SACRUS Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Not sure we will hit the high end of projected highs but should things clear a bit 80 not out of reach. Cant add the loop (cached on may 1) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 See how things progress but potentially looking like the next multiple day warmup to and above normal on/around 5/14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 64 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 We get our transient warm up this weekend. But one of the coldest 6-10 forecasts we see this time of year. The blocking pattern right across the pole is as strong as it gets for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 49 minutes ago, SACRUS said: See how things progress but potentially looking like the next multiple day warmup to and above normal on/around 5/14. Models could be too quick to break down the pattern but as of now there's hints of warmer weather near or just after mid May. A lot of morning cloud debris could make 80F out of reach, will be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 14 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Models could be too quick to break down the pattern but as of now there's hints of warmer weather near or just after mid May. A lot of morning cloud debris could make 80F out of reach, will be close. 80 is toast. Mostly cloudy through noon and much of the afternoon. Still a nice day overall. The cool period looking dry but i woudlnt bet on it. Id expect things becoming wetter as we go through the next 10 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 A fairly nice day so far. Current temp is 70 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 15 minutes ago, SACRUS said: 80 is toast. Mostly cloudy through noon and much of the afternoon. Still a nice day overall. The cool period looking dry but i woudlnt bet on it. Id expect things becoming wetter as we go through the next 10 days. Might be a better shot in nw NJ where its already low 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 I find it funny how relatively mild or less expansive the 12Z Op GFS is with the cold this weekend relative to recent ensemble runs as well as the Op Euro or EPS. We rarely see the GFS be milder, especially when its inside 7-10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 On 5/1/2020 at 10:26 AM, Allsnow said: Hopefully we can still get a nice Sunday as it looks like we will deal with rain in the morning Just not clearing out like I feared earlier this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 70 now. Glorious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 32 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Just not clearing out like I feared earlier this week Still beautiful though. 73 with clouds here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 Current temp is up to 76 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 59 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Just not clearing out like I feared earlier this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Looks like more clearing up north here it’s fully cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.shtml These negative SST anomalies will likely grow through the first half of May, might put a damper on any early season heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 44 minutes ago, qg_omega said: North of the city has cleared out better this afternoon. We are still fighting clouds here in central nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Mostly sunny 77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 Current temp is 79 here. Lets see if I can make 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 80 and full sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Newark made it to 80 with the warm downslope flow. Newark Liberty PTSUNNY 80 52 37 W15G22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Finally cleared out here, 69 and rising quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 NYC 78, LGA 77, EWR 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 78! Nice late rebound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Im at 80 now. Today was suppose to be the 5 boro bike tour. Last year was pouring rain and cool. Today would of been great..maybe even too warm for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 Current temp is 80 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Euro continuing with the late freeze idea for next weekend N and W of NYC. Be interesting to see if NYC can actually drop below 40 degrees. Sometimes the OP Euro is too cool for NYC beyond 5 days out. But with the TPV dipping into New England, maybe NYC can pull off 37 to 39 degrees. Frost/Freeze Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-17 (2016) 10-05 (2019) 151 Mean 04-30 10-16 167 Maximum 05-14 (2013) 10-28 (2011) 188 2019 04-29 (2019) 28 10-05 (2019) 30 158 2018 05-01 (2018) 32 10-18 (2018) 31 169 2017 05-04 (2017) 32 10-17 (2017) 30 165 2016 04-17 (2016) 31 - - - 2015 04-26 (2015) 28 10-17 (2015) 27 173 2014 04-25 (2014) 30 10-20 (2014) 32 177 2013 05-14 (2013) 29 10-21 (2013) 32 159 2012 04-30 (2012) 27 10-12 (2012) 29 164 2011 04-22 (2011) 26 10-28 (2011) 32 188 2010 05-11 (2010) 28 10-10 (2010) 30 151 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 5 minutes ago, bluewave said: Euro continuing with the late freeze idea for next weekend N and W of NYC. Be interesting to see if NYC can actually drop below 40 degrees. Sometimes the OP Euro is too cool for NYC beyond 5 days out. But with the TPV dipping into New England, maybe NYC can dip between 37 and 39 degrees. Frost/Freeze Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Each section contains date and year of occurrence, value on that date. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Last Value First Value Season Length Minimum 04-17 (2016) 10-05 (2019) 151 Mean 04-30 10-16 167 Maximum 05-14 (2013) 10-28 (2011) 188 2019 04-29 (2019) 28 10-05 (2019) 30 158 2018 05-01 (2018) 32 10-18 (2018) 31 169 2017 05-04 (2017) 32 10-17 (2017) 30 165 2016 04-17 (2016) 31 - - - 2015 04-26 (2015) 28 10-17 (2015) 27 173 2014 04-25 (2014) 30 10-20 (2014) 32 177 2013 05-14 (2013) 29 10-21 (2013) 32 159 2012 04-30 (2012) 27 10-12 (2012) 29 164 2011 04-22 (2011) 26 10-28 (2011) 32 188 2010 05-11 (2010) 28 10-10 (2010) 30 151 I think below 40 easily occurs Sunday AM on the setup at 168. Euro shows 35. GFS had 47 on the 12Z run but the Op run was an outlier on being too warm. The gradient is strong enough and 850s cold enough I could not see it staying over 40. Just might not make the record of 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 3, 2020 Share Posted May 3, 2020 Cranky says is just an upper level low the polar vortex is over Siberia, thickness say otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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