Cfa Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Pouring here now, probably about 1/2” so far. Much needed. Soil is bone dry North of the LIE special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 First inch+ heavy rain event here in SW Suffolk since mid-April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 23, 2020 Author Share Posted May 23, 2020 Picked up 0.28" of rain so far today. Current temp 68 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: First inch+ heavy rain event here in SW Suffolk since mid-April. Sw Suffolk got crushed all morning. Missed that band up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 about .15 here enough to wash away the pollen so happy with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 BDCF just blew through. Howling wind, horizontal pouring rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 33 minutes ago, psv88 said: Sw Suffolk got crushed all morning. Missed that band up here Tail end of the slow moving cutoff that lead to those two dam failures in Michigan. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 Pouring at Jones beach again, must be well over an inch here with the bands that keep scraping the south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 Sudden pickup in the wind here out of the NE and the temperature has gone from 68 to62. Still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 Drizzle here in Brooklyn Warm outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 20 hours ago, psv88 said: I used to go there all the time. In the winter you can stand on that rock and see pretty far. On a clear day you can just make out the ocean looking south down the trail, especially in winter. I've read that in the past you could also see the sound, but the trees have obstructed that view since. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 Temp is down to 55 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Temp is down to 55 here. Looks like some cool 40s tonight on the strong NE flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: Looks like some cool 40s tonight on the strong NE flow. Classic May Backdoor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 Temp down ten degrees in past hour to 58°...0.50" rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 15 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Classic May Backdoor It’s been a while since we had a cold pool off the coast in late May like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s been a while since we had a cold pool off the coast in late May like this. Am surprised to see Gulf temperatures actually below normal, there was lots of comment about the Gulf being much warmer than usual. What happened? Meanwhile, it seems 'the blob' has reappeared off Alaska, which bodes ill for the local fisheries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23, 2020 Share Posted May 23, 2020 19 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s been a while since we had a cold pool off the coast in late May like this. I thought we had that last year? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: I thought we had that last year? We did. It was there until July, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 1 hour ago, etudiant said: Am surprised to see Gulf temperatures actually below normal, there was lots of comment about the Gulf being much warmer than usual. What happened? Meanwhile, it seems 'the blob' has reappeared off Alaska, which bodes ill for the local fisheries. lots of cold fronts in april and early may went down to the gulf coast cooling the gulf.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 Today, parts of the region experienced periods of rain, some of which was briefly heavy. Through 9 pm rainfall amounts included: Atlantic City: 0.55" Bridgeport: 0.04" Islip: 0.01" New York City: 0.65" Newark: 0.79" Philadelphia: 1.08" Tomorrow and Memorial Day should feature partly sunny skies. Warmer temperatures appear likely during the closing days of May. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around May 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C. ENSO Region anomalies, which cooled slightly during the last week of April, could continue a steady cooling through the remainder of May. The SOI has continued to experience an increased tendency for positive values during May. For the May 1-23 period, the SOI was positive on 16 (70%) days. In April, the SOI was positive on 17 (57%) days. During the February-March period, the SOI was positive on 38% days. This shift in tendencies may further reinforce or reflect the idea that ENSO region anomalies could continue to cool. The SOI was -4.42 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.027. On May 22, the MJO was in Phase 5 at an amplitude of 1.232 (RMM). The May 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.158. Considerable uncertainty exists with regard to June. The May 21 0z EPS weeklies remained consistent with earlier EPS guidance favoring a cooler than normal June. The CFSv2 has been very consistent in showing an area of warm anomalies in the Northeast. However, the CFSv2 is just nearing its skillful range. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May. May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 60.5°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 36 minutes ago, nycwinter said: lots of cold fronts in april and early may went down to the gulf coast cooling the gulf.. Thank you, that is informative. Do we know whether the surface actually got cooled or was the surface warmth just mushed in with the colder water deeper down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 Had .72 in the bucket here in Sheepshead Bay Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 The last 8 days of May are averaging 68degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is -3.5[57.7]. May should end at -2.1[60.3]. EURO/EPS still not liking even the 80's over the next 15 days. GFS OP has shown the 90's somewhere in its runs for the last 3 weeks! 54* here at 6am. 53* at 6:30am. 55* at 7am. 57* by 10:00am. 60* at 11:00am. 63* at Noon. 64* at 1pm. 59* by 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 13 hours ago, Brian5671 said: I thought we had that last year? This year the cold pool extends further south down the coast than last year. It was mostly just east of New England at this time last year. Notice how much cooler the SST’s are off the entire East Coast now. This is a function of the much cooler April and May than last year. This year Last year Difference 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 Doesn't look like a water temp pattern that would promote much for tropical storm development or even movement this far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 Down to 51 last night. 0.59 in the bucket. Cool and a bit breezy NE wind. Clouds generally moving NE to SW with some breaks over LI and N-NJ so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Doesn't look like a water temp pattern that would promote much for tropical storm development or even movement this far north. These SST patterns can shift very quickly since they just respond to the surface and upper air patterns. So it usually comes down to what they do as we approach the peak of the hurricane season later on. But in the near term, the cooler SST’s and MJO will promote more of a trough pattern over the Northeast as we start a June. So the first 90 of the season will probably be late compared to recent years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 29 minutes ago, bluewave said: These SST patterns can shift very quickly since they just respond to the surface and upper air patterns. So it usually comes down to what they do as we approach the peak of the hurricane season later on. But in the near term, the cooler SST’s and MJO will promote more of a trough pattern over the Northeast as we start a June. So the first 90 of the season will probably be late compared to recent years. Sounds like mean trough will be over the NE this summer and flip back to the West just in time for winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 37 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Doesn't look like a water temp pattern that would promote much for tropical storm development or even movement this far north. It’s the warm anomalies east of the Bahamas that will produce. And its local weather patterns that allow for hits here. If things line up any year can cause a hit here. I have a strong feeling we at least have a brush this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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