wxdude64 Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 In for the day at 10 am, WAY too warm and humid....sheesh. Bring back the 50's and 60's so you can ACTUALLY work outside....... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Your wish of mostly cloudy and spots of drizzle all week might be coming true . You can easily see the subsidence area on the 6z Euro over us. A close approach but non hit with the Atlantic low combined with the ull tracking and setting up further and further sw = A almost non event here for decent qpf . 6z Eps is a hodgepodge of solutions atm . Total misses to significant deluges lol Not really my wish- I am always in for an interesting weather period, and I don't really mind wet and cool for a few days, given what lies just ahead. Starting around this time of year my soil dries out real quick if it doesn't rain for a week. But yeah I have seen the possibility for an "in between" scenario, and it seems to becoming more prevalent on guidance in some recent runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 81, and a tad humid. I'm ready for a few days of cool and mostly cloudy, with some rain sprinkled in here and there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 10/10 today. Way better than 62 and cloudy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 38 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Beautiful here in the 70s all day. Yea...I was obviously just messin with you on the rain next week . I think if the 500mb low sets up in western Tennessee, sw Kentucky like the Euro depicts we will be too far removed from any moisture transport. Still uncertainty though As depicted its a closed upper low that is becoming cut off, possibly becoming nearly stationary. Those generally weaken as the low becomes stacked and more detached from the strong thermal boundaries, and the upper level divergence weakens. The longer it sits and spins SW of us, the lower the chance of seeing more than some bouts of showers on the NE side. But yes, still some uncertainty with multiple pieces of energy- one of (sub)tropical origin- and an expansive ridge up top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Euro continues the trend of cutting off the ull too far sw combined with continued strengthening in high pressure to our northeast. Makes for partly cloudy all week at Cape's yard and light stuff along i95. Western parts of Va and sw Va could be where the deluge sets up in the end. I personally would lean towards the Euro at this point but that does not mean it will be the end all be all result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 I’m gonna go with a forecast for Sunday through Saturday of partly to mostly cloudy, chance of rain, highs from 60-75. I can tell you that I just nailed that forecast. You don’t even need to look at any models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Euro continues the trend of cutting off the ull too far sw combined with continued strengthening in high pressure to our northeast. Makes for partly cloudy all week at Cape's yard and light stuff along i95. Western parts of Va and sw Va could be where the deluge sets up in the end. Pretty much the outcome I expected lol. I watered yesterday, and I will be probably watering again on Monday or Tuesday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: By late tomorrow I think we'll see where this thing is going to set up most likely. Yes ...I'd lean towards the op Euro for sure inside day 3/4 . Final solution probably lies nearest to it . That said....a 75 - 100 mile shift ne in that cutoff local could bring a few inches of qpf closer towards places like DC, Frederick, Westminster If the Euro ensmebles/EPS is vastly different then the OP that is a red flag but I don't expect them to be. With that said, I wouldn't say the Euro has been steller in accuracy lately either since it has also wavered a bit on where the heaviest rainfall amounts set up. But its seems to be pretty solid now over the last 2-3 runs so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 21 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’m gonna go with a forecast for Sunday through Saturday of partly to mostly cloudy, chance of rain, highs from 60-75. I can tell you that I just nailed that forecast. You don’t even need to look at any models. I know you’re semi-kidding, but I am with you. One nice drenching early in the week and then partly sunny with periods of showers. It would be nice to see tropical clouds without tropical temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 57 minutes ago, nj2va said: 10/10 today. Way better than 62 and cloudy. Its gotten nicer here this afternoon. 82 but the dew points have dropped- down to 55 now. I'll give it an 8.5/10 tho. Remember I am intrinsically a cold and bitter person. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 75 currently Down to 80 here. The big difference is the drier air advecting in. Nice and breezy too. Quite a bit more comfortable now compared to around noontime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 Definitely beautiful today. Had to go check on the park today, it was crowded but actually not as bad as I anticipated. Highlight of the day was definitely cruising on 695 with the Jeep top off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 WPC QPF from earlier today, and then just updated, through D7.. Right idea, but the overall amounts may very well be too high for eastern parts of our region still. More adjustments likely with recent model trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 16 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Yea...lowwwww dews . 74/49 incredible out! Still hot’ish here. My girl said she wants to hold this temp for the summer. I want 5-10 degrees cooler. The thermometer here says 81. eta: got the plants in the garden, mowed, and now drinking mojitos with mint from the mint bed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: Still hot’ish here. My girl said she wants to hold this temp for the summer. I want 5-10 degrees cooler. The thermometer here says 81. eta: got the plants in the garden, mowed, and now drinking mojitos with mint from the mint bed. Perfect weather for mojitos, esp with fresh mint! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Perfect weather for mojitos, esp with fresh mint! Happy Preakness Day! Last year’s glass was the worst. But I can tell you the winner of any year’s Preakness. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Nice!! Have a couple more mint mojitos and temperatures will be a distant memory It’s already cooler. And we are moving on to bourbon mint juleps. Giddy up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted May 16, 2020 Share Posted May 16, 2020 85 and hangjng w/uncle tito. He always gives me his best shot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 66 here now. Awesome evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 74/53. Perfect evening for cocktails on the patio. Gotta enjoy it before it’s 57 on Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 72 and a perfect.evening and Manhattan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Miserable evening. Hot like summer. Where is the cold November rain. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Going to try Loch Raven reservoir tomorrow. No better way to social distance than on a kayak. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 71 degrees with a nice breeze. Perfect evening for some high grade legal weed on the patio and a little fire in the fire pit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 34 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Miserable evening. Hot like summer. Where is the cold November rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 So the 18z GFS keeps most of us dry til late wednesday now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, snowfan said: So the 18z GFS keeps most of us dry til late wednesday now? Yup. Looks like this whole week of wet/cold weather is going 'poof' real fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 Breezes swung northeast just before 10 and I’ve dropped from 72 to 67.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 17, 2020 Share Posted May 17, 2020 That High off the NE coast shifted the flow here to ENE, and it cooled down quickly last evening. 53 currently with some fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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