Baltimorewx Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Rest of the week looks to turn cooler and wetter. Shocker. We might be struggling to get out of the 60s this weekend. Shouldn’t it be relatively warm still even with showers thru Saturday? The cool down starts Sunday I was under the impression. Doesn’t look like it’s gonna b constant rain, at least here anyway. The worst of it to me looks like late Friday into 18z Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Shouldn’t it be relatively warm still even with showers thru Saturday? The cool down starts Sunday I was under the impression. Doesn’t look like it’s gonna b constant rain, at least here anyway. The worst of it to me looks like late Friday into 18z Saturday Perhaps I'm being a bit too pessimistic (there's a first), but it seems like temps on MOS are trending down below 80 after tomorrow and the POPs are more in the 50% - 70% chance now instead of the 30% to 50% they were a few days ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 What are rainfall amounts looking like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 5 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: What are rainfall amounts looking like? WPC 7 day QPF total is less than 1.5" regionwide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 10 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: What are rainfall amounts looking like? Looks like generally 1-2” thru 00z Saturday. A few lucky folks might get around or a little over the 2”. My bet would be the western folks from Winchester to Frederick but we’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 51 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Perhaps I'm being a bit too pessimistic (there's a first), but it seems like temps on MOS are trending down below 80 after tomorrow and the POPs are more in the 50% - 70% chance now instead of the 30% to 50% they were a few days ago. It is an impressive cool shot for June 1st, but this map starts to get more orange and red after that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 75/62 under full sun here. We've definitely lucked out for this time of year in McHenry. Lows this weekend are in the low 40s as part of the cool shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 26, 2020 Share Posted May 26, 2020 39 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It is an impressive cool shot for June 1st, but this map starts to get more orange and red after that. I’ll welcome max high of 70 for a day or 2. Before we know it it’ll be July, and 90-100F or not, it’ll be humid so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 Gorgeous sunset this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 18z GFS wasnt that wet....less than an inch for most of us thru Sunday. And, temps approaching 80 wed-sat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 The small tropical disturbance looks like it will track well west now, as the Atlantic ridge is stronger/further west. The area of lift with that feature is compact, and looks to be focused over the mountains. Rain chances for most of the region look pretty low until Friday as the front approaches, and even that is looking less impressive for significant rain on the latest guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The small tropical disturbance looks like it will track well west now, as the Atlantic ridge is stronger/further west. The area of lift with that feature is compact, and looks to be focused over the mountains. Rain chances for most of the region look pretty low until Friday as the front approaches, and even that is looking less impressive for significant rain on the latest guidance. Yeah lol almost a repeat of like last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 5 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Yeah lol almost a repeat of like last week. The 12z Euro yesterday did have an axis of heavier rain for eastern areas again, like last week lol. It may have backed off on that. I haven't looked at the latest run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 9 hours ago, snowfan said: 18z GFS wasnt that wet....less than an inch for most of us thru Sunday. And, temps approaching 80 wed-sat. 6z gfs even drier locally. MOS temps at DCA starting today 79,84,87,83,75 thru sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 19 minutes ago, snowfan said: 6z gfs even drier locally. MOS temps at DCA starting today 79,84,87,83,75 thru sunday. I saw the forecast yesterday for a possibility rainy week. I immediately set up my sprinklers and positioned them for a heavy watering week. Im not new here. Another foggy ugly morning with temps in 60's. Looks pretty socked in. I doubt we see sun today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 Dang, I was really hoping for a nice shot of rain this week. Yard is getting hard as a rock. Get them sprinklers going! I'm actually looking forward to the sunny, cool weather Sun-Mon. It will soon be hot to stay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, dailylurker said: I saw the forecast yesterday for a possibility rainy week. I immediately set up my sprinklers and positioned them for a heavy watering week. Im not new here. Another foggy ugly morning with temps in 60's. Looks pretty socked in. I doubt we see sun today. Was super foggy here too, but has mixed out already. Sun is out for now, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 With the threat for widespread soaking rains this week dropping significantly, it's worrisome because the longer ranges don't offer much hope. This is supported by the CPC outlooks through day 14 showing below average precip in a large part of the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 The height of the cold shot (anomaly-wise) is Monday afternoon. Not close to the low max records, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 2 hours ago, MN Transplant said: The height of the cold shot (anomaly-wise) is Monday afternoon. Not close to the low max records, though. where was this during the winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 46 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: where was this during the winter Providing some resilience to the Arctic sea ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 Models showing back to back big rainers 5+ days and busting big both time. They are getting worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 2 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Models showing back to back big rainers 5+ days and busting big both time. They are getting worse. Hahaha. I was just wondering if this would be my last happy hour on the deck until maybe Saturday. Decided to look at the NAMs, HRRR, etc. What a joke! We might see a sprinkle? Whatever. I’ll water my plants and enjoy the tropical drinks and sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 4 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Models showing back to back big rainers 5+ days and busting big both time. They are getting worse. Sadly they have/are happening down this way. Wet, wet, wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted May 27, 2020 Share Posted May 27, 2020 8 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: where was this during the winter Yeah it's like it's working extra hard to troll us this year...mercy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 6 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: Models showing back to back big rainers 5+ days and busting big both time. They are getting worse. They missed last week because the upper low cut off too far SW. The models have no been enthused with this week’s chances. The human forecasters have been more keen on the rain chances because of the PW values. If it doesn’t rain much it’ll be a win for the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 2 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Sadly they have/are happening down this way. Wet, wet, wet. My yard is still waiting to cross the 2inch mark for the month... we did manage to get 1.6 last week, most of it in the final night of the event ... so that saved us from potentialy finishing May extremely dry.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 0.14” of rain overnight that I didn’t expect and didn’t hear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 Looks like I got about 0.2 overnight. Only 1.35 for May with no more than 0.3 at a time. Dry! I watered this morning not expecting any more than a passing light shower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 28, 2020 Share Posted May 28, 2020 10 hours ago, losetoa6 said: Just saw the Euro and it has mby a sunny upper 60s Sunday and mid 60s Monday. Mid 40s overnight. Anomalous for sure . Through Wed mid 70s at the highest . Nice imo. 95/75 will be here before you know it. Bad news for tomatoes and squash and melons. It's shaping up to be a tough year in the garden. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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