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May 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread


Rtd208
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56 minutes ago, KEITH L.I said:

I was 8 years old..it was very hot especially late June and early July. It hit 100 three times..snowy and cold the following winter with a snowstorm Christmas eve..a warm January and snow and cold all Feb and March

My mom was 7 months pregnant with me in July 66, they lived on the 8th floor of a building with no AC across the street from Brooklyn College. She complained about that summer for many years...

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1 hour ago, KEITH L.I said:

I was 8 years old..it was very hot especially late June and early July. It hit 100 three times..snowy and cold the following winter with a snowstorm Christmas eve..a warm January and snow and cold all Feb and March

I was seventeen and it was a very good year...I was up in Hunter NY and came home July 4th...some highways buckled from the heat...late June to mid July 1966 was one of the hottest periods on record...

Hot periods...

6/21-7/14 1966...19 of 24 days 90 or higher...

7/04-7/20 1993...14 of 17 days 90 or higher...

7/29-8/19 2002...17 of 22 days 90 or higher...

7/23-8/17 1944...19 of 26 days 90 or higher...

7/12-7/23 1952...11 of 12 days 90 or higher...

8/23-9/04 1953...12 of 12 days 90 or higher...

7/27-8/13 1896...14 of 18 days 90 or higher

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NYC's coolest summers since 1950...

year....June...July....Aug...Ave...annual max warmest 30days total 90+ days

2009...67.5...72.7...75.7...72.0...........92..............76.6.............7

2000...71.2...72.3...72.7...72.1...........93..............72.7.............7

1992...70.3...74.2...73.0...72.5...........93..............74.4.............9

1965...70.5...74.3...73.2...72.7...........95..............75.7...........15

1950...70.3...75.0...73.1...72.8...........95..............75.0.............6

1956...71.4...72.9...74.2...72.8...........99..............75.1...........11

1958...67.2...76.1...75.2...72.8...........93..............76.4.............6.....

1962...72.5...74.0...72.4...73.0...........99..............75.6...........18

1963...70.9...76.4...72.1...73.1...........98..............76.5...........16

2004...71.2...74.5...74.2...73.3...........91..............74.8.............2

1964...71.6...75.4...72.9...73.3...........99..............76.4...........23

1996...71.4...73.4...74.5...73.4...........96..............74.9.............3

1986...71.6...76.0...73.1...73.6...........98..............76.3...........11

1975...70.5...75.8...74.4...73.6...........98..............77.2.............8

1989...72.0...75.0...74.0...73.7...........96..............75.8...........16

1960...71.8...74.6...74.9...73.8...........91..............75.0.............5

1967...72.8...75.3...73.9...74.0...……...95...………...76.3.....……...9.

1976...73.2...74.8...74.3...74.1...........96..............75.8...........15

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The next 8 days are averaging 62.5degs.,  or 3degs. BN.

Month to date is  -3.5[57.2].         Should be near  -3.4[58.8] by the 28th.

The GFS OP for the rest of May is averaging about 67degs., or near 2degs. AN.        If so, May should end near  -1.5[60.9].         The ENS is averaging 62degs. for the rest of the month however.

52* here at 6am.        57* by 9am.         59* by Noon.          60* by 2pm.          62* by 4:30pm.        59* by 6pm.        53* by 9pm.     52* at 10pm.

 

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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Euro maintains the easterly flow for at least the next week. So coastal sections will continue to be the coolest part of region. Friday into Saturday will probably the only days with some actual rain. 
 

CEB89F4C-9D87-425F-8776-F37655E44C74.thumb.png.2ad0e9355d7b48dbd8b449e33be3f18b.png

67D1A9C7-0B24-48DC-AB1A-9175C6484D84.thumb.png.d4368d23f946acb39bab2a3909546a26.png

D42A8F50-4A80-4E06-AE8D-E302ED39BF96.gif.9860d521234525e814a69ca6eea5190f.gif

 

Absolutely horrible.

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Spring 2020 will end up near the last 30 years average of 53.1...Precipitation includes a trace of snow and 9.19" of precipitation so far...

