Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Please let Ginx know about Saturday Please do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday might not be too bad. Maybe not the nicest day, but probably crappiest in the high terrain. Sunday should be amazing. Euro was a little more progressive last night, looked a little better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Euro was a little more progressive last night, looked a little better I think we'll get some showers, but I'm hoping most of the day is ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think we'll get some showers, but I'm hoping most of the day is ok. I hope so, 65 to 70 as the snake oil salesman said? How about his Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 Temps 60-65 Saturday even with a shower. Not sure if the pot smoke is in the way of his phone screen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Temps 60-65 Saturday even with a shower. Not sure if the pot smoke is in the way of his phone screen? Hows the 65 to 70 Friday to Sunday forecast going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Hows the 65 to 70 Friday to Sunday forecast going Puff puff don’t pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Temps 60-65 Saturday even with a shower. Not sure if the pot smoke is in the way of his phone screen? You'll be low to mid 50s with clouds. No way you sniff 60. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: You'll be low to mid 50s with clouds. No way you sniff 60. You guys been saying breaks of sun with destructive sun creating pop ups Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: You'll be low to mid 50s with clouds. No way you sniff 60. IPAyyy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 29, 2020 Author Share Posted April 29, 2020 Not the start to May I was hoping for. Just praying and hoping that as the pattern does change we'll see a solid severe threat with it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 15 hours ago, dendrite said: I doubt it at his current location. Maybe Mitch’s new spot though? I only exceeded 80° F 4 times last summer, all in July. Max was 83.0° F on July 20th. I'm sure there have been numerous summers here that have failed to reach 80° F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Not the start to May I was hoping for. Just praying and hoping that as the pattern does change we'll see a solid severe threat with it. May is always a marginal month for severe and the pattern starting next week will put a lid on severe threats. Don't think things will change much until late May or June. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 On 4/28/2020 at 10:11 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yup. The rubber band just isn’t snapping back and forth in our favor. We need a Pickles big booty milf to shake things up for us. I get the humor ... but you know, there is a kind of 'emergence tendency' ? It's a bit abstract as a concept, but the 'gestalt' : the synergistic product that cannot really be defined by individual component analysis, but when they operate together, you get winning or losing streaks. In either streak, the contribution seems to be unchanging, yet for some reason, the results flop positive or negative ... notwithstanding observation biases and all that rigor - We've been in losing streak for cold and snow enthusiasts, period. We've had leading indicators that just flat out failed. And, some of the indicators themselves also failed - which makes it 'uniquely failing' - it's as though insidious like some agency is attempting to deliberately lead down primrose paths only to prove deceptive - haha. Seriously though, we've had times in our lives when the opposite for cold and snow enthusiasm ...where we couldn't lose. Every perturbation physically identifiable upstream in the hemisphere's greater circulation eddy just found a way to delay office and school openings. We don't question the success times with quite the same zeal, I can imagine. Interesting. But, this is also interesting to me because I feel we've been getting stolen summers too? This has gone on since 2015's big February of lore and fact. We had a big historic heat dome two summers ago that frankly didn't verify anywhere close to what was modeled - 95/76 is nothing to shake a stick at but... 103/67 it was not. Maybe the DP/theta-e increases associated with CC and storing > WV absorbed some of the heat... who knows...But, every other heat chance has been less than that, and/or failing to materialize to the point of modeled... And there is some truth to the behavior - regardless of cause - where dimmed summers relay into early cool snaps that can't seem to parlay into winter proper. I was discussing this 'seasonal lag' effect with Mets unaffiliated with this social media and there is an agreed sentiment... the expanding HC may be why winters are being odd... Where in the summer, there is lingering tendencies to hold more ridging in the NE Pac and that is causing a counter mass balanced tendency over eastern N/A ( spread out in the longer term mean ) to lower heights just enough to keep us out of contention as a 'hot-spot' in the on-going month-to-month 'state of the climate' releases by NASA and forth. We are above normal more than not, just 'not as' much so as our synergistic result of these seasonal lag effects - supposition but it's rooted theoretically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 I'd rather 103/67 vs 95/76. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'd rather 103/67 vs 95/76. I’ll take 95/76 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 GFS / Euro / CMC all show the ULL exiting quicker than the 0z runs .. Saturday is looking a lot better now! