June 23, 2020 Looks like we'll come up just short for an official heat wave, in and out of clouds all day, high of 88.9°.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Gates has gotten shafted particularly well the last 11 days. Pretty good donut hole that I’m smack in the middle of. Good grief. Picked up .25” today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2020 Author Share Posted June 24, 2020 32 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Gates has gotten shafted particularly well the last 11 days. Pretty good donut hole that I’m smack in the middle of. Good grief. Picked up .25” today. Yeah it rained here pretty much all afternoon. Has to be well over an inch of it. Felt like a late September cold front coming through with the low clouds and chilly temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2020 Author Share Posted June 24, 2020 Reports https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2020 Author Share Posted June 24, 2020 Reminds me of the winter pattern that set up for 6 months. Hopefully this sets up until November and then we get a reversal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Finally got some rain Mon and Tues eve. I had over an inch of rain monday eve in a savage downpour with some impressive downdrafts with a briefly intense cell that popped up in the Syr area. Only about 0.2" last evening as the main frontal passage was weak sauce. I'll take it, much needed. Gorgeous morning, lower humidity for a nice break. Now let's get back to hot AF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Finally got some rain Mon and Tues eve. I had over an inch of rain monday eve in a savage downpour with some impressive downdrafts with a briefly intense cell that popped up in the Syr area. Only about 0.2" last evening as the main frontal passage was weak sauce. I'll take it, much needed. Gorgeous morning, lower humidity for a nice break. Now let's get back to hot AF. I was in the same thunderstorm Monday night that you were in. I ended up with 0.70”, 0.68” fell in about 45 minutes between 7:30 and 8:15. There was one lightning strike close by that produced a thunder clap so loud it sent our new dog running. We couldn’t find her in the house for 15 minutes. Finally we removed some framing on our bed and she was under it. Last night’s showers only produced 0.15”. We’ve gotten enough rain in the last several days that things aren’t completely dry. Big change in airmass today, the lower humidity makes it almost seem cold especially with the breeze. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2020 Author Share Posted June 24, 2020 1-2" across most of the area https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: 1-2" across most of the area https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Only 14 locations received over an inch out of 190 cities on that list. Looks like .5-1" for most, with a few isolated spots over 1" and a few spots well under a half inch, myself included. I just barely scratched out a quarter inch. Kind of underwhelming. Here is hoping to more widespread rain this weekend. EW YORK ...Allegany County... 2 SW Alfred 0.84 800 AM 6/24 ALERT 4 SW West Almond 0.75 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Wellsville Airport 0.72 756 AM 6/24 ASOS Wellsville 0.70 500 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 2 ENE Wellsville 0.69 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Rushford 0.59 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 N Belmont 0.43 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Fillmore 0.42 824 AM 6/24 AWS 3 NNW Wellsville 0.41 824 AM 6/24 AWS 6 NW Grove 0.39 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Belmont 0.35 825 AM 6/24 AWS ...Cattaraugus County... 1 ENE Olean 1.20 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Olean 0.85 825 AM 6/24 AWS 4 E Franklinville 0.76 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS SSE Ischua 0.71 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Cattaraugus 0.57 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 4 N Allegany 0.55 824 AM 6/24 AWS East Randolph 0.43 825 AM 6/24 AWS Salamanca 0.42 515 AM 6/24 HADS 4 ESE Randolph 0.36 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Little Valley 0.36 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 SW Franklinville 0.26 600 AM 6/24 HADS 6 SSE Delevan 0.22 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ...Cayuga County... Port Byron 0.06 825 AM 6/24 AWS ...Chautauqua County... Mayville 1.77 600 AM 6/24 HADS 1 SSE Silver Creek 1.13 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Silver Creek 1.06 730 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 2 SW Fredonia 1.05 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 WNW Fredonia 1.05 500 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Dunkirk Airport 0.93 753 AM 6/24 ASOS Dunkirk 1S 0.84 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 SW Sinclairville 0.82 600 AM 6/24 HADS NE Clymer 0.79 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 WSW Jamestown 0.73 800 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 9 NE Wattsburg 0.68 600 AM 6/24 HADS 2 E Jamestown 0.68 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Jamestown 4ENE 0.58 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer WSW Falconer 0.56 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Brocton 0.46 824 AM 6/24 AWS 1 N Gerry 0.41 750 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Frewsburg 0.40 825 AM 6/24 AWS 5 NNW Jamestown 0.34 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Jamestown Airport 0.06 805 AM 6/24 AWOS ...Erie County... 