Rtd208 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 11 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: Larry Cosgrove calling for a loooong hot summer for much of the U.S with cooler anomalies in the Midwest. Through November lol. I am not so sure if his hot summer idea is going to work out. He has leaned stormier though which I agree with. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: I am not so sure if his hot summer idea is going to work out. He has leaned stormier though which I agree with. We'll see. Long and hot is pretty much a given in this area every summer, to varying degrees. Hopefully it wont be bone dry as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Pretty good overview of the sensible weather this week for the region from Mount Holly. We shall see about the chances for rain later in the week/weekend. Pretty iffy imo. Quote A widespread rain event for our region is unlikely until late in the week (especially starting Friday and continuing through the weekend) as the mid/upper level low finally begins to approach the region. It is too early to say if we are going to see heavy rain with this event as the low will be filling and weakening through this period as well. Temperature wise, we should once again be below normal for much of the week thanks to the influence of the continental polar air mass (associated with the Canadian surface high). Highs should be mostly in the 60s, until we get to Friday, when we could see a warm front lifting through our region, sparking a warming trend through the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Honestly looking forward to a week of temps 65-70, with a nice breeze, and little chance of rain. Yank another week off the calendar without subtropical warmth and humidity. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 4 hours ago, Scraff said: Wait. What happened to my 5-6” of I-95 rain this week? Worst case scenarios rarely work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Wow, pretty much no rain in Baltimore until Thursday afternoon on the GFS lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said: Wow, pretty much no rain in Baltimore until Thursday afternoon on the GFS lol. Been the story of our 2020...close in things collapse. Later on the GFS than Euro but most precip events seem to fade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Nice breeze this evening while sitting out on the patio - needed to put a light sweatshirt on. Sunday evening cocktail is fresh basil muddled with gin & shaken with simple syrup and lemon juice - topped with club soda. Refreshing spring cocktail! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 59 here. Looking forward to a cool and mostly dry week. Hopefully some sunny periods mixed in. Could use a little rain, but I already broke out the sprinkler lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 This is the lamest heavy rain event ever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 JustIn Berk posted this evening an update basically saying some of the modeling shows less rain but he doesn’t like to make “abrupt” changes to the forecast. I guess he hasn’t been following much the last 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 36 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: JustIn Berk posted this evening an update basically saying some of the modeling shows less rain but he doesn’t like to make “abrupt” changes to the forecast. I guess he hasn’t been following much the last 48 hours Not for Baltimore area but 18z GFS shows a few inches of rain again for DC southward. Maybe that’s part of what he’s saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 I can’t speak for other areas, but our forum has some great drinking folks. I don’t mean drink too much (well, maybe me), but rather really good tastes and recipes. @nj2va ‘s drink sounds awesome! I just planted two basil plants and can’t wait to get a few more leaves to try that. And where the heck is @mattie g ? He’s a savant at this stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 00z NAM declines to give any real appreciable rain (as in around 0.25" or less) through 12z THUR This is from around EZF to Warrenton to OKV and those to the NE of that curved kinda line ETA: Temps don't make it above 60 for most on Wednesday per the 00z NAM either... i81 corridor and down towards CHO really suffer tempwise on the 00z NAM... upper 30s on the ridges and 40s to near 50 for those that get rained on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Euro and gfs still have some heavy rain for DC/Baltimore area by late week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 So this is where our rain went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Blocking. FTL(FTW). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 11 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Blocking. FTL(FTW). Works for me. The park I work at went back to normal staffing procedures so I’m actually currently working. Might not be ideal for most (70s and sun) but it’s a perfect day for a run and to just hang out and not sweat or freeze your balls off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 I recognize this - in the winter we would be sad about a Carolina crusher and asking how in the world we are getting screwed by too much blocking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 It does seem like for now that the southern mid Atlantic and south will continue to get hit with the heavy rainfall events. It also appears that severe threats will be rather non existent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Looks like upper 70s to low 80s return starting Friday and thru Memorial Day here. Looks like isolated showers friday and saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 All 3 major globals fairly dry for areas north of CHO-EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 I'd be okay with the sun returning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 15 hours ago, yoda said: 00z NAM declines to give any real appreciable rain (as in around 0.25" or less) through 12z THUR This is from around EZF to Warrenton to OKV and those to the NE of that curved kinda line ETA: Temps don't make it above 60 for most on Wednesday per the 00z NAM either... i81 corridor and down towards CHO really suffer tempwise on the 00z NAM... upper 30s on the ridges and 40s to near 50 for those that get rained on What do you mean by suffering? I am THRILLED!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Actually got a couple peeks of sun here, 66 degrees. Here's a blurb from Charlotte's disco on the big rains down there -- uses the words "not good" short term guidance develops an intense E/SE flow within the CAD regime Tue night...and holds onto it for about 36 hours...not good. Strong upslope flow will likely result in storm total rainfall of 7-10", with locally higher amounts along the eastern Blue Ridge escarpment, including the headwaters of the Catawba River basin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 1 hour ago, nj2va said: I'd be okay with the sun returning. This! Sitting out on the deck in cloudy breezy 60 degree days = sucks. Sunny and 70s for the win. Now if we could just get some hockey back too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Tomorrow looks like the nicest day of the week. Partly sunny and mid 60s. No complaints here if that materializes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 The issue with continued overcast days in the low/mid 60s is that its another week that goes by where we aren't getting normal temps in the mid 70s for this time of year. We'll just flip the switch right to 90 instead of enjoying a few weeks of 75 degree temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 Yeah 18z NAM actually has a lot of sun for central MD on Wednesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 3 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Tomorrow looks like the nicest day of the week. Partly sunny and mid 60s. No complaints here if that materializes. Hard to imagine if we get sun temps stay in mid 60s this time of year anywhere inland. Just my 2 cents. Unless it’s East wind an then it s hard to imagine sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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