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 3 hours ago, wxmanmitch said: I only exceeded 80° F 4 times last summer, all in July. Max was 83.0° F on July 20th. I'm sure there have been numerous summers here that have failed to reach 80° F. Any land for sale!!? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 No sure how accurate this statement is in terms of data, but to me last summer was really good. It felt like most days were sun filled, and after the tornados on July 23rd, 2019 it felt like it was a pleasant and warm summer on the Cape. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I'd rather 103/67 vs 95/76. Yeah that event was horribly handled by the GFS of the time. There's been a upgrade since ... Recall, it was trying to flag 111 F, 2-meter temperature(s) at Bedford Mass ...run after run, but with DPs of just 60 F... So, 111/60 ... Pheonix in Boston? No problem - That version of the GFS of that time was a particularly egregious embarrassment by NOAA... It almost seemed more than figuratively as though they just f'ed up and left out the lower level thermodynamic equations when they modular snapped that puppy together - and of course ... buried the fact that they did by ignoring the issue and not drawing attention to the mistake or some diversion of strategy..haha. But in the lower 100 to 200 mbs of the troposphere - quite plausibly related to it's bad theta-e management/physics. It also had that nor'easter earlier that March ...remember that? 2" to 3" of 6-hourly QPF with a DP spread of 8 F ( 39/31). That lent many to think it was missing a blue bomb potential if correcting toward wet-bulb. So, there was bated hope ... oops. What happens? OH, we wet bulbed ... to 35/34 with 2" to 3" of rain -- wah wah wahhhh... Oh if one were nerdy enough to look cat paws. That's part of the 'emergent butt-bang' mystique, too. I mean, the model is wrong, and we still rained - Anyway, that GFS was a joke... Not sure if this present version is any better with those thermodynamics in the boundary layer. Both versions have a 'stretching' /longitude bias in the mid levels that's pretty demonstrable at all times, ... heredity it has gained from the last version, which also did that progressivity thing even worse. So it may be incrementally improved, who knows... But in any/all these cases, that heat dome from that big ridge event that early July was still verifying less. Even at 95/76 (76 might be pricey... was it less?), that was under cooked by some ... so as far as as the synergy abstraction, it was both a failed historic ridge because of the weird nodal-hemispheric cool sink, while still managing to be an inferno - which perhaps belies the former... interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 4 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Not the start to May I was hoping for. Just praying and hoping that as the pattern does change we'll see a solid severe threat with it. Can't wait for a good Wizzy meltdown when its May20 and we haven't had a classic SNE severe 30 mph storm yet 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 Today was absolutely beautiful. Mid-60s in Northern Vermont and sunshine... we take that all day long. Good diurnal range, indicative of a great day... mid-20s to mid-60s. Fantastic stuff, went for a few hour walk up an old road to 2,400ft. Doesn't get much better than this for late April with sunshine and 55-65F depending on elevation. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Today was absolutely beautiful. Mid-60s in Northern Vermont and sunshine... we take that all day long. Good diurnal range, indicative of a great day... mid-20s to mid-60s. Fantastic stuff, went for a few hour walk up an old road to 2,400ft. Doesn't get much better than this for late April with sunshine and 55-65F depending on elevation. Meanwhile Boston didn't break 50. Was beautiful here until about noon. Eweather tweeted this out from the Apr Supermoon, thought you would like it 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 42 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Today was absolutely beautiful. Mid-60s in Northern Vermont and sunshine... we take that all day long. Good diurnal range, indicative of a great day... mid-20s to mid-60s. Fantastic stuff, went for a few hour walk up an old road to 2,400ft. Doesn't get much better than this for late April with sunshine and 55-65F depending on elevation. They say it’s been a terrible weather month . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 35 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Meanwhile Boston didn't break 50. Was beautiful here until about noon. Eweather tweeted this out from the Apr Supermoon, thought you would like it Sick, wonder who the photographer was. I’ve got a couple guesses, ha. Still a lot of snow above 2,000ft. 70” at the Mansfield Stake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 This is looking good. Time to start thinking of installs now while it’s still mild 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Sick, wonder who the photographer was. I’ve got a couple guesses, ha. Still a lot of snow above 2,000ft. 70” at the Mansfield Stake. His college buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: This is looking good. Time to start thinking of installs now while it’s still mild Most leaves will not be out by end of next week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Most leaves will not be out by end of next week. Not even here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 29, 2020 Share Posted April 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Most leaves will not be out by end of next week. Let Fish know I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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