1 SSE Eden 1.28 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 1 NNW Brant 1.27 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ENE East Aurora 1.11 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 1 ENE Eden 1.08 825 AM 6/24 AWS 3 NNE East Aurora 1.06 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 NW West Seneca 1.05 430 PM 6/23 CoCoRaHS 4 SSW East Aurora 1.01 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 S Hamburg 0.97 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 SSE East Aurora 0.95 720 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 4 E Williamsville 0.94 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 SE West Seneca 0.91 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS North Collins 0.90 825 AM 6/24 AWS 1 NNE West Seneca 0.87 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Wales 0.86 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer WSW Hamburg 0.82 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS S Depew 0.79 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Cheektowaga 0.79 800 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 WSW Elma 0.72 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 E Williamsville 0.62 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 1 N Clarence Center 0.62 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS ESE Clarence Center 0.62 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Blasdell 0.58 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Cheektowaga 0.57 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 10 NE Buffalo 0.52 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 2 SE Glenwood 0.49 739 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Buffalo Airport 0.48 754 AM 6/24 ASOS Lake View 1NE 0.42 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 SSE Kenmore 0.34 825 AM 6/24 AWS ESE Kenmore 0.32 735 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Springville 0.31 826 AM 6/24 AWS 1 NW Kenmore 0.31 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Tonawanda 0.19 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Lancaster 0.15 1000 AM 6/23 CoCoRaHS ...Genesee County... Alabama 0.67 725 AM 6/24 RAWS 2 W Darien Center 0.58 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 ENE Batavia 0.53 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 3 WSW Batavia 0.40 800 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 NE Stafford 0.37 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Le Roy 1E 0.35 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Le Roy 0.20 824 AM 6/24 AWS Batavia 0.10 756 AM 6/24 AWOS ...Jefferson County... 2 S Cape Vincent 0.32 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 S Wellesley Island 0.25 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Fort Drum Airfield 0.14 816 AM 6/24 AWOS 1 NE Belleville 0.11 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ENE West Carthage 0.08 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Watertown Airport 0.07 756 AM 6/24 ASOS 3 N Philadelphia 0.07 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ...Lewis County... 1 NW Constableville 0.70 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Chases Lake 0.61 600 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 SSW Glenfield 0.58 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 11 ENE Croghan 0.58 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Highmarket 0.57 646 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 5 WSW Harrisburg 0.49 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 NW Glenfield 0.32 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 E Osceola 0.29 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 6 N Croghan 0.25 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 4 S Carthage 0.18 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ...Livingston County... 1 NW Avon 0.67 800 AM 6/24 HADS 2 ESE York 0.66 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 ENE Dansville 0.51 705 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Hemlock 0.50 945 PM 6/23 Co-Op Observer Dansville Airport 0.41 754 AM 6/24 ASOS 2 S Dansville 0.25 700 AM 6/24 HADS Livonia 0.18 824 AM 6/24 AWS 2 W Mount Morris 0.10 300 AM 6/24 HADS ...Monroe County... 3 W Webster 1.37 516 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Webster 2NE 0.87 800 PM 6/23 Co-Op Observer 1 WSW Brockport 0.74 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 1 SE Hilton 0.57 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 4 ENE Irondequoit 0.46 825 AM 6/24 AWS 5 WNW Rochester 0.45 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 6 ESE Rochester 0.39 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 1 NW Rush 0.37 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Hilton 0.33 825 AM 6/24 AWS Fairport 0.26 828 AM 6/24 AWS 2 NE Honeoye Falls 0.26 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS NNW East Rochester 0.24 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Rochester Airport 0.23 754 AM 6/24 ASOS 1 WNW Irondequoit 0.21 825 AM 6/24 AWS Pittsford 0.16 824 AM 6/24 AWS 5 S Gates-North Gate 0.15 700 AM 6/24 HADS 2 W Scottsville 0.12 700 AM 6/24 HADS Churchville 0.07 800 AM 6/24 HADS ...Niagara County... 4 S Lockport 0.48 755 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 NE North Tonawanda 0.34 500 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Niagara Falls 0.32 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer North Tonawanda 0.32 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 1 NE Lockport 0.26 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 2 W Burt 0.25 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 2 SSE Lockport 0.24 600 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Niagara Falls Airpor 0.22 753 AM 6/24 ASOS Middleport 0.20 825 AM 6/24 AWS Sanborn 4NE 0.14 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Wilson 0.12 825 AM 6/24 AWS ...Ontario County... Honeoye 0.52 645 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 6 WNW Vine Valley 0.32 824 AM 6/24 AWS West Bloomfield 1S 0.32 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Bristol Harbour 0.13 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 4 NNW Clifton Spring 0.11 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 3 NE South Bristol 0.10 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 3 S Canandaigua 0.10 800 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Geneva 0.05 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer ...Orleans County... Albion 0.65 825 AM 6/24 AWS Medina 0.43 600 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 4 E Medina 0.35 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 6 N Holley 0.29 825 AM 6/24 AWS ...Oswego County... 