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May Discussion


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21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Suits, ties, and sunglasses. No big heat in site through the next 10 days. 

GEFS just keep fighting off any heat with the lower heights over the Maritimes.  

It gets a piece in around June 7-9 but then gets beaten down again from the 10th onward.  

Our own little island of Business Suites.  Makes me think of Tip musing about us being in our own world while a lot of the US bakes.

C1EDD9FC-3B96-47A9-9E84-28789FDAB53A.thumb.png.8dc4b8650ebf99915f87b406f249324a.png

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Just now, powderfreak said:

GEFS just keep fighting off any heat with the lower heights over the Maritimes.  

It gets a piece in around June 7-9 but then gets beaten down again from the 10th onward.  

Our own little island of Business Suites.  Makes me think of Tip musing about us being in our own world while a lot of the US bakes.

C1EDD9FC-3B96-47A9-9E84-28789FDAB53A.thumb.png.8dc4b8650ebf99915f87b406f249324a.png

Setting up for more over the top heat?

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26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

June 8 is next heat wave. Nice 3-5 day slug. Book it 

Gonna be close.  GFS/ECM/GGEM Ensembles don’t seem as confident as you.  

They definitely torch to our west but run into some serious resistance NE of Philly/NYC.  I bet you’d sneak a real hot day in CT around the 7th or so with that look but then it just gets crushed back SW by the 9th/10th.  

Mid-Atlantic to Ohio Valley looks toasty.

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3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Gonna be close.  GFS/ECM/GGEM Ensembles don’t seem as confident as you.  

They definitely torch to our west but run into some serious resistance NE of Philly/NYC.  I bet you’d sneak a real hot day in CT around the 7th or so with that look but then it just gets crushed back SW by the 9th/10th.  

Mid-Atlantic to Ohio Valley looks toasty.

That look screams 3-4 days of 90 at least in most of the northeast. That ridge is a pig. We’ll see but this summer going to be tough to get big long lasting mild downs I think. One thing certain .. it’s a very dry look with that ridge. 

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That look screams 3-4 days of 90 at least in most of the northeast. That ridge is a pig. We’ll see but this summer going to be tough to get big long lasting mild downs I think. One thing certain .. it’s a very dry look with that ridge. 

I don’t think we are looking at the same models then, ha.  Like I said, slam dunk further west as the ridge is a pig, but it just doesn’t ever really get here.  I’ll try to .gif one of these up for you.

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Kev, you’d definitely sneak a real hot one in around 6th or 7th on this look: 

89BFCB34-C12E-49AB-8A86-8455A9EBC97D.thumb.png.3084715354e252cd189fb94f55db740c.png

But then a day or two later it gets beaten back to the west again. 

0B2A691D-BAEA-4AA3-B68D-88AE0AC50FC3.thumb.png.12706a593506c873c881a6852b69c1bd.png

Now, if those lower heights off the coast aren’t as bullish, yeah it probably furnaces for 3-5 days, so start wishing for that to go away.  

I’m not calling for one or the other, just we may be on the gradient rather than in it.  But if it’s further NE then it bakes.

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Kev, you’d definitely sneak a real hot one in around 6th or 7th on this look: 

89BFCB34-C12E-49AB-8A86-8455A9EBC97D.thumb.png.3084715354e252cd189fb94f55db740c.png

But then a day or two later it gets beaten back to the west again. 

0B2A691D-BAEA-4AA3-B68D-88AE0AC50FC3.thumb.png.12706a593506c873c881a6852b69c1bd.png

Now, if those lower heights off the coast aren’t as bullish, yeah it probably furnaces for 3-5 days, so start wishing for that to go away.  

I’m not calling for one or the other, just we may be on the gradient rather than in it.  But if it’s further NE then it bakes.

That’s exactly what we’ll see it morph into over next couple days in my opinion. Just send rain 

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Yesterday was first summer like day here this warm season, 78 at UUU with some modest humidity early, prior to that mostly under the influence of the nearby 50’s water temps. 

60.6/46.4 now

 

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Today is the 22 year anniversary of the ORH macroburst on 5/31/98. ASOS gusted near 100mph and a 104mph wind gust was recorded at holy cross. There were probably pockets of 110-120 based on the damage. 

I remember the event well. I think it hit between 10-11pm. Trees down everywhere the next morning. 

 

75AE9891-E16B-400E-9C48-FA9E639DF9C7.jpeg

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22 hours ago, Angus said:

Has anyone ever used a dowser to find water? My grandfather was big believer.

Yes-- hired one and she flagged a number of spots as choices to dig a well. Picked one and the well digger dug-- great water and abundant too.. Which is not to say that random digging would not have produced same. (She also told us the water would be found a lot deeper than it was-- a pleasant surprise.)

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16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Today is the 22 year anniversary of the ORH macroburst on 5/31/98. ASOS gusted near 100mph and a 104mph wind gust was recorded at holy cross. There were probably pockets of 110-120 based on the damage. 

I remember the event well. I think it hit between 10-11pm. Trees down everywhere the next morning. 

 

75AE9891-E16B-400E-9C48-FA9E639DF9C7.jpeg

Do you know or recall if we had damage or strong winds in CT?

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26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Today is the 22 year anniversary of the ORH macroburst on 5/31/98. ASOS gusted near 100mph and a 104mph wind gust was recorded at holy cross. There were probably pockets of 110-120 based on the damage. 

I remember the event well. I think it hit between 10-11pm. Trees down everywhere the next morning. 

 

75AE9891-E16B-400E-9C48-FA9E639DF9C7.jpeg

That was a wild severe day across the northeast. I had my first ever flight that night out of BOS to MSP. I had like 5 hours worth of delays as our plane had a broken radar. I remember a squall hitting the airport sometime after sunset and the wind and rain roared against the glass windows. All flights since then have been pretty easy in comparison....lol.

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