CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If it’s a sun cloud mix.. that’s not dog crap So you have partly sunny Wednesday in tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: So you have partly sunny Wednesday in tolland? I put numbers down. Can you and Will do the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I put numbers down. Can you and Will do the same? 56, 60 I actually think models show Thursday as worse than Wednesday right now because the low redevelops to the south and hits us with Atlantic rhea on Thursday...if that happens, then it's 48-50F on Thu....but I'll hedge a little in case we end up more progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: He’s making it sound like a week of rain when it’s 2 days or so of which it won’t be raining all the time. Just glossing over the next 4 summery days and next Thursday into next weekend Yeah. I guess we will see. ...Believe in the charts, and graphs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 57 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 59 66 50 is the new 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Officially a resident of belchertown!! Should do a little better in the snowfall department I think.. just happy to get out of the valley a little bit being further north might help in some storms Don't get your hopes up too high LOL welcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 55/26. If the dews hit 30 I may have to break down and install 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, klw said: 55/26. If the dews hit 30 I may have to break down and install Should get muggier later. Low of only 34.9° here. Hill ftw. CON hit 28° and Bear Brook 25°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 Quick recovery from 27F to mid/upper 50s now. Lets get 60F+! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 46 minutes ago, radarman said: Don't get your hopes up too high LOL welcome Montagna de Burp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 58/29. Deep deep summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: 58/29. Deep deep summer We've got windows and doors open and its in the 50s. The sunshine feels so nice, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We've got windows and doors open and its in the 50s. The sunshine feels so nice, ha. Full summer mode. Music blaring on the deck, chillaxin ,tanning the nape. Might even crack a IPA with lunch just to salute Kev on his great call for today being the best day of the next 7, he said that right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 FV3 keeps all the rain south next week fwiw . Sunny and mild northeast on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: FV3 keeps all the rain south next week fwiw . Sunny and mild northeast on that run. What happens when the FV3 is mild and keeps all precip south in winter? Do we toss it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 2 hours ago, powderfreak said: Quick recovery from 27F to mid/upper 50s now. Lets get 60F+! 35 to 70 so far here... This was well advertised this huge diurnal potential... And it's a late high scenario too ( not totally synoptically driven). We have light west wind down here ( prolly there too...) and over both locations the 850s are warming over the course of the afternoon by dry advection.. -1C at dawn is +5 by 7pm so we probably tickle our maxes say ...5: 5:30ish... I'm guessin 72 to 73 here. I was hoping to put up a 40 spot on the delta but ...heh, may have to settle for 37 ...pretty big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 I could see it going to solid spring by Wednesday "IF" one is dumb enough to go with the 12z GFS' operational rendition - Thing is... the model's placing that U/A low it cuts off all over the map from run to run. Now, it has it way stuck down in the TV by Tuesday, with a huge push of "BD" ( in quotes because I'm not really sure what to call that weird pressure pattern/synoptics the GFS is doing...) high pressure walling down from the N - so aggressive on this run that it actually places the breadth of NE et al bodily inside the surface ridging so far that the wind cuts to nill by Wednesday afternoon, when you have solstice sun unabated to the surface under 850s' around +3 to +4 C... Granted, that configuration probably doesn't mix that tall but ... it's still enough to argue 68 F under hot sun and light wind. That's not early summer, no...but it's a vast vast improvement over the chiding tenor - it's a nice week beyond a couple of climo rotters. Big deal.. But again...not sure this is the go-with solution either -lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 GGEM not having very good continuity either .. These cut-off lows are always a beyotch for the models, and the peregrinations of the GFS and this one really showing that over the past few runs. The GGEM not only parks the U/A low in the TV, it's really so far away that we end up building heights back over 582 dm over NE and the upper MA... In fact, that looks warm by Thursday with 560 dam thickness and 850s up to +12C if it were not for the cold ocean lurking there, Kevin looks like Will and Scott's daddy - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: GGEM not having very good continuity either .. These cut-off lows are always a beyotch for the models, and the peregrinations of the GFS and this one really showing that over the past few runs. The GGEM not only parks the U/A low in the TV, it's really so far away that we end up building heights back over 582 dm over NE and the upper MA... In fact, that looks warm by Thursday with 560 dam thickness and 850s up to +12C if it were not for the cold ocean lurking there, Kevin looks like Will and Scott's daddy - Yeah Kevin will definitely win the temp contest if the ULL gets so far south that we're in sunshine on the cool side of the gradient. Not sure I buy it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah Kevin will definitely win the temp contest if the ULL gets so far south that we're in sunshine on the cool side of the gradient. Not sure I buy it though. lol me neither ... that kid's like a Meteorologist Forest Gump equivalent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 Euro sucks Mon and Tuesday. Much better later Wed on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro sucks Mon and Tuesday. Much better later Wed on. Not sure where this trend ends... I was brow-raising when I noticed how similar the Euro looked to this recent GGEM solution as it is ... in that order no less heh. Anyway, if these models were just a little weaker and/or turn that south moving it into that TV settling position just a little bit earlier on, we don't even get into the rain like that "FV3" - I guess that must be the new GFS experimental ? Anyway, the Euro has a very warm day in the interior next Thursday with +13C at 850 rising during the day and wind veering around to the SW like you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not sure where this trend ends... I was brow-raising when I noticed how similar the Euro looked to this recent GGEM solution as it is ... in that order no less heh. Anyway, if these models were just a little weaker and/or turn that south moving it into that TV settling position just a little bit earlier on, we don't even get into the rain like that "FV3" - I guess that must be the new GFS experimental ? Anyway, the Euro has a very warm day in the interior next Thursday with +13C at 850 rising during the day and wind veering around to the SW like you said. It lifts back north which I think is inevitable. So we may sacrifice a day from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not sure where this trend ends... I was brow-raising when I noticed how similar the Euro looked to this recent GGEM solution as it is ... in that order no less heh. Anyway, if these models were just a little weaker and/or turn that south moving it into that TV settling position just a little bit earlier on, we don't even get into the rain like that "FV3" - I guess that must be the new GFS experimental ? Anyway, the Euro has a very warm day in the interior next Thursday with +13C at 850 rising during the day and wind veering around to the SW like you said. Starting to wonder if other than Monday whole week is sunny and 70 inland . That’s where things headed today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Starting to wonder if other than Monday whole week is sunny and 70 inland . That’s where things headed today yeah...jokes aside ultimate solution with that thing is ... excruciatingly tedious and nerdy of us to even be following but - lol - appears to be flux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 7 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Fartertown is followed by Schittsville Schitts Creek is a very funny show! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 34 at 6am, 73.8 now. Nice 40 degree swing. Great day to be out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 3 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: 35 to 70 so far here... This was well advertised this huge diurnal potential... And it's a late high scenario too ( not totally synoptically driven). We have light west wind down here ( prolly there too...) and over both locations the 850s are warming over the course of the afternoon by dry advection.. -1C at dawn is +5 by 7pm so we probably tickle our maxes say ...5: 5:30ish... I'm guessin 72 to 73 here. I was hoping to put up a 40 spot on the delta but ...heh, may have to settle for 37 ...pretty big Heh, might have to settle here too. 27F to 65F so far, not sure we can squeak that extra couple degrees with some high cirrus coming in. I definitely have a little high diurnal range fetish ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 71 here. We nape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 14, 2020 Share Posted May 14, 2020 She's a beaut Clark. High of 69F. Light winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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