7 NNW Redfield 0.59 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 3 NE Central Square 0.34 755 AM 6/24 NYSM Lacona 0.34 825 AM 6/24 AWS Mexico 2SW 0.21 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer W Fulton 0.18 110 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 4 SSE Lacona 0.16 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Oswego Airport 0.16 754 AM 6/24 ASOS 2 WSW Oswego 0.12 755 AM 6/24 NYSM ...Wayne County... 5 WNW Ontario 0.79 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 5 NE Webster 0.68 700 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS 3 N Macedon 0.33 825 AM 6/24 AWS 3 ESE Macedon 0.16 721 AM 6/24 CoCoRaHS Newark Lock 28B 0.09 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Palmyra 0.09 825 AM 6/24 AWS ...Wyoming County... Portageville 1W 0.53 600 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Yorkshire 0.34 825 AM 6/24 AWS 5 NW Warsaw 0.25 755 AM 6/24 NYSM 3 W Wyoming 0.23 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer Warsaw 4W 0.22 700 AM 6/24 Co-Op Observer 4 S Castile 0.08 800 AM 6/24 HADS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted June 24, 2020 Share Posted June 24, 2020 Yea, I have no idea how you get 1"-2" out of that list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted June 24, 2020 Author Share Posted June 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Flying MXZ said: Yea, I have no idea how you get 1"-2" out of that list. Sorry I was at work and quickly posted that based on WNY totals. These are 24 hour totals 48 hour totals across our area have been 1-2". https://kamala.cod.edu/ny/latest.nous41.KBUF.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 Potential for some nice elevated warm-frontal storms overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 2 hours ago, vortmax said: Potential for some nice elevated warm-frontal storms overnight... What time period are you looking at? I'm not seeing much but sure do love elevated convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 25, 2020 Share Posted June 25, 2020 6 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: What time period are you looking at? I'm not seeing much but sure do love elevated convection. Lol, I'm thinking today is Friday. Been a busy week! BUF talking about potential MCS...we know how the last one turned out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 16 hours ago, vortmax said: Lol, I'm thinking today is Friday. Been a busy week! BUF talking about potential MCS...we know how the last one turned out! I figured that must have been what you were referring too. The last couple days of runs have slowly honed in on WNY as being right in the crosshairs for this MCS/low pressure system. The latest run brings three distinct bands of heavy showers/storms through WNY from about dawn through 11am. These things usually start to weaken a few hours after sunrise, so I hope we can squeeze it in before they fall apart. Lots of variability in a setup like this, but as of right now we are sitting pretty for a good soaking and a decent light show. Massive amounts of moisture to work with! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: I figured that must have been what you were referring too. The last couple days of runs have slowly honed in on WNY as being right in the crosshairs for this MCS/low pressure system. The latest run brings three distinct bands of heavy showers/storms through WNY from about dawn through 11am. These things usually start to weaken a few hours after sunrise, so I hope we can squeeze it in before they fall apart. Lots of variability in a setup like this, but as of right now we are sitting pretty for a good soaking and a decent light show. Massive amounts of moisture to work with! Ugh, sounds dire for my early tee time tomorrow. How about a monster MCS that rolls out of BUF by 7am. Everyone wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 Just now, Buffalo Bumble said: Ugh, sounds dire for my early tee time tomorrow. How about a monster MCS that rolls out of BUF by 7am. Everyone wins. Interestingly, BUF is less than 1 deg above normal for June and less than an inch below normal for precip. So basically average for June so far. It’s felt much warmer and drier to me at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 30 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Ugh, sounds dire for my early tee time tomorrow. How about a monster MCS that rolls out of BUF by 7am. Everyone wins. It's not looking good but these types of systems are notoriously finnicky to forecast. There also appear to be sharp gradients to the precip fields and storms in the high res models so some places might get clobbered while 10 miles away is spared. Keep an eye on the radar when you first wake up and you'll know if you are screwed or not as the system should be developed and ballistic by that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: It's not looking good but these types of systems are notoriously finnicky to forecast. There also appear to be sharp gradients to the precip fields and storms in the high res models so some places might get clobbered while 10 miles away is spared. Keep an eye on the radar when you first wake up and you'll know if you are screwed or not as the system should be developed and ballistic by that time. FFW in effect from BUF to ROC. Looks like we could see 1-2” on dry ground leading to higher than normal runoff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted June 26, 2020 Share Posted June 26, 2020 3 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: FFW in effect from BUF to ROC. Looks like we could see 1-2” on dry ground leading to higher than normal runoff. Bring it on, just don't wake the kiddos thunder! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted June 27, 2020 Share Posted June 27, 2020 Just missing out on everything here, 0.97" for the month, maybe we'll hit an inch for the month lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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