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May Discussion


weatherwiz
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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

BN absolutely, but not the frigid bitter mid winter weather a few are trying to make it. If suns out with dry air mass.. it warms nicely . That said, Fri night thru Sunday morning will be awful 

Haven't seen a single person say frigid bitter mid winter but OK. I mean even flakes is crazy 

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34 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Haven't seen a single person say frigid bitter mid winter but OK. I mean even flakes is crazy 

Kevin is in classic “polish the turd” mode. We see it in winter when we have a crap pattern with +10 departures. He will say highs in the 40s isn’t that bad and try and squeeze out a marginal snow chance that has like a 10% shot at verifying. But deep down he knows it sucks. 

The weekend was great. It’s gonna be a while before we see that again. 

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Kevin is in classic “polish the turd” mode. We see it in winter when we have a crap pattern with +10 departures. He will say highs in the 40s isn’t that bad and try and squeeze out a marginal snow chance that has like a 10% shot at verifying. But deep down he knows it sucks. 

The weekend was great. It’s gonna be a while before we see that again. 

05/15 the Warmer pattern returns. Not polishing a thing. It’s BN but it’s not nasty cloudy cold May 2005. Let’s put it in context . It’s basically a cooler than normal next ten days with one 36 hour period shot of very cold . Kind of like in the winter where there’s all this talk of a frigid pattern and it ends up being an arctic blast that drops places to -14 on CAA at noon and 24 hours later the core is over Labrador and it warms back to just normal cold. Like that Feb 14 blast a few years ago . This is a Mayorch version of that 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

05/15 the Warmer pattern returns. Not polishing a thing. It’s BN but it’s not nasty cloudy cold May 2005. Let’s put it in context . It’s basically a cooler than normal next ten days with one 36 hour period shot of very cold . Kind of like in the winter where there’s all this talk of a frigid pattern and it ends up being an arctic blast that drops places to -14 on CAA at noon and 24 hours later the core is over Labrador and it warms back to just normal cold. Like that Feb 14 blast a few years ago . This is a Mayorch version of that 

It’s definitely not just a 36 hour cold shot. The 2/14/16 cold shot you reference had highs in the 50s a couple days later. That would be like rebounding back into the 70s and 80s in a couple days. 

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33 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Monday looks like a prime day for some cold pool hailers...along with Saturday but Saturday may be more grauple/snow

Saturday is insane...516 thicknesses. Not sure we've ever seen a cold pool aloft that intense in May. Basically anything that falls will be frozen on Saturday....definitely the type of day where even if there is sunshine, a shower passing would immediately produce graupel at temps in the low/mid 40s (ad temps would fall quickly too).

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Saturday is insane...516 thicknesses. Not sure we've ever seen a cold pool aloft that intense in May. Basically anything that falls will be frozen on Saturday....definitely the type of day where even if there is sunshine, a shower passing would immediately produce graupel at temps in the low/mid 40s (ad temps would fall quickly too).

Looking at web cams and pictures its amazing how without skier traffic the mountains have retained so much snow this year.  I mean you look at Sunday River and you could easily ski everything except south ridge. 

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Saturday is insane...516 thicknesses. Not sure we've ever seen a cold pool aloft that intense in May. Basically anything that falls will be frozen on Saturday....definitely the type of day where even if there is sunshine, a shower passing would immediately produce graupel at temps in the low/mid 40s (ad temps would fall quickly too).

Saturday could be pretty wild...some of the higher elevations may be able to pick up some minor accumulations. It's going to be crazy unstable aloft...lapse rates > 8. Hell, with thicknesses that low looks like the tropopause might not be much above 500mb. 

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Just now, weatherwiz said:

Saturday could be pretty wild...some of the higher elevations may be able to pick up some minor accumulations. It's going to be crazy unstable aloft...lapse rates > 8. Hell, with thicknesses that low looks like the tropopause might not be much above 500mb. 

I’m expecting 1-3” here. Crazy 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Saturday could be pretty wild...some of the higher elevations may be able to pick up some minor accumulations. It's going to be crazy unstable aloft...lapse rates > 8. Hell, with thicknesses that low looks like the tropopause might not be much above 500mb. 

I'm hoping for several cells to produce thunder on Saturday....that would be fun.

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

05/15 the Warmer pattern returns. Not polishing a thing. It’s BN but it’s not nasty cloudy cold May 2005. Let’s put it in context . It’s basically a cooler than normal next ten days with one 36 hour period shot of very cold . Kind of like in the winter where there’s all this talk of a frigid pattern and it ends up being an arctic blast that drops places to -14 on CAA at noon and 24 hours later the core is over Labrador and it warms back to just normal cold. Like that Feb 14 blast a few years ago . This is a Mayorch version of that 

You're so delusional. No wonder you're a Trumper. 

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3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Thanks. Like raw ok or OK go for it OK? It looks close with clouds and cold flow. NWS has 40% chance of rain after noon. We don’t want to play in drizzle/showers. 

Thursday should be mostly dry. Could be a passing sprinkle and some clouds around, but I wouldn't cancel a birthday golf outing over it.

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