NYC Spring temperature and precipitation...max temperature from 3/1 to 5/31...
year.....ave temp....precip"....max temp......snowfall 3/1 to end...
1869..........47.2......10.15......84..........................0.8"

1870..........48.6......10.27......86...……..……….12.1"
1871..........52.2......12.61......92...………………..2.1"
1872..........47.1........8.71......89...………………..5.1"
1873..........47.1........9.94......87...………………..0.4"
1874..........45.7......13.13......90...………………….T
1875..........45.8........7.99......86...………………28.8"
1876..........47.2......14.88......87...………………..3.8"
1877..........47.7........9.24......88...………………..6.5"
1878..........52.3........8.43......84...………………….0
1879..........50.6........9.76......86...………………12.8"


1880..........51.5........8.18......96...……..………..12.3"
1881..........48.4........9.96......93...……...……….11.1"
1882..........48.2........8.37......80...………………..3.3"
1883..........47.0........8.03......82...……………….20.6"
1884..........48.5......11.18......86...………………...2.3"
1885..........46.6........4.95......87...………………...4.1"
1886..........50.2......12.08......86...………………...2.0"
1887..........47.5........6.20......87...………………...7.0"
1888..........44.7......13.13......84...……………….22.3"
1889..........51.5......11.00......91...………………...4,0"


1890..........48.3......10.80......81...……………….17.3"
1891..........47.8........8.44......82...………………...2.1"
1892..........47.4........9.73......81...……………….13.0"
1893..........46.7......13.50......85...………………...6.6"
1894..........51.0........7.27......85...………………...1.0"
1895..........49.3........7.59......96...………………...4.0"
1896..........50.6........9.06......92...……………….33.5"
1897..........50.9......10.83......81...………………...3.3"
1898..........50.6......12.75......86...………………...4.5"
1899..........49.9........8.60......88...………………...4.8"

1900..........47.7........9.23......90...………………...5.8"
1901..........47.9......18.52......85...…………………..T
1902..........51.3........9.22......86...………………...6.5"
1903..........54.2........7.97......89...…………………..0
1904..........48.8........9.25......89...………………...5.4"
1905..........50.6........6.60......81...………………...1.8"
1906..........50.1......16.47......90...……………….11.5"
1907..........48.5......11.08......85...……………….19.1"
1908..........52.3......13.16......88...………………...3.5"
1909..........49.1......11.17......83...………………...4.3"

1910..........53.0........7.51......82...………………...1.3"
1911..........48.7........8.12......86...………………...4.0"
1912..........50.1......16.63......89...………………...4.5"
1913..........52.7......15.69......89...………………...2.8"
1914..........49.6......10.43......95...……………….21.5"
1915..........50.1........7.10......92...……………….17.9"
1916..........47.4......11.33......81...……………….28.8"
1917..........47.3......11.00......84...……………….18.2"
1918..........52.7......11.15......91...………………...3.2"
1919..........51.8......12.99......92...………………...2.7"

1920..........48.9......13.26......82...………………...5.3"
1921..........55.2......10.19......89...………………...0.1"
1922..........52.4......11.30......86...………………...3.9"
1923..........49.0........8.37......86...………………...8.1"
1924..........48.5......14.47......75...……………….11.6"
1925..........51.9........9.43......91...…………………..T
1926..........47.7........6.81......83...………………...1.2"
1927..........50.2........8.95......90...………………...0.3"
1928..........48.9........9.73......80...………………...5.7"
1929..........52.6......14.09......93...………………...0.2"

1930..........50.8........7.96......91...…………………..T
1931..........51.0......13.00......93...………………..1.8"
1932..........49.4......11.11......90...………………..0.6"
1933..........51.1......16.46......90...…………….….4.8"
1934..........50.4......13.11......90...………………..8.6"
1935..........51.0........5.06......89...………………..2.0"
1936..........52.5......11.72......92...………………..1.5"
1937..........50.4......10.90......93...………………..2.5"
1938..........52.9........8.96......89...………………..7.1"
1939..........51.1........9.93......96...………………..7.0"

1940..........47.5......17.80......83...………………..7.1"
1941..........52.5........7.70......96...………………19.2"
1942..........54.0........8.78......92...………………..2.7"
1943..........49.6......10.44......89...………………..7.1"
1944..........51.2......11.91......92...………………11.3"
1945..........55.3......11.23......86...………………...T
1946..........54.0......11.44......87...………………...T
1947..........49.4......11.63......86...………………..6.1"
1948..........51.1......14.35......87...………………..4.7"
1949..........53.3........9.49......92...………………..4.2"

1950..........47.9........7.05......82...………………..3.3"
1951..........52.6......12.99......90...………………..2.7"
1952..........52.0......13.83......83...………………..7.4"
1953..........53.6......18.31......90...………………..0.9"
1954..........51.7........9.05......85...………………..0.4"
1955..........53.5........8.32......90...………………..3.6"
1956..........48.1......10.01......89...……………....25.3"
1957..........52.7......10.17......87...………………..5.1"
1958..........50.8......12.58......82...………………16.1"
1959..........53.4........7.01......94...………………..7.3"


