Weather Will Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 WB 6z GFS holds its southern track. Will be interesting to see if the models meet in the middle or if GFS caves altogether. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 While y'all obsess on fakesnow model panels if you look at today its butt chilly and rainy. i don't mind cool wx in May but not cold wx in May. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Thursday looks sneaky nice despite the wind?? Upper 60s on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 19 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Well, the rain has stopped, just windy, damp and 46.3 degrees now. I'll have to take a look at records to see if I am in line for a 'cool max' temp. High was the 7 am reading of 49.8, been falling since. EDIT- well if it doesn't go up then I will, but barely. Current 'cool max' was set in 2016 at 50.2 degrees, that broke 2003's 52.0. We shall see...... Nope, stayed below 50 degrees all day and night with a chilly E to SE wind. Then the wind swung around to the west about 3 am and I warmed to 51.5 degrees. Still a 2nd place for coolest max for the date. Currently 49.4/44.3 and cloudy again after seeing a few peaks of sun earlier with a WNW wind 6/17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 GFS really is a turd of a model. Needs fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 8 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: fringed. time to travel down to Cville to chase. 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6z GFS holds its southern track. Will be interesting to see if the models meet in the middle or if GFS caves altogether. both of these suck. where was this jackpot in December? f-this mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Nobody need to fret the nonsensical GFS. 6z was still party mode. 12z will be the hangover run where it wakes up, takes a couple Motrin, wonders how it got in bed with the WRF, and spits out a sensible run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 13 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Nobody need to fret the nonsensical GFS. 6z was still party mode. 12z will be the hangover run where it wakes up, takes a couple Motrin, wonders how it got in bed with the WRF, and spits out a sensible run GFS has splits the vortex in Quebec and has a lobe over Maine. Thats what's keeping everything suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 6 minutes ago, Amped said: GFS has splits the vortex in Quebec and has a lobe over Maine. Thats what's keeping everything suppressed. Indeed. No other reliable model does that I believe. It would be a very cool thing to say we lived during a historic May set up. For that alone it’s worth watching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 29 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Indeed. No other reliable model does that I believe. It would be a very cool thing to say we lived during a historic May set up. For that alone it’s worth watching ICON and RGEM also really amped up. I think this will be like every other thing I thought was worth watching this year, it will burn my eyes, and the GFS will prove itself a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Talking about today.....actually not to bad here around FXBG, sun peeking out occasionally and temp around 60-61. Feels nice outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 7 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: Talking about today.....actually not to bad here around FXBG, sun peeking out occasionally and temp around 60-61. Feels nice outside You might as well be posting from a different planet compared to what we are seeing in Balt City. The clouds here are about four feet off the deck and it is raining and cold/miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: You might as well be posting from a different planet compared to what we are seeing in Balt City. The clouds here are about four feet off the deck and it is raining and cold/miserable. Dang, yeah very different here. Working in yard with the sun, it actually is pretty warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 My grass seed rejoices. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Foggy AF and 34 here. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Foggy AF and 34 here. Meh. Lovely February day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 55 and the sun is peeking out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 29 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 55 and the sun is peeking out. Bring it on! 51 and rain at 1:30pm in Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 CWG says outside chance of Flurries this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 5 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: GFS really is a turd of a model. Needs fixed. I’m not qualified to say but have to speculate how easy the fix will be. Somehow it took the old gfs cold bias and put it on hyperdrive. Wonder how far away a “fix” is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: I’m not qualified to say but have to speculate how easy the fix will be. Somehow it took the old gfs cold bias and put it on hyperdrive. Wonder how far away a “fix” is. Yeah it is pretty consistent with it too. Seems to mess up the stream interactions and what specific vorticity impulses to key on. In the end, way late, it corrects. It pretty much got there at 12z today. Looking more like the rest of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah it is pretty consistent with it too. Seems to mess up the stream interactions and what specific vorticity impulses to key on. In the end, way late, it corrects. It pretty much got there at 12z today. Looking more like the rest of the guidance. If the temperature bias is pronounced enough that would throw off everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Snow mixing in with light rain here. 34. Fookin' miserable for May. Freeze Warning for lows in the upper 20s . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 26 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Latest Euro keeps possibility alive imo for seeing May flakes in the n+w burbs. Came in a bit colder at 850 and at the surface with ample moisture still overhead. Love to see a incredibly anomalous May trash can whitner here. It would be wild to go from snow to like mid 80s in 10 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Wonder how things would have been different had they gone with the FIM instead of the FV3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 49 with some light showers and drizzle here. Pretty typical weather for March 6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Wasn’t there some site that had the euro for free? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Wasn’t there some site that had the euro for free? Weather.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 6, 2020 Author Share Posted May 6, 2020 27 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Wasn’t there some site that had the euro for free? 12 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Weather.us Also Pivotal Weather. Though recently skew-t soundings went behind a paywall. But there is a lot more free Euro data on Pivotal than any other free ECMWF site that I personally know of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 6, 2020 Share Posted May 6, 2020 Pivotal is a game changer or so I’ve been told 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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