WxUSAF Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 1 hour ago, MN Transplant said: For all the doom and gloom, we pulled out three pretty nice days from Sat-Mon. But yes, tomorrow and Wednesday look awful. edit - record low max at DCA is 50 on Wednesday Yes, last 3 have been nice for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 Hard to complain about a generally cool and wet pattern with some super nice sunny, mild days mixed in this time of year. If you don't want to go straight to warm and humid subtropical grossness, then this is the deal. Keep it going. Perpetual 85-95 and humid, with barely any rain, is coming soon enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 LWX AFD mentions frost/freeze headlines possible Friday night through Sunday night... as well as temperatures being 10 to 15 degrees below normal in the extended period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 On 5/2/2020 at 6:12 PM, Amped said: 18z GFS is close to something but it gets crushed by the PV. A very odd problem to have in May Looks like models abandon the idea of crushing the southern stream with the PV day 4-5. I thought I was losing my mind there for a while.. Now looks like a phase,. Rain and wind, with some pretty insane windchills for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Weeee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Weeee I know there wont be any frost or freeze in my yard. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 20 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I know there wont be any frost or freeze in my yard. No way. Freeze Warning, in your future, see I do, yes yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 19 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Uh...NAM has tomorrow not getting out of the 40s. And in a truly shocking twist, the NAM sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Just now, MN Transplant said: And in a truly shocking twist, the NAM sucks. Ha! A high temp 24hours in advance is what it should be good at! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Looks like highs in the 40s here tomorrow and Saturday and possibly Friday along with most likely frost and freezes Friday night and Saturday night. Jon Jon should see May snow Forecasted high of 49 tomorrow in Smithsburg. Thats just rediculous for May lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 We got highs barely above 50F tomorrow and Saturday, over 20F below norms for this time of year due to an exhausted cold supply up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 The strong seasonal and late season PV combined with the holly grail for cold, - AO, - NAO and a rising + PNA leads to this : Saturday looks downright blustery, with cold air filtering into the area with a strong northwest wind. Guidance is rather concerning for this time frame, with model soundings showing very deep mixing (likely above the 800-mb pressure level). Such mixing would promote advisory-level winds across the area, and likely some additional showers (at least in the northern CWA). For now, kept mention of showers to areas near/north of I-80 but would not be surprised to see some showers spread farther south. Some snow showers may continue in the Poconos, especially in the morning. Highs are expected to be around 20 degrees below seasonal averages, with lows on Saturday night likely reaching the freezing mark or lower in the Poconos and possibly the Lehigh Valley (with winds possibly keeping things from tanking to the freezing mark elsewhere). Sunday looks only somewhat better, with winds diminishing to a degree and temperatures a few degrees warmer. Nevertheless, it will likely be breezy again, with highs about 10-15 degrees below seasonal averages. A weak system looks to affect the region early next week, but models vary somewhat on timing and intensity. Have slight-chance to chance PoPs Sunday night through Monday night given the lingering uncertainty. With continued large-scale troughing across the area in a rather blocky upper-level pattern, expect temperatures to continue to be well below climatology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 We all knew this was going to happen when we were blowing through Dec-Feb with well above normal temps. Just for fun, take your seven-day forecast and subtract 30 degrees to see what this pattern would have done in mid-winter. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 upper 40's and rain, SLIGHT change from the previous 2 days...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Garrett county and the West Virginia mountains may get into some really good snows Friday/Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, peribonca said: Garrett county and the West Virginia mountains may get into some really good snows Friday/Saturday I wonder if they have 'leafed out' there. The peaks here 3500 and up are still pretty bare.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: I wonder if they have 'leafed out' there. The peaks here 3500 and up are still pretty bare.... They aren’t. Was up there this weekend. Still looks like February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 56. No rain. High clouds. A normal Christmas Day around DC. 2 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 56. No rain. High clouds. A normal Christmas Day around DC. It might be just a tad bit cool for Christmas, actually. But we'll see. We may still warm up a few degrees. 56F at IAD right now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Well, the rain has stopped, just windy, damp and 46.3 degrees now. I'll have to take a look at records to see if I am in line for a 'cool max' temp. High was the 7 am reading of 49.8, been falling since. EDIT- well if it doesn't go up then I will, but barely. Current 'cool max' was set in 2016 at 50.2 degrees, that broke 2003's 52.0. We shall see...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 2 hours ago, wxdude64 said: I wonder if they have 'leafed out' there. The peaks here 3500 and up are still pretty bare.... Barely any leaves out here. Once I crossed into Garrett County from Frostburg on Sunday it was a noticeable difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 My local NWS says for tonight, and I’m quoting exactly ... “Occasional rain, mainly before 2 am, then occasional rain” Say what? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 31 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: My local NWS says for tonight, and I’m quoting exactly ... “Occasional rain, mainly before 2 am, then occasional rain” Say what? It only occasionally makes sense, occasionally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 18z gfs FTW! No seriously, perfect timing and good rates even in close suburbs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 WB 18Z GFS.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 850s are cold. It’s like a once in a lifetime. May setup. I can’t believe I am saying this but if it were only April instead 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 it’s sad that the GFS is so bad. that said, I’m in. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 It's been a long time since I've seen/heard rain and snow showers specifically mentioned in our TWC forecast in May........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: it’s sad that the GFS is so bad. that said, I’m in. It’s such a bad weather model...it’ll show snow in mid June probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: It’s such a bad weather model...it’ll show snow in mid June probably. If we stay in this type of a pattern, it likely will!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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