1960..........50.0........8.98......87...……………...18.5"
1961..........50.1......12.91......85...………………..1.2"
1962..........53.6........7.23......99...………………..0.2"
1963..........52.8........7.04......86...………………..2.8"
1964..........52.7........8.23......94...………………..6.0"
1965..........52.3........6.97......94...………………..4.0"
1966..........51.3........7.89......85...………………….T
1967..........47.5......13.50......81...……………...17.4"
1968..........52.6......14.67......82...………………..6.1"
1969..........53.8......10.39......97...………………..5.6"

1970..........51.6......11.00......93...………………..4.0"
1971..........50.8......10.99......85...………………..1.7"
1972..........51.1......16.86......86...………………..2.3"
1973..........53.1......16.16......86...………………..0.2"
1974..........52.8......13.88......92...………………..3.5"
1975..........51.3........9.74......93...………………..0.3"
1976..........53.2......10.56......96...………………..4.4"
1977..........55.2......12.87......92...………………..0.6"
1978..........50.7......14.26......90...………………..6.8"
1979..........54.9......14.67......94...………………….T

1980..........53.8......21.00......90...………………..4.6"
1981..........54.4........8.17......87...………………..8.6"
1982..........52.4......10.66......84...……………...10.3"
1983..........52.2......29.15......85...………………..0.8"
1984..........50.1......22.66......85...……………...11.9"
1985..........55.5........9.04......88...………………..0.2"
1986..........55.2........7.07......94...………………….T
1987..........54.1......12.28......97...………………..1.9"
1988..........52.5........9.57......91...………………….T
1989..........52.2......19.43......86...………………..2.5"

1990..........52.9......17.86......91...………………..3.7"
1991..........56.3......11.95......93...………………..0.2"
1992..........50.5........9.86......93...………………..9.4"
1993..........52.9......12.48......92...……………...11.9"
1994..........52.7......13.01......91...………………..8.1"
1995..........52.9........6.39......87...………………….T
1996..........50.7......12.78......96...……………...13.9"
1997..........51.0......11.09......83...………………..1.7"
1998..........54.6......19.07......87...………………..5.0"
1999..........53.0........9.98......89...………………..4.5"

2000..........53.9......11.34......93...………………..1.6"
2001..........52.5......11.32......92...………………..3.8"
2002..........53.6......10.63......96...………………….T
2003..........50.5......11.20......88...………………..7.5"
2004..........54.1......12.87......87...………………..4.8"
2005..........51.1......11.18......87...………………..6.9"
2006..........54.0......10.98......88...………………..1.4"
2007..........51.0......20.28......91...………………..6.0"
2008..........52.5......10.86......84...………………….T
2009..........53.1......11.61......92...………………..8.3"

2010..........57.1......16.69......92...………………….T
2011..........53.7......16.65......89...………………..1.0"
2012..........56.9........9.90......89............…………0
2013..........52.0......12.21......90...………………..7.3"

2014..........51.3......15.89......89...………………..0.1"

2015..........53.6........8.73......88...……………...18.6"

2016..........55.0........7.96......92...………………..0.9"

2017..........52.5......15.47......92...………………..9.7"

2018..........52.2......14.48......92...……………...17.1"

2019...…..…53.1......15.24…...86..………….…….10.4"

 

2020...…...

 

decade...averages...………...max...…………...ave....
1870-79.....48.4......10.50......92...……………….7.2"
1880-89.....48.4........9.31......96...……………….8.9"
1890-99.....49.2........9.86......96...……………….9.0"
1900-09.....50.1......11.27......90...……………….5.8"
1910-19.....50.3......11.20......95...………...……10.5"
1920-29.....50.5......10.66......93...……………….3.6"
1930-39.....51.1......10.82......96...……………….3.6"
1940-49.....51.8......11.48......96...……………….6.2"
1950-59.....51.6......10.93......94...……………….7.2"
1960-69.....51.7........9.78......99...……………….6.2"
1970-79.....52.5......13.10......96...……………….2.4"
1980-89.....53.2......14.90......97...……………….4.1"
1990-99.....52.8......12.45......96...……………….5.8"
2000-09.....52.8......12.23......96...……………….4.0"
2010-19.....53.7......13.32......92...……………….6.5" .

1870-
2019..........51.2......11.46......99
1990-
2019..........53.1......12.67......96

Top ten
warmest................coolest...............wettest....................driest
57.1 in 2010.....44.7 in 1888......29.15" in 1983......4.95" in 1885
56.9 in 2012.....45.7 in 1874......22.66" in 1984......5.06" in 1935
56.3 in 1991.....45.8 in 1875......21.00" in 1980......6.20" in 1887
55.5 in 1985.....46.6 in 1885......20.28" in 2007......6.39" in 1995
55.3 in 1945.....46.7 in 1893......19.43" in 1989......6.60" in 1905
55.2 in 1986.....47.0 in 1883......19.07" in 1998......6.81" in 1926
55.2 in 1977.....47.1 in 1873......18.31" in 1953......6.97" in 1965
55.2 in 1921.....47.1 in 1872......17.86" in 1990......7.01" in 1959
55.0 in 2016.....47.2 in 1876......17.80" in 1940......7.04" in 1963
54.9 in 1979.....47.2 in 1869......16.86" in 1972......7.05" in 1950

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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

As long as it's sunny or partly sunny I'm fine with it-today is great out there, a bit cool but in the sun feels awesome.  Getting dry here though.  Pollen piling up on cars/decks

Yeah there was a rapid drying over the last three days, this wind has been very productive at the same time the trees (finally) went to town and greened up. Trails in the hills around Danbury are turning dusty in spots already with almost no mud left (which is nice). Yup the pollen is a thing all of a sudden too. It has been a few degrees warmer here, you should take a ride up to NW CT and go for a hike somewhere like the Norbrook Farms Brewery trails then have a fresh beer.

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3 hours ago, psv88 said:

Absolutely horrible.

It’s not bad today, better than I thought it would be this week but with the low coming closer along with the high NE of us this weekend looks cloudier/maybe rainy which honestly might be a good thing and keep the crowds away from the beaches. Bottom line is we stay below normal until this constant backdoor friendly pattern changes. We need real westerly flow aloft rather than troughs anchoring over Newfoundland. 

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4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I think that is becoming more frequent.

I call it the annual South Shore drought. Mediterranean like. It’s often weeks where the coast gets little rain in the summer but inland NJ/NY can get several inches or more from frequent pop up storms. 

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Just now, jm1220 said:

I call it the annual South Shore drought. Mediterranean like. It’s often weeks where the coast gets little rain in the summer but inland NJ/NY can get several inches or more from frequent pop up storms. 

I live in northeast MA.  Has  the "south shore drought" been occurring more frequently during the time of climate change? 

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Even with the record high dew points since 2016, the only wetter summer than average at Islip was 2018. The lower dew point summers from 2010 to 2014 were wetter. Go figure...

JJA average rainfall 11.68”

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
2019 10.64 0
2018 12.94 0
2017 9.41 0
2016 5.25 0
2015 7.27 0
2014 18.82 0
2013 13.21 0
2012 18.54 0
2011 17.02 0
2010 7.67 0
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I’m far enough north to be warmer than the south shore and miss the sea breeze on most occasions but far enough south to be droughty for extended periods during the summer. @psv88 is only a few miles WNW of me and gets more rain, sometimes inches more. Our temps on the other hand are typically within a degree or so of each other’s.

The LIE is probably a better demarcator for precipitation than it is for temperatures.

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6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Even with the record high dew points since 2016, the only wetter summer than average at Islip was 2018. The lower dew point summers from 2010 to 2014 were wetter. Go figure...

JJA average rainfall 11.68”

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Jun through Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Total Precipitation 
Missing Count
2019 10.64 0
2018 12.94 0
2017 9.41 0
2016 5.25 0
2015 7.27 0
2014 18.82 0
2013 13.21 0
2012 18.54 0
2011 17.02 0
2010 7.67 0

maybe the WAR was too close for good rain?

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25 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

maybe the WAR was too close for good rain?

It probably is a piece of the puzzle some years. But we were wet during the summer in 2018 with that record WAR. 2017 was a little cooler than average with higher dew points. But a dry summer in the rainfall department. A good chunk of the summer rainfall in 2014 was with that 1000 year deluge over just a few hours. And we can’t forget the record breaking rainfall during the summer of 2011.
 

 

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20 hours ago, KEITH L.I said:

I was 8 years old..it was very hot especially late June and early July. It hit 100 three times..snowy and cold the following winter with a snowstorm Christmas eve..a warm January and snow and cold all Feb and March

wow quite the legendary period!

JFK hit 104, EWR hit 105 and LGA hit 107!  Looks like NYC was the coolest at 103 at the peak of the heat :P

How did NYC ever hit 106 in July 1936 during the peak of the dust bowl?  I wonder how hot JFK, LGA and EWR would have been on that day had they existed?  Maybe one or more of them would have been hotter than EWR's July 2011 record of 108?

 

 

 

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15 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

yes it was the high for the entire year lol- three 90 degree days that entire year and two of them were in May and one day at the end of August when it barely hit 90.

 

Had twelve 90°+ days here with three of them in May so yeah a relatively cool summer.

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